WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 81
Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks

Mystics: 16-24 (40.0%) | Market Rating: -2.61

Sparks: 17-20 (45.9%) | Market Rating: -0.86 | Home Court: +1.4 pts

Line: -9.0

Total: 168.5

Open: -7.5

Open: 172

Team totals: Mystics 79.5 · Sparks 88.5

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report WASNo report LASNo report

Notes

Mystics

Situational Factor(s)

Rest disadvantage

Sparks

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

In season revenge

Rest advantage

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Mystics

61.88% probability

Model Total

No clear side

View All Algorithms

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/07/25 2025	Mystics	-	vs.	Fever	-	+6.0	162.5	-	-
09/04/25 2025	Mystics	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+9.5	158.5	-	-
08/31/25 2025	Mystics	-	@	Sparks	-	+9.0	168.5	-	-
08/30/25	Mystics	62	@	Valkyries	99	+4.5	148.0	+37	O 161 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 79.6 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 79.6 Pace: 77.9
08/28/25	Mystics	63	@	Liberty	89	+8.0	159.5	+26	U 152 -7.5
2025	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 131.6 Pace: 67.7			ORtg: 131.6 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 67.7
08/24/25	Mystics	82	vs.	Storm	84	+8.5	157.0	+2	O 166 +9.0
2025	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 80.3
08/23/25	Mystics	81	vs.	Aces	91	+7.5	160.5	+10	O 172 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 78.7
08/21/25	Mystics	56	@	Sun	67	-3.0	158.0	+11	U 123 -35.0
2025	ORtg: 77.9 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 77.9 Pace: 71.9
08/19/25	Mystics	69	vs.	Sun	80	-6.5	158.5	+11	U 149 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 91.5 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 91.5 Pace: 75.4
08/17/25	Mystics	95	vs.	Sparks	86	+3.0	171.5	-9	O 181 +9.5
2025	ORtg: 130.2 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 130.2 Pace: 73.0
08/15/25	Mystics	88	@	Fever	84	+8.5	163.0	-4	O 172 +9.0
2025	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 76.1
08/13/25	Mystics	83	vs.	Valkyries	88	+2.0	149.0	+5	O 171 +22.0
2025	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 126.2 Pace: 69.7			ORtg: 126.2 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 69.7
08/10/25	Mystics	91	@	Wings	78	+4.0	163.5	-13	O 169 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 79.9

Away Games Avg (5 games)		72.0	-	-	83.4	+4.4	158.4	+11.4 -7.0	U 155.4 -3.0
	ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 74.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		77.0	-	-	84.6	+3.7	158.9	+7.6 -4.0	O 161.6 +2.8
	ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 75.1

Sparks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/03/25 2025	Sparks	-	@	Dream	-	+4.5	169.5	-	-
09/01/25 2025	Sparks	-	@	Storm	-	+8.0	173.0	-	-
08/31/25 2025	Sparks	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-9.0	168.5	-	-
08/29/25	Sparks	75	vs.	Fever	76	-2.0	179.5	+1	U 151 -28.5
2025	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 81.4
08/26/25	Sparks	84	vs.	Mercury	92	+3.5	178.0	+8	U 176 -2.0
2025	ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 81.1
08/20/25	Sparks	81	vs.	Wings	80	-8.5	182.5	-1	U 161 -21.5
2025	ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 78.9
08/17/25	Sparks	86	@	Mystics	95	-3.0	171.5	+9	O 181 +9.5
2025	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 130.2 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 130.2 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 73.0
08/15/25	Sparks	97	@	Wings	96	-5.5	179.0	-1	O 193 +14.0
2025	ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 82.9
08/12/25	Sparks	97	vs.	Liberty	105	+4.0	175.5	+8	O 202 +26.5
2025	ORtg: 123.7 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 123.7 Pace: 78.4
08/10/25	Sparks	94	vs.	Storm	91	+4.5	172.5	-3	O 185 +12.5
2025	ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 80.2
08/09/25	Sparks	59	@	Valkyries	72	-4.0	165.5	+13	U 131 -34.5
2025	ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 71.8			ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 71.8
08/07/25	Sparks	102	vs.	Sun	91	-10.0	175.0	-11	O 193 +18.0
2025	ORtg: 130.6 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 130.6 Pace: 78.1
08/05/25	Sparks	100	vs.	Fever	91	+2.0	178.0	-9	O 191 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 136.1 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 136.1 Pace: 73.5

Home Games Avg (7 games)		90.4	-	-	89.4	-0.9	177.3	-1.0 +0.1	O 179.9 +2.6
	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 78.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		87.5	-	-	88.9	-1.9	175.7	+1.4 -3.3	O 176.4 +0.7
	ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 77.9

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

On / Off Court

Follows the Team Comparison Stats filters above.

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

The Sparks are 25% (5-15) against the spread at home

The Sparks are 25% (3-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Sparks are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sparks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

The Mystics are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

View All Records

Sparks (Home)

The Sparks are 40.5% (15-22-1) against the spread

The Sparks are 25% (5-15) against the spread at home

The Sparks are 31.6% (6-13) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 25% (3-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Sparks are 65.8% (25-13) to the over

The Sparks are 65% (13-7) to the over at home

The Sparks are 63.2% (12-7) to the over as a fav

The Sparks are 66.7% (8-4) to the over as a home fav

The Sparks are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sparks are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sparks are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sparks are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Sparks are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sparks are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Sparks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 46.3% (19-22) against the spread

The Mystics are 47.6% (10-11) against the spread away

The Mystics are 55.6% (15-12) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 53.3% (8-7) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 51.2% (21-20) to the under

The Mystics are 57.1% (12-9) to the under away

The Mystics are 51.9% (14-13) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 53.3% (8-7) to the over as an away dog

The Mystics are 42.9% (6-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mystics are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the under away

The Mystics are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/17/25	Sparks	86	@	Mystics	95	-3.0	171.5	+9	O 181 +9.5
2025	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 130.2 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 130.2 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 73.0
07/22/25	Sparks	93	@	Mystics	86	+2.5	167.5	-7	O 179 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 77.3
07/15/25	Sparks	99	vs.	Mystics	80	-1.0	165.5	-19	O 179 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 83.5
08/23/24	Sparks	74	@	Mystics	80	+4.5	164.0	+6	U 154 -10.0
2024	ORtg: 86.5 DRtg: 93.5 Pace: 85.6			ORtg: 93.5 DRtg: 86.5 Pace: 85.6
07/02/24	Sparks	80	vs.	Mystics	82	-1.5	162.5	+2	U 162 -0.5
2024	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 74.8
05/21/24	Sparks	70	vs.	Mystics	68	-2.5	158.5	-2	U 138 -20.5
2024	ORtg: 89.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 89.5 Pace: 78.2

Sparks as Home (3 games)		83.0	-	-	76.7	-1.7	162.2	-6.3 +4.7	U 159.7 -2.5
	ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 97.5 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 97.5 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 78.8

All Games Avg (6 games)		83.7	-	-	81.8	-0.2	164.9	-1.8 +1.7	O 165.5 +0.6
	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 78.7

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Mystics (2x)
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Mystics (2x)
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Mystics (2x)
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Cover Summary	Mystics
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Mystics \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 81 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Washington Mystics", home_team: "Los Angeles Sparks", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report WASNo report LASNo report

Notes

Mystics

Situational Factor(s)

Sparks

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Sparks Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Sparks (Home)

Mystics (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 78 – 81
Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks