WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 75 – 95
Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever

Storm: 20-18 (52.6%) | Market Rating: +3.82

Fever: 19-18 (51.4%) | Market Rating: -0.39 | Home Court: +1.8 pts

Line: +3.5

Total: 168.5

Open: +2

Open: 163

Team totals: Storm 85.5 · Fever 82.5

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Games
Conversions

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Injury Report SEANo report INDNo report

Notes

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Travel fatigue, at least fourth straight game on the road

In season revenge

Baller System(s)

Play over on team that has had a high assist-to-turnover ratio for multiple games

Fever

Baller System(s)

Fade a small fav (3.5 or less) off a win

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/30/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Sky	-	-10.5	162.5	-	-
08/28/25 2025	Storm	-	@	Lynx	-	+9.0	164.0	-	-
08/26/25 2025	Storm	-	@	Fever	-	-3.5	168.5	-	-
08/24/25	Storm	84	@	Mystics	82	-8.5	157.0	-2	O 166 +9.0
2025	ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 80.3
08/22/25	Storm	95	@	Wings	60	-8.0	169.5	-35	U 155 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 75.6 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 75.6 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 79.3
08/19/25	Storm	94	@	Sky	88	-11.0	158.5	-6	O 182 +23.5
2025	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 82.7
08/17/25	Storm	82	vs.	Mercury	85	-2.0	164.5	+3	O 167 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 85.1
08/15/25	Storm	80	@	Dream	78	+2.0	159.5	-2	U 158 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 73.4
08/13/25	Storm	75	vs.	Dream	85	-3.0	161.0	+10	U 160 -1.0
2025	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 75.2
08/10/25	Storm	91	@	Sparks	94	-4.5	172.5	+3	O 185 +12.5
2025	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 80.2
08/08/25	Storm	86	@	Aces	90	+1.5	162.5	+4	O 176 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 77.7
08/05/25	Storm	87	vs.	Lynx	91	-2.0	156.5	+4	O 178 +21.5
2025	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 83.5
08/03/25	Storm	74	vs.	Fever	78	-3.0	164.5	+4	U 152 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5

Away Games Avg (6 games)		88.3	-	-	82.0	-4.8	163.3	-6.3 +1.6	O 170.3 +7.1
	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 78.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.8	-	-	83.1	-3.9	162.6	-1.7 -2.2	O 167.9 +5.3
	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 79.9

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/31/25 2025	Fever	-	@	Valkyries	-	-2.5	159.0	-	-
08/29/25 2025	Fever	-	@	Sparks	-	+2.0	179.5	-	-
08/26/25 2025	Fever	-	vs.	Storm	-	+3.5	168.5	-	-
08/24/25	Fever	84	@	Lynx	97	+12.0	168.0	+13	O 181 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 131.6 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 131.6 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 73.7
08/22/25	Fever	90	vs.	Lynx	95	+8.0	166.0	+5	O 185 +19.0
2025	ORtg: 121.7 DRtg: 128.5 Pace: 73.9			ORtg: 128.5 DRtg: 121.7 Pace: 73.9
08/17/25	Fever	99	@	Sun	93 OT	-6.5	167.5	-6	O 192 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 78.8
08/15/25	Fever	84	vs.	Mystics	88	-8.5	163.0	+4	O 172 +9.0
2025	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 76.1
08/12/25	Fever	80	vs.	Wings	81	-9.5	170.0	+1	U 161 -9.0
2025	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 80.4
08/09/25	Fever	92	vs.	Sky	70	-10.0	163.5	-22	U 162 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 71.0
08/07/25	Fever	60	@	Mercury	95	+4.0	172.5	+35	U 155 -17.5
2025	ORtg: 75.2 DRtg: 119.1 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 119.1 DRtg: 75.2 Pace: 79.7
08/05/25	Fever	91	@	Sparks	100	-2.0	178.0	+9	O 191 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 136.1 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 136.1 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 73.5
08/03/25	Fever	78	@	Storm	74	+3.0	164.5	-4	U 152 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 81.5
08/01/25	Fever	88	@	Wings	78	-4.5	176.0	-10	U 166 -10.0
2025	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 82.7

Home Games Avg (4 games)		86.5	-	-	83.5	-5.0	165.6	-3.0 -2.0	O 170.0 +4.4
	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 75.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.6	-	-	87.1	-1.4	168.9	+2.5 -3.9	O 171.7 +2.8
	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 112.2 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 112.2 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 77.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Fever are 100% (7-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 71.4% (5-2) to the over as a home dog

The Storm are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 18.2% (2-9) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Storm are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

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Fever (Home)

The Fever are 51.3% (20-19) against the spread

The Fever are 60% (12-8) against the spread at home

The Fever are 66.7% (10-5) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 100% (7-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 51.3% (20-19) to the over

The Fever are 55% (11-9) to the over at home

The Fever are 60% (9-6) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 71.4% (5-2) to the over as a home dog

The Fever are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fever are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 41% (16-23) against the spread

The Storm are 52.4% (11-10) against the spread away

The Storm are 32.3% (10-21) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 43.8% (7-9) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 53.8% (21-18) to the over

The Storm are 57.1% (12-9) to the over away

The Storm are 51.6% (16-15) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 56.3% (9-7) to the over as an away fav

The Storm are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Storm are 18.2% (2-9) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 69.2% (9-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Storm are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/03/25	Fever	78	@	Storm	74	+3.0	164.5	-4	U 152 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 81.5
06/24/25	Fever	94	@	Storm	86	+3.0	167.0	-8	O 180 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 76.9
08/18/24	Fever	92	vs.	Storm	75	+4.0	171.0	-17	U 167 -4.0
2024	ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 81.8
06/27/24	Fever	77	@	Storm	89	+9.5	167.0	+12	U 166 -1.0
2024	ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 77.1
05/30/24	Fever	88	vs.	Storm	103	+5.5	166.5	+15	O 191 +24.5
2024	ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 81.6
05/22/24	Fever	83	@	Storm	85	+5.5	165.5	+2	O 168 +2.5
2024	ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.1

Fever as Home (2 games)		90.0	-	-	89.0	+4.8	168.8	-1.0 +5.8	O 179.0 +10.3
	ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 81.7			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 81.7

All Games Avg (6 games)		85.3	-	-	85.3	+5.1	166.9	0.0 +5.1	O 170.7 +3.8
	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.0

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 75 – 95 Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Seattle Storm", home_team: "Indiana Fever", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report SEANo report INDNo report

Notes

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Fever

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Fever (Home)

Storm (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 75 – 95
Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever