NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/7, Final: 6 – 21
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders

Giants: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC East

Commanders: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC East

Line: -6.5

Total: 45.5

Open: -6

Open: 45.5

Team totals: Giants 19.5 · Commanders 26.5

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Games
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Injury Report NYGNo report WASNo report

Notes

Giants

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller System(s)

Fade home team whose next game is on Thursday

Week 1: Back road dog when next game is on the road

Commanders

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

The model doesn't have enough games played yet this season to generate reliable predictions — it typically won't start producing projections until Week 3.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Giants Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/21/25 2025	Giants	-	vs.	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.0	44.5	-	-
09/14/25 2025	Giants	-	@	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	44.5	-	-
09/07/25 2025	Giants	-	@	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	45.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/05/25 2024	Giants	13	@	Eagles	20	238	100	138	0	1	+3.5	35.5	+7	U 33 -2.5
12/29/24 2024	Giants	45	vs.	Colts	33	389	80	309	2	1	+7.5	40.5	-12	O 78 +37.5
12/22/24 2024	Giants	7	@	Falcons	34	255	45	210	1	1	+9.5	43.0	+27	U 41 -2.0
12/15/24 2024	Giants	14	vs.	Ravens	35	246	55	191	0	0	+16.5	43.5	+21	O 49 +5.5
12/08/24 2024	Giants	11	vs.	Saints	14	339	112	227	1	0	+4.5	40.5	+3	U 25 -15.5
11/28/24 2024	Giants	20	@	Cowboys	27	294	116	178	0	2	+4.5	39.5	+7	O 47 +7.5
11/24/24 2024	Giants	7	vs.	Buccaneers	30	268	76	192	0	2	+6.0	40.5	+23	U 37 -3.5
11/10/24 2024	Giants	17	vs.	Panthers	20 OT	357	167	190	0	2	-7.0	40.0	+3	U 37 -3.0
11/03/24 2024	Giants	22	vs.	Commanders	27	338	164	174	0	1	+4.5	44.5	+5	O 49 +4.5
10/28/24 2024	Giants	18	@	Steelers	26	421	157	264	0	1	+5.5	36.5	+8	O 44 +7.5

Commanders Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/21/25 2025	Commanders	-	vs.	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	43.5	-	-
09/11/25 2025	Commanders	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	48.5	-	-
09/07/25 2025	Commanders	-	vs.	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.5	45.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/26/25 2024	Commanders	23	@	Eagles	55	377	99	278	0	3	+6.0	46.5	+32	O 78 +31.5
01/18/25 2024	Commanders	45	@	Lions	31	481	182	299	4	1	+8.5	55.5	-14	O 76 +20.5
01/12/25 2024	Commanders	23	@	Buccaneers	20	350	82	268	0	0	+3.0	51.5	-3	U 43 -8.5
01/05/25 2024	Commanders	23	@	Cowboys	19	312	113	199	0	1	-7.0	43.5	-4	U 42 -1.5
12/29/24 2024	Commanders	30	vs.	Falcons	24 OT	443	216	227	1	1	-3.5	46.5	-6	O 54 +7.5
12/22/24 2024	Commanders	36	vs.	Eagles	33	371	113	258	1	3	+4.0	47.0	-3	O 69 +22.0
12/15/24 2024	Commanders	20	@	Saints	19	363	137	226	1	1	-7.5	44.5	-1	U 39 -5.5
12/01/24 2024	Commanders	42	vs.	Titans	19	473	267	206	0	1	-6.0	45.5	-23	O 61 +15.5
11/24/24 2024	Commanders	26	vs.	Cowboys	34	420	145	275	0	2	-10.5	44.5	+8	O 60 +15.5
11/14/24 2024	Commanders	18	@	Eagles	26	284	93	191	0	1	+4.5	49.5	+8	U 44 -5.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Commanders are 77.8% (7-2) against the spread at home

The Commanders are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Giants are 29.4% (5-12) against the spread

The Giants are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread away

The Giants are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as an away dog

View All Records

Commanders (Home)

The Commanders are 63.2% (12-7-1) against the spread

The Commanders are 77.8% (7-2) against the spread at home

The Commanders are 63.6% (7-4) against the spread as a fav

The Commanders are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Commanders are 65% (13-7) to the over

The Commanders are 66.7% (6-3) to the over at home

The Commanders are 54.5% (6-5) to the over as a fav

The Commanders are 62.5% (5-3) to the over as a home fav

Giants (Away)

The Giants are 29.4% (5-12) against the spread

The Giants are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread away

The Giants are 31.3% (5-11) against the spread as a dog

The Giants are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Giants are 64.7% (11-6) to the under

The Giants are 57.1% (4-3) to the under away

The Giants are 62.5% (10-6) to the under as a dog

The Giants are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/03/24 2024	Commanders	27	@	Giants	22	338	164	174	0	1	-4.5	44.5	-5	O 49 +4.5
09/15/24 2024	Commanders	21	vs.	Giants	18	441	215	226	0	0	-1.5	43.0	-3	U 39 -4.0
11/19/23 2023	Commanders	19	vs.	Giants	31	430	174	256	0	4	-7.5	39.0	+12	O 50 +11.0
10/22/23 2023	Commanders	7	@	Giants	14	385	106	279	1	3	-3.0	36.5	+7	U 21 -15.5
12/18/22 2022	Commanders	12	vs.	Giants	20	408	159	249	0	4	-4.0	40.5	+8	U 32 -8.5
12/04/22 2022	Commanders	20	@	Giants	20 OT	334	134	200	0	2	-2.5	40.0	0	P 40 0.0

Commanders as Home (3 games)		17.3	-	-	23.0	426	183	244	0.0	2.7	-4.3	40.8	+5.7 -10.0	U 40.3 -0.5

All Games Avg (6 games)		17.7	-	-	20.8	389	159	231	0.2	2.3	-3.8	40.6	+3.2 -7.0	U 38.5 -2.1

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/7, Final: 6 – 21 New York Giants @ Washington Commanders window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "New York Giants", home_team: "Washington Commanders", game_date: "2025-09-07" };

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Injury Report NYGNo report WASNo report

Notes

Giants

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Commanders

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Giants Schedule Follow global filters

Commanders Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Commanders (Home)

Giants (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 9/7, Final: 6 – 21
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders