WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 91 – 87
Minnesota Lynx @ Seattle Storm

Lynx: 24-5 (82.8%) | Market Rating: +5.47

Storm: 16-13 (55.2%) | Market Rating: +3.12 | Home Court: +1.5 pts

Line: -2.0

Total: 156.5

Open: -2.5

Open: 156

Team totals: Lynx 77.5 · Storm 79.5

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Games
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Injury Report MINNo report SEANo report

Notes

Lynx

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in season revenge

Rest advantage

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Back road team off win w/ more rest

Back team off a good shooting performance (over 55 FG%)

Back team off more rest and has more rest in upcoming game than opponent

Back team w/ more rest and less road games in previous 5 games

Fade team when game before last was an overtime game

Play over on team that has had a high assist-to-turnover ratio for multiple games

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Rest disadvantage

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Lynx Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/10/25 2025	Lynx	-	@	Liberty	-	+4.0	168.0	-	-
08/08/25 2025	Lynx	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-10.5	157.5	-	-
08/05/25 2025	Lynx	-	@	Storm	-	+2.0	156.5	-	-
08/02/25	Lynx	111	@	Aces	58	-4.5	166.5	-53	O 169 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 142.4 DRtg: 74.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 74.4 DRtg: 142.4 Pace: 77.9
07/30/25	Lynx	100	vs.	Liberty	93	-7.5	166.5	-7	O 193 +26.5
2025	ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 80.1
07/27/25	Lynx	86	vs.	Dream	90	-8.0	159.0	+4	O 176 +17.0
2025	ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 79.3
07/25/25	Lynx	109	vs.	Aces	78	-10.0	162.5	-31	O 187 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 139.1 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 139.1 Pace: 78.4
07/22/25	Lynx	91	vs.	Sky	68	-15.5	159.0	-23	P 159 0.0
2025	ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 91.1 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 91.1 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 74.7
07/16/25	Lynx	79	vs.	Mercury	66	-10.0	158.5	-13	U 145 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 83.9 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 83.9 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 78.6
07/14/25	Lynx	91	@	Sky	78	-11.0	160.0	-13	O 169 +9.0
2025	ORtg: 117.9 DRtg: 101.1 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 101.1 DRtg: 117.9 Pace: 77.2
07/12/25	Lynx	81	@	Sky	87	-11.5	161.0	+6	O 168 +7.0
2025	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 82.0
07/10/25	Lynx	91	@	Sparks	82	-7.5	164.5	-9	O 173 +8.5
2025	ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 79.6
07/09/25	Lynx	71	@	Mercury	79	-7.5	160.5	+8	U 150 -10.5
2025	ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 76.9

Away Games Avg (5 games)		89.0	-	-	76.8	-8.4	162.5	-12.2 +3.8	O 165.8 +3.3
	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 78.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		91.0	-	-	77.9	-9.3	161.8	-13.1 +3.8	O 168.9 +7.1
	ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 78.5

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/10/25 2025	Storm	-	@	Sparks	-	-4.5	172.5	-	-
08/08/25 2025	Storm	-	@	Aces	-	+1.5	162.5	-	-
08/05/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-2.0	156.5	-	-
08/03/25	Storm	74	vs.	Fever	78	-3.0	164.5	+4	U 152 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5
08/01/25	Storm	106	vs.	Sparks	108 2OT	-4.5	170.0	+2	O 214 +44.0
2025	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 90.1			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 90.1
07/28/25	Storm	101	@	Sun	85	-11.0	157.5	-16	O 186 +28.5
2025	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 85.8
07/26/25	Storm	58	@	Mystics	69	-4.0	155.5	+11	U 127 -28.5
2025	ORtg: 75.5 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 75.5 Pace: 76.8
07/24/25	Storm	95	@	Sky	57	-11.0	154.0	-38	U 152 -2.0
2025	ORtg: 123.2 DRtg: 73.9 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 73.9 DRtg: 123.2 Pace: 77.1
07/22/25	Storm	63	vs.	Wings	87	-9.0	164.5	+24	U 150 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 82.4
07/16/25	Storm	67	vs.	Valkyries	58	-5.0	155.5	-9	U 125 -30.5
2025	ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 81.3 Pace: 71.3			ORtg: 81.3 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 71.3
07/13/25	Storm	69	vs.	Mystics	74	-7.0	156.5	+5	U 143 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 96.7 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 96.7 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 76.5
07/11/25	Storm	79	vs.	Sun	65	-18.5	157.5	-14	U 144 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 69.7			ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 69.7
07/09/25	Storm	83	@	Sun	93	-16.5	155.5	+10	O 176 +20.5
2025	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 77.5

Home Games Avg (6 games)		76.3	-	-	78.3	-7.8	161.4	+2.0 -9.8	U 154.7 -6.8
	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 96.9 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 96.9 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 78.6

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.5	-	-	77.4	-9.0	159.1	-2.1 -6.9	U 156.9 -2.2
	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 78.9

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Storm are 23.1% (3-10) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 27.3% (3-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

The Lynx are 72.7% (8-3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Lynx are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over away

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 46.7% (14-16) against the spread

The Storm are 31.3% (5-11) against the spread at home

The Storm are 37.5% (9-15) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 23.1% (3-10) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 50% (15-15) to the over

The Storm are 50% (8-8) to the over at home

The Storm are 54.2% (13-11) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) to the under as a home fav

The Storm are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 27.3% (3-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Lynx (Away)

The Lynx are 56.7% (17-13-1) against the spread

The Lynx are 53.8% (7-6-1) against the spread away

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a dog

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Lynx are 53.3% (16-14-1) to the over

The Lynx are 64.3% (9-5) to the over away

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) to the over as a dog

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away dog

The Lynx are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lynx are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Lynx are 72.7% (8-3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Lynx are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/11/25	Storm	94	vs.	Lynx	84	+3.5	155.0	-10	O 178 +23.0
2025	ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 75.4
05/27/25	Storm	77	@	Lynx	82	+7.0	156.0	+5	O 159 +3.0
2025	ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 74.8
07/12/24	Storm	91	vs.	Lynx	63	-6.0	154.0	-28	P 154 0.0
2024	ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 82.5 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 82.5 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 76.4
06/09/24	Storm	64	@	Lynx	83	+1.5	157.0	+19	U 147 -10.0
2024	ORtg: 83.8 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 83.8 Pace: 76.4
05/17/24	Storm	93	@	Lynx	102 2OT	-1.5	166.5	+9	O 195 +28.5
2024	ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 94.0			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 94.0
05/14/24	Storm	70	vs.	Lynx	83	-7.5	165.0	+13	U 153 -12.0
2024	ORtg: 81.5 DRtg: 96.7 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 96.7 DRtg: 81.5 Pace: 85.9

Storm as Home (3 games)		85.0	-	-	76.7	-3.3	158.0	-8.3 +5.0	O 161.7 +3.7
	ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 79.2

All Games Avg (6 games)		81.5	-	-	82.8	-0.5	158.9	+1.3 -1.8	O 164.3 +5.4
	ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 80.5

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 91 – 87 Minnesota Lynx @ Seattle Storm window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Minnesota Lynx", home_team: "Seattle Storm", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report MINNo report SEANo report

Notes

Lynx

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Lynx Schedule Follow global filters

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Storm (Home)

Lynx (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 91 – 87
Minnesota Lynx @ Seattle Storm