WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 74
Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm

Fever: 16-12 (57.1%) | Market Rating: +0.66

Storm: 16-12 (57.1%) | Market Rating: +3.13 | Home Court: +1.6 pts

Line: -3.0

Total: 164.5

Open: -2.5

Open: 158

Team totals: Fever 81.5 · Storm 83.5

Odds Full WNBA odds board

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Games
Conversions

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Injury Report INDNo report SEANo report

Notes

Fever

Nothing active

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off an overtime game

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

In season revenge

Baller System(s)

Play over on team that has had a high assist-to-turnover ratio for multiple games

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Storm

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/07/25 2025	Fever	-	@	Mercury	-	+4.0	172.5	-	-
08/05/25 2025	Fever	-	@	Sparks	-	-2.0	178.0	-	-
08/03/25 2025	Fever	-	@	Storm	-	+3.0	164.5	-	-
08/01/25	Fever	88	@	Wings	78	-4.5	176.0	-10	U 166 -10.0
2025	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 82.7
07/30/25	Fever	107	vs.	Mercury	101	+3.5	167.0	-6	O 208 +41.0
2025	ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 90.1			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 90.1
07/27/25	Fever	93	@	Sky	78	-11.5	156.0	-15	O 171 +15.0
2025	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 79.9
07/24/25	Fever	80	vs.	Aces	70	+1.5	165.5	-10	U 150 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.3
07/22/25	Fever	84	@	Liberty	98	+10.5	163.0	+14	O 182 +19.0
2025	ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 88.8			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 88.8
07/16/25	Fever	77	@	Liberty	98	+10.0	163.0	+21	O 175 +12.0
2025	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 78.0
07/15/25	Fever	85	@	Sun	77	-15.0	166.5	-8	U 162 -4.5
2025	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8
07/13/25	Fever	102	vs.	Wings	83	-10.0	174.5	-19	O 185 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 126.7 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 126.7 Pace: 80.5
07/11/25	Fever	99	vs.	Dream	82	-1.5	167.5	-17	O 181 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 126.7 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 126.7 Pace: 78.1
07/09/25	Fever	61	vs.	Valkyries	80	-7.0	165.0	+19	U 141 -24.0
2025	ORtg: 75.8 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 75.8 Pace: 80.4

Away Games Avg (5 games)		85.4	-	-	85.8	-2.1	164.9	+0.4 -2.5	O 171.2 +6.3
	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 104.9 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 104.9 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 81.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		87.6	-	-	84.5	-2.4	166.4	-3.1 +0.7	O 172.1 +5.7
	ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 81.6

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/08/25 2025	Storm	-	@	Aces	-	+1.5	162.5	-	-
08/05/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-2.0	156.5	-	-
08/03/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Fever	-	-3.0	164.5	-	-
08/01/25	Storm	106	vs.	Sparks	108 2OT	-4.5	170.0	+2	O 214 +44.0
2025	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 90.1			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 90.1
07/28/25	Storm	101	@	Sun	85	-11.0	157.5	-16	O 186 +28.5
2025	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 85.8
07/26/25	Storm	58	@	Mystics	69	-4.0	155.5	+11	U 127 -28.5
2025	ORtg: 75.5 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 75.5 Pace: 76.8
07/24/25	Storm	95	@	Sky	57	-11.0	154.0	-38	U 152 -2.0
2025	ORtg: 123.2 DRtg: 73.9 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 73.9 DRtg: 123.2 Pace: 77.1
07/22/25	Storm	63	vs.	Wings	87	-9.0	164.5	+24	U 150 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 82.4
07/16/25	Storm	67	vs.	Valkyries	58	-5.0	155.5	-9	U 125 -30.5
2025	ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 81.3 Pace: 71.3			ORtg: 81.3 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 71.3
07/13/25	Storm	69	vs.	Mystics	74	-7.0	156.5	+5	U 143 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 96.7 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 96.7 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 76.5
07/11/25	Storm	79	vs.	Sun	65	-18.5	157.5	-14	U 144 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 69.7			ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 69.7
07/09/25	Storm	83	@	Sun	93	-16.5	155.5	+10	O 176 +20.5
2025	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 77.5
07/06/25	Storm	79	@	Liberty	70	+5.0	167.5	-9	U 149 -18.5
2025	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 76.1

Home Games Avg (5 games)		76.8	-	-	78.4	-8.8	160.8	+1.6 -10.4	U 155.2 -5.6
	ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 78.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		80.0	-	-	76.6	-8.2	159.4	-3.4 -4.8	U 156.6 -2.8
	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 78.3

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Storm are 25% (3-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

The Fever are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread as a dog

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 48.3% (14-15) against the spread

The Storm are 33.3% (5-10) against the spread at home

The Storm are 39.1% (9-14) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 25% (3-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 51.7% (15-14) to the under

The Storm are 53.3% (8-7) to the under at home

The Storm are 56.5% (13-10) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 58.3% (7-5) to the under as a home fav

The Storm are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Fever (Away)

The Fever are 56.7% (17-13) against the spread

The Fever are 53.3% (8-7) against the spread away

The Fever are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 50% (3-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 53.3% (16-14) to the under

The Fever are 60% (9-6) to the under away

The Fever are 54.5% (6-5) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 50% (3-3) to the over as an away dog

The Fever are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over away

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/24/25	Storm	86	vs.	Fever	94	-3.0	167.0	+8	O 180 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 76.9
08/18/24	Storm	75	@	Fever	92	-4.0	171.0	+17	U 167 -4.0
2024	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 81.8
06/27/24	Storm	89	vs.	Fever	77	-9.5	167.0	-12	U 166 -1.0
2024	ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 77.1
05/30/24	Storm	103	@	Fever	88	-5.5	166.5	-15	O 191 +24.5
2024	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 81.6
05/22/24	Storm	85	vs.	Fever	83	-5.5	165.5	-2	O 168 +2.5
2024	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 75.1

Storm as Home (3 games)		86.7	-	-	84.7	-6.0	166.5	-2.0 -4.0	O 171.3 +4.8
	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 76.4

All Games Avg (5 games)		87.6	-	-	86.8	-5.5	167.4	-0.8 -4.7	O 174.4 +7.0
	ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 78.5

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Storm (2x)
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Cover Summary	Storm
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Storm \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 74 Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Indiana Fever", home_team: "Seattle Storm", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report INDNo report SEANo report

Notes

Fever

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Storm (Home)

Fever (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 78 – 74
Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm