WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 61 – 92
Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces

Sky: 10-32 (23.8%) | Market Rating: -6.28

Aces: 28-14 (66.7%) | Market Rating: +3.56 | Home Court: +2.7 pts

Line: -17.0

Total: 159.5

Open: -17

Open: 159.5

Team totals: Sky 70.5 · Aces 88.5

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Injury Report CHINo report LVANo report

Notes

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in season revenge

Aces

Baller System(s)

Fade team off 2 game losing streak when previous game was at home

Play over on team that has had a high assist-to-turnover ratio for multiple games

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Sky

58.75% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/09/26 2026	Sky	-	@	Fire	-	-5.5	163.0	-	-
09/11/25 2025	Sky	-	vs.	Liberty	-	+13.5	157.0	-	-
09/09/25 2025	Sky	-	@	Aces	-	+17.0	159.5	-	-
09/07/25	Sky	66	@	Aces	80	+17.5	161.0	+14	U 146 -15.0
2025	ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 73.7
09/05/25	Sky	77	@	Fever	97	+11.5	161.0	+20	O 174 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 78.3
09/03/25	Sky	88	vs.	Sun	64	-2.0	162.5	-24	U 152 -10.5
2025	ORtg: 126.8 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 69.4			ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 126.8 Pace: 69.4
08/30/25	Sky	69	@	Storm	79	+10.5	162.5	+10	U 148 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 91.6 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 91.6 Pace: 75.4
08/28/25	Sky	79	@	Mercury	83	+12.0	164.5	+4	U 162 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 74.6
08/25/25	Sky	74	vs.	Aces	79	+10.5	166.0	+5	U 153 -13.0
2025	ORtg: 94.5 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 94.5 Pace: 78.3
08/23/25	Sky	84	vs.	Sun	94	-2.5	158.5	+10	O 178 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 76.1
08/21/25	Sky	91	@	Liberty	85	+15.0	162.5	-6	O 176 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 77.3
08/19/25	Sky	88	vs.	Storm	94	+11.0	158.5	+6	O 182 +23.5
2025	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 82.7
08/15/25	Sky	59	vs.	Valkyries	90	+7.5	148.0	+31	O 149 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 86.7 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 68.0			ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 86.7 Pace: 68.0

Away Games Avg (5 games)		76.4	-	-	84.8	+13.3	162.3	+8.4 +4.9	U 161.2 -1.1
	ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 75.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		77.5	-	-	84.5	+9.1	160.5	+7.0 +2.1	O 162.0 +1.5
	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 75.4

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/14/25 2025	Aces	-	vs.	Storm	-	-6.0	161.5	-	-
09/11/25 2025	Aces	-	@	Sparks	-	-10.0	170.0	-	-
09/09/25 2025	Aces	-	vs.	Sky	-	-17.0	159.5	-	-
09/07/25	Aces	80	vs.	Sky	66	-17.5	161.0	-14	U 146 -15.0
2025	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 73.7
09/04/25	Aces	97	vs.	Lynx	87	+2.5	163.5	-10	O 184 +20.5
2025	ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 78.1
08/27/25	Aces	81	@	Dream	75	+3.0	162.5	-6	U 156 -6.5
2025	ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 73.3			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 73.3
08/25/25	Aces	79	@	Sky	74	-10.5	166.0	-5	U 153 -13.0
2025	ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 94.5 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 94.5 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 78.3
08/23/25	Aces	91	@	Mystics	81	-7.5	160.5	-10	O 172 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 78.7
08/21/25	Aces	83	vs.	Mercury	61	-1.0	171.0	-22	U 144 -27.0
2025	ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 73.9			ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 73.9
08/19/25	Aces	74	vs.	Dream	72	-3.0	166.5	-2	U 146 -20.5
2025	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 69.3			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 69.3
08/17/25	Aces	106	vs.	Wings	87	-10.5	172.0	-19	O 193 +21.0
2025	ORtg: 129.5 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 129.5 Pace: 81.8
08/15/25	Aces	86	@	Mercury	83	+4.5	168.5	-3	O 169 +0.5
2025	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 75.8
08/13/25	Aces	83	vs.	Liberty	77	-3.5	172.0	-6	U 160 -12.0
2025	ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 72.2			ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 72.2

Home Games Avg (6 games)		87.2	-	-	75.0	-5.5	167.7	-12.2 +6.7	U 162.2 -5.5
	ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 74.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		86.0	-	-	76.3	-4.4	166.4	-9.7 +5.4	U 162.3 -4.1
	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 75.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Aces are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

The Sky are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Sky are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

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Aces (Home)

The Aces are 51.2% (22-21) against the spread

The Aces are 50% (11-11) against the spread at home

The Aces are 53.3% (16-14) against the spread as a fav

The Aces are 52.9% (9-8) against the spread as a home fav

The Aces are 53.5% (23-20) to the under

The Aces are 54.5% (12-10) to the over at home

The Aces are 53.3% (16-14) to the under as a fav

The Aces are 52.9% (9-8) to the over as a home fav

The Aces are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Aces are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Aces are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Aces are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Aces are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Aces are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 46.5% (20-23) against the spread

The Sky are 54.5% (12-10) against the spread away

The Sky are 45% (18-22) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 54.5% (12-10) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 52.4% (22-20-1) to the under

The Sky are 52.4% (11-10-1) to the under away

The Sky are 51.3% (20-19-1) to the under as a dog

The Sky are 52.4% (11-10-1) to the under as an away dog

The Sky are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sky are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the under