NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/21, Final: 13 – 44
New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks

Saints: 0-2 (0.0%) - NFC South | Market Rating: -0.54

Seahawks: 1-1 (50.0%) - NFC West | Market Rating: -0.31 | Home Field: +1.1 pts

Line: -7.5

Total: 41.5

Open: -6.5

Open: 41

Team totals: Saints 16.5 · Seahawks 24.5

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Injury Report NONo report SEANo report

Notes

Saints

Baller System(s)

Fade home team whose next game is on Thursday

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Saints

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Saints Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/05/25 2025	Saints	-	vs.	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	41.5	-	-
09/28/25 2025	Saints	-	@	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+14.5	48.5	-	-
09/21/25 2025	Saints	-	@	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	41.5	-	-
09/14/25 2025	Saints	21	vs.	49ers	26	328	121	207	0	2	+3.0	40.5	+5	O 47 +6.5
09/07/25 2025	Saints	13	vs.	Cardinals	20	321	107	214	0	0	+5.5	44.5	+7	U 33 -11.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/05/25 2024	Saints	19	@	Buccaneers	27	304	64	240	1	0	+14.5	44.5	+8	O 46 +1.5
12/29/24 2024	Saints	10	vs.	Raiders	25	299	81	218	0	2	+2.0	37.5	+15	U 35 -2.5
12/23/24 2024	Saints	0	@	Packers	34	220	67	153	0	2	+14.5	44.0	+34	U 34 -10.0
12/15/24 2024	Saints	19	vs.	Commanders	20	274	69	205	0	0	+7.5	44.5	+1	U 39 -5.5
12/08/24 2024	Saints	14	@	Giants	11	311	92	219	1	2	-4.5	40.5	-3	U 25 -15.5
12/01/24 2024	Saints	14	vs.	Rams	21	327	143	184	0	0	+2.5	48.5	+7	U 35 -13.5
11/17/24 2024	Saints	35	vs.	Browns	14	480	214	266	0	2	+1.0	44.0	-21	O 49 +5.0
11/10/24 2024	Saints	20	vs.	Falcons	17	365	96	269	1	1	+3.5	46.5	-3	U 37 -9.5

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		17.0	-	-	23.0	325	114	211	0.0	1.0	+4.3	42.5	+6.0 -1.8	U 40.0 -2.5

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/05/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	44.5	-	-
09/25/25 2025	Seahawks	-	@	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	43.5	-	-
09/21/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	41.5	-	-
09/14/25 2025	Seahawks	31	@	Steelers	17	412	117	295	2	0	+3.5	40.5	-14	O 48 +7.5
09/07/25 2025	Seahawks	13	vs.	49ers	17	234	84	150	2	3	+2.5	43.5	+4	U 30 -13.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/05/25 2024	Seahawks	30	@	Rams	25	317	126	191	1	0	-7.5	38.5	-5	O 55 +16.5
12/26/24 2024	Seahawks	6	@	Bears	3	282	122	160	1	3	-4.5	43.0	-3	U 9 -34.0
12/22/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	Vikings	27	373	59	314	0	0	+2.5	43.0	+3	O 51 +8.0
12/15/24 2024	Seahawks	13	vs.	Packers	30	253	80	173	0	0	+3.0	48.5	+17	U 43 -5.5
12/08/24 2024	Seahawks	30	@	Cardinals	18	409	176	233	2	1	+3.0	45.5	-12	O 48 +2.5
12/01/24 2024	Seahawks	26	@	Jets	21	290	84	206	1	3	+1.5	41.5	-5	O 47 +5.5
11/24/24 2024	Seahawks	16	vs.	Cardinals	6	319	65	254	1	1	+1.0	47.0	-10	U 22 -25.0
11/17/24 2024	Seahawks	20	@	49ers	17	315	94	221	1	1	+6.0	48.5	-3	U 37 -11.5

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		13.0	-	-	17.0	234	84	150	2.0	3.0	+2.5	43.5	+4.0 -1.5	U 30.0 -13.5

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		22.0	-	-	17.0	323	101	223	2.0	1.5	+3.0	42.0	-5.0 +8.0	U 39.0 -3.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.

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Seahawks (Home)

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 0% (0-1) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) to the over

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) to the under at home

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

Saints (Away)

The Saints are 0% (0-2) against the spread

The Saints are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a dog

The Saints are 50% (1-1) to the over

The Saints are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Saints are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Saints are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Saints are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Saints are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/09/22 2022	Seahawks	32	@	Saints	39	444	235	209	0	2	+5.0	45.5	+7	O 71 +25.5

All Games Avg (1 games)		32.0	-	-	39.0	444	235	209	0.0	2.0	+5.0	45.5	+7.0 -2.0	O 71.0 +25.5

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Saints (2x)
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	Saints
OVERALL	Saints \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/21, Final: 13 – 44 New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "New Orleans Saints", home_team: "Seattle Seahawks", game_date: "2025-09-21" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report NONo report SEANo report

Notes

Saints

Baller System(s)

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Saints Schedule Follow global filters

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Seahawks (Home)

Saints (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 9/21, Final: 13 – 44
New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks