WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 79 – 63
Atlanta Dream @ Golden State Valkyries

Dream: 21-12 (63.6%) | Market Rating: +0.91

Valkyries: 18-15 (54.5%) | Market Rating: -1.08 | Home Court: +1.1 pts

Line: +4.5

Total: 152.0

Open: +5.5

Open: 153.5

Team totals: Dream 78.5 · Valkyries 74.5

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Injury Report ATLNo report GSVNo report

Notes

Dream

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

In season revenge

Valkyries

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Dream

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/21/25 2025	Dream	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+3.0	161.5	-	-
08/19/25 2025	Dream	-	@	Aces	-	+3.0	166.5	-	-
08/17/25 2025	Dream	-	@	Valkyries	-	-4.5	152.0	-	-
08/15/25	Dream	78	vs.	Storm	80	-2.0	159.5	+2	U 158 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 73.4
08/13/25	Dream	85	@	Storm	75	+3.0	161.0	-10	U 160 -1.0
2025	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 75.2
08/10/25	Dream	74	@	Mercury	66	+4.0	166.0	-8	U 140 -26.0
2025	ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 90.1 Pace: 73.2			ORtg: 90.1 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 73.2
08/07/25	Dream	86	@	Sky	65	-11.0	161.0	-21	U 151 -10.0
2025	ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 78.6
08/03/25	Dream	99	vs.	Mystics	83	-5.5	156.5	-16	O 182 +25.5
2025	ORtg: 118.5 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 118.5 Pace: 83.5
08/01/25	Dream	95	vs.	Mercury	72	+4.0	168.0	-23	U 167 -1.0
2025	ORtg: 129.2 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 129.2 Pace: 73.5
07/30/25	Dream	88	@	Wings	85	-3.5	167.0	-3	O 173 +6.0
2025	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 72.9			ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 72.9
07/29/25	Dream	75	vs.	Valkyries	77	-8.5	155.5	+2	U 152 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 67.9			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 67.9
07/27/25	Dream	90	@	Lynx	86	+8.0	159.0	-4	O 176 +17.0
2025	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 79.3
07/23/25	Dream	90	@	Mercury	79	+7.0	163.5	-11	O 169 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 77.4

Away Games Avg (6 games)		85.5	-	-	76.0	+1.3	162.9	-9.5 +10.8	U 161.5 -1.4
	ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 76.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		86.0	-	-	76.8	-0.5	161.7	-9.2 +8.8	O 162.8 +1.1
	ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 75.5

Valkyries Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/22/25 2025	Valkyries	-	@	Mercury	-	+6.0	155.5	-	-
08/19/25 2025	Valkyries	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+6.5	154.5	-	-
08/17/25 2025	Valkyries	-	vs.	Dream	-	+4.5	152.0	-	-
08/15/25	Valkyries	90	@	Sky	59	-7.5	148.0	-31	O 149 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 86.7 Pace: 68.0			ORtg: 86.7 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 68.0
08/13/25	Valkyries	88	@	Mystics	83	-2.0	149.0	-5	O 171 +22.0
2025	ORtg: 126.2 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 69.7			ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 126.2 Pace: 69.7
08/11/25	Valkyries	74	vs.	Sun	57	-8.5	154.0	-17	U 131 -23.0
2025	ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 85.1 Pace: 67.0			ORtg: 85.1 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 67.0
08/09/25	Valkyries	72	vs.	Sparks	59	+4.0	165.5	-13	U 131 -34.5
2025	ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 71.8			ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 71.8
08/06/25	Valkyries	72	vs.	Aces	78	+5.5	157.5	+6	U 150 -7.5
2025	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 72.3			ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 72.3
08/03/25	Valkyries	77	@	Aces	101	+9.5	157.0	+24	O 178 +21.0
2025	ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 136.1 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 136.1 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 74.2
08/01/25	Valkyries	73	@	Sky	66	-4.5	153.0	-7	U 139 -14.0
2025	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 71.4			ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 71.4
07/31/25	Valkyries	68	@	Mystics	67	+4.0	154.5	-1	U 135 -19.5
2025	ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 70.0			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 70.0
07/29/25	Valkyries	77	@	Dream	75	+8.5	155.5	-2	U 152 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 67.9			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 67.9
07/27/25	Valkyries	64	@	Sun	95	-4.5	156.5	+31	O 159 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 81.9 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 81.9 Pace: 78.2

Home Games Avg (3 games)		72.7	-	-	64.7	+0.3	159.0	-8.0 +8.3	U 137.3 -21.7
	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 70.4			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 70.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		75.5	-	-	74.0	+0.5	155.1	-1.5 +2.0	U 149.5 -5.6
	ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 71.0

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Valkyries are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Valkyries are 75% (12-4) to the under at home

The Valkyries are 72.7% (8-3) to the under as a home dog

The Valkyries are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Valkyries are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2-1) to the under as an away fav

The Dream are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

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Valkyries (Home)

The Valkyries are 61.8% (21-13) against the spread

The Valkyries are 68.8% (11-5) against the spread at home

The Valkyries are 60% (15-10) against the spread as a dog

The Valkyries are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Valkyries are 64.7% (22-12) to the under

The Valkyries are 75% (12-4) to the under at home

The Valkyries are 68% (17-8) to the under as a dog

The Valkyries are 72.7% (8-3) to the under as a home dog

The Valkyries are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Valkyries are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Valkyries are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Valkyries are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Valkyries are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Valkyries are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Valkyries are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Valkyries are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Dream (Away)

The Dream are 60.6% (20-13-1) against the spread

The Dream are 63.2% (12-7) against the spread away

The Dream are 55% (11-9) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 50% (4-4) against the spread as an away fav

The Dream are 51.5% (17-16-1) to the under

The Dream are 50% (9-9-1) to the over away

The Dream are 57.9% (11-8-1) to the under as a fav

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2-1) to the under as an away fav

The Dream are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Dream are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Dream are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under away

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/29/25	Valkyries	77	@	Dream	75	+8.5	155.5	-2	U 152 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 67.9			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 67.9
07/07/25	Valkyries	81	@	Dream	90	+7.5	157.5	+9	O 171 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 79.2

All Games Avg (2 games)		79.0	-	-	82.5	+8.0	156.5	+3.5 +4.5	O 161.5 +5.0
	ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 73.6			ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 73.6

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Dream (2x)
Cover Summary	Dream
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Dream \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 79 – 63 Atlanta Dream @ Golden State Valkyries window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Atlanta Dream", home_team: "Golden State Valkyries", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report ATLNo report GSVNo report

Notes

Dream

Situational Factor(s)

Valkyries

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Valkyries Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Valkyries (Home)

Dream (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 79 – 63
Atlanta Dream @ Golden State Valkyries