WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 90 – 83
Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces

Storm: 7-5 (58.3%) | Market Rating: +3.15

Aces: 5-6 (45.5%) | Market Rating: +3.05 | Home Court: +1.3 pts

Line: +2.5

Total: 160.0

Open: +4.5

Open: 163

Team totals: Storm 79.5 · Aces 81.5

Odds Full WNBA odds board

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Games
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Injury Report SEANo report LVANo report

Notes

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

In season revenge

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Aces

Situational Factor(s)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Fade a small fav (3.5 or less) off a win

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Storm

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/24/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Fever	-	-3.0	167.0	-	-
06/22/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-3.5	160.5	-	-
06/20/25 2025	Storm	-	@	Aces	-	-2.5	160.0	-	-
06/17/25	Storm	98	@	Sparks	67	-9.0	155.0	-31	O 165 +10.0
2025	ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 81.5 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 81.5 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 82.2
06/14/25	Storm	70	@	Valkyries	76	-10.0	155.0	+6	U 146 -9.0
2025	ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 77.4
06/11/25	Storm	94	vs.	Lynx	84	+3.5	155.0	-10	O 178 +23.0
2025	ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 75.4
06/07/25	Storm	89	@	Mercury	77	-5.5	156.0	-12	O 166 +10.0
2025	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 73.8			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 73.8
06/03/25	Storm	83	vs.	Wings	77	-10.5	166.0	-6	U 160 -6.0
2025	ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 82.7
06/01/25	Storm	70	vs.	Aces	75	+3.0	161.0	+5	U 145 -16.0
2025	ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 78.2
05/30/25	Storm	87	vs.	Dream	94	-5.0	156.5	+7	O 181 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 80.8
05/27/25	Storm	77	@	Lynx	82	+7.0	156.0	+5	O 159 +3.0
2025	ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 74.8
05/25/25	Storm	102	vs.	Aces	82	+5.0	158.0	-20	O 184 +26.0
2025	ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 80.0
05/23/25	Storm	77	vs.	Mercury	70	-6.0	157.5	-7	U 147 -10.5
2025	ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 79.1

Away Games Avg (4 games)		83.5	-	-	75.5	-4.4	155.5	-8.0 +3.6	O 159.0 +3.5
	ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 77.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.7	-	-	78.4	-2.8	157.6	-6.3 +3.6	O 163.1 +5.5
	ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 78.4

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/25/25 2025	Aces	-	vs.	Sun	-	-19.0	159.5	-	-
06/22/25 2025	Aces	-	vs.	Fever	-	+1.0	171.5	-	-
06/20/25 2025	Aces	-	vs.	Storm	-	+2.5	160.0	-	-
06/17/25	Aces	62	@	Lynx	76	+13.0	161.0	+14	U 138 -23.0
2025	ORtg: 84.1 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 84.1 Pace: 73.7
06/15/25	Aces	70	vs.	Mercury	76	+4.5	164.5	+6	U 146 -18.5
2025	ORtg: 94.5 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 94.5 Pace: 74.1
06/13/25	Aces	88	vs.	Wings	84	-5.5	170.0	-4	O 172 +2.0
2025	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 79.4
06/11/25	Aces	89	vs.	Sparks	97	-9.0	168.5	+8	O 186 +17.5
2025	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 80.8
06/07/25	Aces	68	@	Valkyries	95	-12.0	160.5	+27	O 163 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 86.6 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 86.6 Pace: 78.5
06/01/25	Aces	75	@	Storm	70	-3.0	161.0	-5	U 145 -16.0
2025	ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.2
05/30/25	Aces	96	vs.	Sparks	81	-10.0	167.0	-15	O 177 +10.0
2025	ORtg: 118.1 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 118.1 Pace: 81.3
05/25/25	Aces	82	@	Storm	102	-5.0	158.0	+20	O 184 +26.0
2025	ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 80.0
05/23/25	Aces	75	vs.	Mystics	72	-14.5	165.5	-3	U 147 -18.5
2025	ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 75.1
05/20/25	Aces	87	@	Sun	62	-14.0	166.5	-25	U 149 -17.5
2025	ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 80.2 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 80.2 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 77.3

Home Games Avg (5 games)		83.6	-	-	82.0	-6.9	167.1	-1.6 -5.3	U 165.6 -1.5
	ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 78.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.2	-	-	81.5	-5.6	164.3	+2.3 -7.9	U 160.7 -3.6
	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 77.8

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Aces are 25% (3-9) against the spread

The Aces are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread at home

The Aces are 0% (0-4) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 20% (2-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Aces are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread away

The Storm are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

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Aces (Home)

The Aces are 25% (3-9) against the spread

The Aces are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread at home

The Aces are 0% (0-4) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Aces are 58.3% (7-5) to the over

The Aces are 66.7% (4-2) to the over at home

The Aces are 50% (2-2) to the over as a dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) to the over as a home dog

The Aces are 20% (2-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Aces are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Aces are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Aces are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Aces are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Aces are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 61.5% (8-5) against the spread

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread away

The Storm are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) to the over

The Storm are 57.1% (4-3) to the over away

The Storm are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 50% (3-3) to the over as an away fav

The Storm are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Storm are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Storm are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/01/25	Aces	75	@	Storm	70	-3.0	161.0	-5	U 145 -16.0
2025	ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.2
05/25/25	Aces	82	@	Storm	102	-5.0	158.0	+20	O 184 +26.0
2025	ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 80.0
09/24/24	Aces	83	vs.	Storm	76	-7.5	159.5	-7	U 159 -0.5
2024	ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 76.0
09/22/24	Aces	78	vs.	Storm	67	-9.0	162.0	-11	U 145 -17.0
2024	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 74.1
09/17/24	Aces	85	@	Storm	72	-8.5	163.5	-13	U 157 -6.5
2024	ORtg: 116.9 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 72.7			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 116.9 Pace: 72.7
07/10/24	Aces	84	@	Storm	79	-4.0	172.5	-5	U 163 -9.5
2024	ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 94.5 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 94.5 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 83.6
06/19/24	Aces	94	vs.	Storm	83	-6.5	172.5	-11	O 177 +4.5
2024	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 83.0
06/07/24	Aces	65	vs.	Storm	78	-8.0	166.5	+13	U 143 -23.5
2024	ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1

Aces as Home (4 games)		80.0	-	-	76.0	-7.8	165.1	-4.0 -3.8	U 156.0 -9.1
	ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 79.5

All Games Avg (8 games)		80.8	-	-	78.4	-6.4	164.4	-2.4 -4.1	U 159.1 -5.3
	ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 79.1

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Storm (2x)
Cover Summary	Storm
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Storm \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 90 – 83 Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Seattle Storm", home_team: "Las Vegas Aces", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report SEANo report LVANo report

Notes

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Aces

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

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Aces (Home)

Storm (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 90 – 83
Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces