WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 88 – 84
Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever

Mystics: 14-18 (43.8%) | Market Rating: -2.58

Fever: 18-15 (54.5%) | Market Rating: +1.18 | Home Court: +2.1 pts

Line: -8.5

Total: 163.0

Open: -8.5

Open: 161.5

Team totals: Mystics 77.5 · Fever 85.5

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report WASNo report INDNo report

Notes

Mystics

Situational Factor(s)

Rest disadvantage

In season revenge

Baller System(s)

Rested home team (over .500) vs. road team (under .500) go under

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Rest advantage

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Back team off more rest and has more rest in upcoming game than opponent

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Mystics

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

View All Algorithms

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/19/25 2025	Mystics	-	vs.	Sun	-	-6.5	158.5	-	-
08/17/25 2025	Mystics	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+3.0	171.5	-	-
08/15/25 2025	Mystics	-	@	Fever	-	+8.5	163.0	-	-
08/13/25	Mystics	83	vs.	Valkyries	88	+2.0	149.0	+5	O 171 +22.0
2025	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 126.2 Pace: 69.7			ORtg: 126.2 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 69.7
08/10/25	Mystics	91	@	Wings	78	+4.0	163.5	-13	O 169 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 79.9
08/08/25	Mystics	76	@	Lynx	80	+10.5	157.5	+4	U 156 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 73.9			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 73.9
08/05/25	Mystics	64	@	Sky	78	-5.5	156.0	+14	U 142 -14.0
2025	ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 74.1
08/03/25	Mystics	83	@	Dream	99	+5.5	156.5	+16	O 182 +25.5
2025	ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 118.5 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 118.5 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 83.5
07/31/25	Mystics	67	vs.	Valkyries	68	-4.0	154.5	+1	U 135 -19.5
2025	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 70.0			ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 70.0
07/29/25	Mystics	103	vs.	Sky	86	-7.5	156.5	-17	O 189 +32.5
2025	ORtg: 129.7 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 129.7 Pace: 79.4
07/27/25	Mystics	72	vs.	Mercury	88	+8.0	162.5	+16	U 160 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 78.8
07/26/25	Mystics	69	vs.	Storm	58	+4.0	155.5	-11	U 127 -28.5
2025	ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 75.5 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 75.5 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 76.8
07/22/25	Mystics	86	vs.	Sparks	93	-2.5	167.5	+7	O 179 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 77.3

Away Games Avg (4 games)		78.5	-	-	83.8	+3.6	158.4	+5.3 -1.6	O 162.3 +3.9
	ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 77.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.4	-	-	81.6	+1.5	157.9	+2.2 -0.8	O 161.0 +3.1
	ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 76.4

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/22/25 2025	Fever	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+8.0	166.0	-	-
08/17/25 2025	Fever	-	@	Sun	-	-6.5	167.5	-	-
08/15/25 2025	Fever	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-8.5	163.0	-	-
08/12/25	Fever	80	vs.	Wings	81	-9.5	170.0	+1	U 161 -9.0
2025	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 80.4
08/09/25	Fever	92	vs.	Sky	70	-10.0	163.5	-22	U 162 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 71.0
08/07/25	Fever	60	@	Mercury	95	+4.0	172.5	+35	U 155 -17.5
2025	ORtg: 75.2 DRtg: 119.1 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 119.1 DRtg: 75.2 Pace: 79.7
08/05/25	Fever	91	@	Sparks	100	-2.0	178.0	+9	O 191 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 136.1 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 136.1 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 73.5
08/03/25	Fever	78	@	Storm	74	+3.0	164.5	-4	U 152 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 81.5
08/01/25	Fever	88	@	Wings	78	-4.5	176.0	-10	U 166 -10.0
2025	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 82.7
07/30/25	Fever	107	vs.	Mercury	101	+3.5	167.0	-6	O 208 +41.0
2025	ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 90.1			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 90.1
07/27/25	Fever	93	@	Sky	78	-11.5	156.0	-15	O 171 +15.0
2025	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 79.9
07/24/25	Fever	80	vs.	Aces	70	+1.5	165.5	-10	U 150 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.3
07/22/25	Fever	84	@	Liberty	98	+10.5	163.0	+14	O 182 +19.0
2025	ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 88.8			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 88.8

Home Games Avg (4 games)		89.8	-	-	80.5	-3.6	166.5	-9.3 +5.6	O 170.3 +3.8
	ORtg: 112.8 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 112.8 Pace: 79.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		85.3	-	-	84.5	-1.5	167.6	-0.8 -0.7	O 169.8 +2.2
	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 80.5

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

On / Off Court

Follows the Team Comparison Stats filters above.

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

The Mystics are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

View All Records

Fever (Home)

The Fever are 51.4% (18-17) against the spread

The Fever are 55.6% (10-8) against the spread at home

The Fever are 43.5% (10-13) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 38.5% (5-8) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 54.3% (19-16) to the under

The Fever are 50% (9-9) to the over at home

The Fever are 56.5% (13-10) to the under as a fav

The Fever are 53.8% (7-6) to the under as a home fav

The Fever are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Fever are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 48.5% (16-17) against the spread

The Mystics are 52.9% (9-8) against the spread away

The Mystics are 57.1% (12-9) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 58.3% (7-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 51.5% (17-16) to the under

The Mystics are 52.9% (9-8) to the under away

The Mystics are 52.4% (11-10) to the under as a dog

The Mystics are 58.3% (7-5) to the over as an away dog

The Mystics are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/03/25	Fever	85	vs.	Mystics	76	-5.0	161.5	-9	U 161 -0.5
2025	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 73.4
05/28/25	Fever	77	@	Mystics	83	-4.0	166.0	+6	U 160 -6.0
2025	ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 83.0
09/19/24	Fever	91	@	Mystics	92	+3.0	168.0	+1	O 183 +15.0
2024	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 82.2
07/10/24	Fever	84	vs.	Mystics	89	-7.0	167.5	+5	O 173 +5.5
2024	ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 104.9 Pace: 84.9			ORtg: 104.9 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 84.9
06/19/24	Fever	88	vs.	Mystics	81	-5.0	167.0	-7	O 169 +2.0
2024	ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 76.9
06/07/24	Fever	85	@	Mystics	83	-4.5	160.5	-2	O 168 +7.5
2024	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 79.5

Fever as Home (3 games)		85.7	-	-	82.0	-5.7	165.3	-3.7 -2.0	O 167.7 +2.3
	ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 78.4

All Games Avg (6 games)		85.0	-	-	84.0	-3.8	165.1	-1.0 -2.8	O 169.0 +3.9
	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 80.0

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Mystics (2x)
Cover Summary	Mystics
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Mystics \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 88 – 84 Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Washington Mystics", home_team: "Indiana Fever", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report WASNo report INDNo report

Notes

Mystics

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Fever (Home)

Mystics (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 88 – 84
Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever