NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/5, Final: 38 – 35
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Seattle Seahawks

Buccaneers: 3-1 (75.0%) - NFC South | Market Rating: +0.29

Seahawks: 3-1 (75.0%) - NFC West | Market Rating: +0.23 | Home Field: +1.2 pts

Line: -3.5

Total: 44.5

Open: -1

Open: 45

Team totals: Buccaneers 20.5 · Seahawks 24.5

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Injury Report TBNo report SEANo report

Notes

Buccaneers

Situational Factor(s)

East Coast team traveling West

Rest Disadvantage

Baller System(s)

Back early season short, road underdogs who won last matchup

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Non-bye week

Rest Advantage

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Buccaneers

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Buccaneers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/20/25 2025	Buccaneers	-	@	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.0	54.5	-	-
10/12/25 2025	Buccaneers	-	vs.	49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	47.0	-	-
10/05/25 2025	Buccaneers	-	@	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	44.5	-	-
09/28/25 2025	Buccaneers	25	vs.	Eagles	31	393	104	289	0	2	+3.5	44.5	+6	O 56 +11.5
09/21/25 2025	Buccaneers	29	vs.	Jets	27	355	122	233	1	1	-6.5	43.5	-2	O 56 +12.5
09/15/25 2025	Buccaneers	20	@	Texans	19	384	169	215	0	1	+2.5	42.5	-1	U 39 -3.5
09/07/25 2025	Buccaneers	23	@	Falcons	20	268	101	167	0	0	-1.5	47.5	-3	U 43 -4.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/12/25 2024	Buccaneers	20	vs.	Commanders	23	286	101	185	0	1	-3.0	51.5	+3	U 43 -8.5
01/05/25 2024	Buccaneers	27	vs.	Saints	19	400	179	221	0	1	-14.5	44.5	-8	O 46 +1.5
12/29/24 2024	Buccaneers	48	vs.	Panthers	14	561	202	359	0	0	-9.5	47.5	-34	O 62 +14.5
12/22/24 2024	Buccaneers	24	@	Cowboys	26	437	134	303	0	3	-6.0	49.0	+2	O 50 +1.0
12/15/24 2024	Buccaneers	40	@	Chargers	17	511	223	288	1	1	+3.0	46.0	-23	O 57 +11.0
12/08/24 2024	Buccaneers	28	vs.	Raiders	13	447	152	295	1	2	-7.0	47.0	-15	U 41 -6.0

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		21.5	-	-	19.5	326	135	191	0.0	0.5	+0.5	45.0	-2.0 +2.5	U 41.0 -4.0

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		24.3	-	-	24.3	350	124	226	0.3	1.0	-0.5	44.5	0.0 -0.5	O 48.5 +4.0

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/20/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.5	-	-
10/12/25 2025	Seahawks	-	@	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	47.5	-	-
10/05/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	44.5	-	-
09/25/25 2025	Seahawks	23	@	Cardinals	20	397	155	242	2	2	-1.5	43.5	-3	U 43 -0.5
09/21/25 2025	Seahawks	44	vs.	Saints	13	320	87	233	1	1	-7.5	41.5	-31	O 57 +15.5
09/14/25 2025	Seahawks	31	@	Steelers	17	412	117	295	2	0	+3.5	40.5	-14	O 48 +7.5
09/07/25 2025	Seahawks	13	vs.	49ers	17	234	84	150	2	3	+2.5	43.5	+4	U 30 -13.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/05/25 2024	Seahawks	30	@	Rams	25	317	126	191	1	0	-7.5	38.5	-5	O 55 +16.5
12/26/24 2024	Seahawks	6	@	Bears	3	282	122	160	1	3	-4.5	43.0	-3	U 9 -34.0
12/22/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	Vikings	27	373	59	314	0	0	+2.5	43.0	+3	O 51 +8.0
12/15/24 2024	Seahawks	13	vs.	Packers	30	253	80	173	0	0	+3.0	48.5	+17	U 43 -5.5
12/08/24 2024	Seahawks	30	@	Cardinals	18	409	176	233	2	1	+3.0	45.5	-12	O 48 +2.5
12/01/24 2024	Seahawks	26	@	Jets	21	290	84	206	1	3	+1.5	41.5	-5	O 47 +5.5

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		28.5	-	-	15.0	277	86	192	1.5	2.0	-2.5	42.5	-13.5 +11.0	O 43.5 +1.0

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		27.8	-	-	16.8	341	111	230	1.8	1.5	-0.8	42.3	-11.0 +10.3	O 44.5 +2.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

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Seahawks (Home)

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Seahawks are 50% (2-2) to the over

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) to the over at home

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) to the over as a home fav

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Seahawks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Buccaneers (Away)

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 100% (2-0) against the spread away

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) to the over

The Buccaneers are 100% (2-0) to the under away

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) to the under as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Buccaneers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/13/22 2022	Seahawks	16	vs.	Buccaneers	21	419	161	258	0	0	+2.5	45.0	+5	U 37 -8.0

All Games Avg (1 games)		16.0	-	-	21.0	419	161	258	0.0	0.0	+2.5	45.0	+5.0 -2.5	U 37.0 -8.0

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Buccaneers (2x)
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	Buccaneers
OVERALL	Buccaneers \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/5, Final: 38 – 35 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Seattle Seahawks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", home_team: "Seattle Seahawks", game_date: "2025-10-05" };

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Injury Report TBNo report SEANo report

Notes

Buccaneers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Buccaneers Schedule Follow global filters

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Seahawks (Home)

Buccaneers (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 10/5, Final: 38 – 35
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Seattle Seahawks