WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 69 – 79
Chicago Sky @ Seattle Storm

Sky: 9-29 (23.7%) | Market Rating: -5.79

Storm: 21-19 (52.5%) | Market Rating: +3.20 | Home Court: +1.7 pts

Line: -10.5

Total: 162.5

Open: -11.5

Open: 162.5

Team totals: Sky 75.5 · Storm 86.5

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Games
Conversions

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Injury Report CHINo report SEANo report

Notes

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

In season revenge

Baller System(s)

Back road dog vs. opponent who was a dog in previous game

Back team w/ more rest and less road games in previous 5 games

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

1st game home off long road trip (at least three games)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller System(s)

Play over on Home fav who won their last matchup off a road game

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Sky

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/05/25 2025	Sky	-	@	Fever	-	+11.5	161.0	-	-
09/03/25 2025	Sky	-	vs.	Sun	-	-2.0	162.5	-	-
08/30/25 2025	Sky	-	@	Storm	-	+10.5	162.5	-	-
08/28/25	Sky	79	@	Mercury	83	+12.0	164.5	+4	U 162 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 74.6
08/25/25	Sky	74	vs.	Aces	79	+10.5	166.0	+5	U 153 -13.0
2025	ORtg: 94.5 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 94.5 Pace: 78.3
08/23/25	Sky	84	vs.	Sun	94	-2.5	158.5	+10	O 178 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 76.1
08/21/25	Sky	91	@	Liberty	85	+15.0	162.5	-6	O 176 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 77.3
08/19/25	Sky	88	vs.	Storm	94	+11.0	158.5	+6	O 182 +23.5
2025	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 82.7
08/15/25	Sky	59	vs.	Valkyries	90	+7.5	148.0	+31	O 149 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 86.7 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 68.0			ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 86.7 Pace: 68.0
08/13/25	Sky	62	@	Sun	71	+4.0	159.0	+9	U 133 -26.0
2025	ORtg: 86.2 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 86.2 Pace: 71.9
08/09/25	Sky	70	@	Fever	92	+10.0	163.5	+22	U 162 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 71.0
08/07/25	Sky	65	vs.	Dream	86	+11.0	161.0	+21	U 151 -10.0
2025	ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 78.6
08/05/25	Sky	78	vs.	Mystics	64	+5.5	156.0	-14	U 142 -14.0
2025	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 74.1

Away Games Avg (4 games)		75.5	-	-	82.8	+10.3	162.4	+7.3 +3.0	U 158.3 -4.1
	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 73.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		75.0	-	-	83.8	+8.4	159.8	+8.8 -0.4	U 158.8 -1.0
	ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 75.3

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/05/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-2.0	162.5	-	-
09/01/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Sparks	-	-8.0	173.0	-	-
08/30/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Sky	-	-10.5	162.5	-	-
08/28/25	Storm	93	@	Lynx	79	+9.0	164.0	-14	O 172 +8.0
2025	ORtg: 119.9 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 119.9 Pace: 77.6
08/26/25	Storm	75	@	Fever	95	-3.5	168.5	+20	O 170 +1.5
2025	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 125.1 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 125.1 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0
08/24/25	Storm	84	@	Mystics	82	-8.5	157.0	-2	O 166 +9.0
2025	ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 80.3
08/22/25	Storm	95	@	Wings	60	-8.0	169.5	-35	U 155 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 75.6 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 75.6 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 79.3
08/19/25	Storm	94	@	Sky	88	-11.0	158.5	-6	O 182 +23.5
2025	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 82.7
08/17/25	Storm	82	vs.	Mercury	85	-2.0	164.5	+3	O 167 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 85.1
08/15/25	Storm	80	@	Dream	78	+2.0	159.5	-2	U 158 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 73.4
08/13/25	Storm	75	vs.	Dream	85	-3.0	161.0	+10	U 160 -1.0
2025	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 75.2
08/10/25	Storm	91	@	Sparks	94	-4.5	172.5	+3	O 185 +12.5
2025	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 80.2
08/08/25	Storm	86	@	Aces	90	+1.5	162.5	+4	O 176 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 77.7

Home Games Avg (2 games)		78.5	-	-	85.0	-2.5	162.8	+6.5 -9.0	O 163.5 +0.8
	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 80.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		85.5	-	-	83.6	-2.8	163.8	-1.9 -0.9	O 169.1 +5.4
	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 78.7

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Storm are 26.3% (5-14) against the spread at home

The Storm are 18.8% (3-13) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 21.4% (3-11) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 0% (0-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 9.1% (1-10) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 0% (0-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sky are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Sky are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Sky are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 41.5% (17-24) against the spread

The Storm are 26.3% (5-14) against the spread at home

The Storm are 31.3% (10-22) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 18.8% (3-13) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 53.7% (22-19) to the over

The Storm are 52.6% (10-9) to the under at home

The Storm are 50% (16-16) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 56.3% (9-7) to the under as a home fav

The Storm are 21.4% (3-11) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 0% (0-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 9.1% (1-10) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 0% (0-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 64.3% (9-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Storm are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 46.2% (18-21) against the spread

The Sky are 57.9% (11-8) against the spread away

The Sky are 45.9% (17-20) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 57.9% (11-8) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 50% (19-19-1) to the over

The Sky are 50% (9-9-1) to the over away

The Sky are 50% (18-18-1) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 50% (9-9-1) to the over as an away dog

The Sky are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sky are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 69.2% (9-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Sky are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Sky are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Sky are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/19/25	Storm	94	@	Sky	88	-11.0	158.5	-6	O 182 +23.5
2025	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 82.7
07/24/25	Storm	95	@	Sky	57	-11.0	154.0	-38	U 152 -2.0
2025	ORtg: 123.2 DRtg: 73.9 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 73.9 DRtg: 123.2 Pace: 77.1
07/07/24	Storm	84	vs.	Sky	71	-9.5	163.0	-13	U 155 -8.0
2024	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 79.1
07/05/24	Storm	84	vs.	Sky	88	-10.0	162.0	+4	O 172 +10.0
2024	ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 76.8
05/28/24	Storm	77	@	Sky	68	-2.0	165.0	-9	U 145 -20.0
2024	ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 83.5 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 83.5 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 81.4

Storm as Home (2 games)		84.0	-	-	79.5	-9.8	162.5	-4.5 -5.3	O 163.5 +1.0
	ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 77.9

All Games Avg (5 games)		86.8	-	-	74.4	-8.7	160.5	-12.4 +3.7	O 161.2 +0.7
	ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 93.7 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 93.7 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 79.4

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Sky (2x)
Cover Summary	Sky
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Sky \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 69 – 79 Chicago Sky @ Seattle Storm window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Chicago Sky", home_team: "Seattle Storm", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report CHINo report SEANo report

Notes

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Storm (Home)

Sky (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 69 – 79
Chicago Sky @ Seattle Storm