MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 3 – 7
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Tigers: 0-2 (0.0%) | Reese Olson (R): 0-0 (0.0%)

Dodgers: 4-0 (100.0%) | Roki Sasaki (R): 1-0 (100.0%)

Run line

Team Total

Total

Tigers

+169

+1.5 (-123)

o3.5 (+115)

7.5

Dodgers

-200

-1.5 (+102)

o4.5 (+102)

Open

Tigers

+167

+1.5 (-128)

o3.5 (+115)

8.5

Dodgers

-196

-1.5 (+107)

o4.5 (+102)

Odds Full MLB odds board

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Games
Conversions

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Injury Report DETNo report LADNo report

Notes

Tigers

Situational Factor(s)

Game off extra innings

Game off giving up a walk-off win

Dodgers

Situational Factor(s)

Game off extra innings

Game off a walk-off win

Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. Compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to see where the model and the market disagree. Regular season only.

Tigers

R. Olson	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Dodgers

R. Sasaki	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Tigers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/01/25 2025	Tigers Casey Mize (R)	-	@	Mariners Logan Gilbert (R)	-	+150	6.5
03/31/25 2025	Tigers Jackson Jobe (R)	-	@	Mariners Emerson Hancock (R)	-	+102	7.5
03/29/25 2025	Tigers Reese Olson (R)	-	@	Dodgers Roki Sasaki (R)	-	+175	7.5
03/28/25 2025	Tigers Jack Flaherty (R)	5	@	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	8 F/10	+185	7.5
03/27/25 2025	Tigers Tarik Skubal (L)	4	@	Dodgers Blake Snell (L)	5	+140	6.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/12/24 2024	Tigers Tarik Skubal (L)	3	@	Guardians Matthew Boyd (L)	7	-124	6.0
10/10/24 2024	Tigers Reese Olson (R)	4	vs.	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	5	+106	6.5
10/09/24 2024	Tigers Keider Montero (R)	3	vs.	Guardians Alex Cobb (R)	0	-102	7.5
10/07/24 2024	Tigers Tarik Skubal (L)	3	@	Guardians Matthew Boyd (L)	0	-130	6.0
10/05/24 2024	Tigers Tyler Holton (L)	0	@	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	7	+130	7.0
10/02/24 2024	Tigers Tyler Holton (L)	5	@	Astros Hunter Brown (R)	2	+152	7.5
10/01/24 2024	Tigers Tarik Skubal (L)	3	@	Astros Framber Valdez (L)	1	+120	6.5
09/29/24 2024	Tigers Kenta Maeda (R)	5	vs.	White Sox Jonathan Cannon (R)	9	-240	7.5

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		4.5	-	-	6.5	+161	7.0

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		4.5	-	-	6.5	+161	7.0

Dodgers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/01/25 2025	Dodgers Dustin May (R)	-	vs.	Braves Chris Sale (L)	-	-126	7.5
03/31/25 2025	Dodgers Tyler Glasnow (R)	-	vs.	Braves Grant Holmes (R)	-	-210	8.0
03/29/25 2025	Dodgers Roki Sasaki (R)	-	vs.	Tigers Reese Olson (R)	-	-210	7.5
03/28/25 2025	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	8	vs.	Tigers Jack Flaherty (R)	5 F/10	-225	7.5
03/27/25 2025	Dodgers Blake Snell (L)	5	vs.	Tigers Tarik Skubal (L)	4	-166	6.5
03/19/25 2025	Dodgers Roki Sasaki (R)	6	vs.	Cubs Justin Steele (L)	3	-138	7.5
03/18/25 2025	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	4	vs.	Cubs Shota Imanaga (L)	1	-154	8.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/30/24 2024	Dodgers Jack Flaherty (R)	7	@	Yankees Gerrit Cole (R)	6	+122	8.5
10/29/24 2024	Dodgers Ben Casparius (R)	4	@	Yankees Luis Gil (R)	11	+116	8.5
10/28/24 2024	Dodgers Walker Buehler (R)	4	@	Yankees Clarke Schmidt (R)	2	+122	8.5
10/26/24 2024	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	4	vs.	Yankees Carlos Rodon (L)	2	-138	8.5
10/25/24 2024	Dodgers Jack Flaherty (R)	6	vs.	Yankees Gerrit Cole (R)	3	-124	8.5
10/20/24 2024	Dodgers Michael Kopech (R)	10	vs.	Mets Sean Manaea (L)	5	-146	8.5

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		6.5	-	-	4.5	-193	7.0

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		5.8	-	-	3.3	-167	7.5

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Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Reese Olson's mix vs. LAD bats

Reese Olson's pitches			LAD hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
Sinker	27.2%	94.4	13.4% 11th	24.1% 11th	.292 9th	.345 4th	.367 2nd	.549 2nd	.204 6th	46.0% 11th	7.4% 12th	90.4 4th
Changeup	25.9%	87.7	31.9% 17th	30.9% 5th	.244 8th	.320 14th	.293 13th	.519 8th	.199 11th	35.8% 10th	7.4% 16th	86.9 12th
Slider	21.6%	84.3	30.9% 5th	27.5% 1st	.235 12th	.312 26th	.306 8th	.557 15th	.245 12th	36.7% 23rd	9.4% 13th	88.0 15th
4-Seam Fastball	19.4%	94.3	20.0% 9th	21.4% 3rd	.263 7th	.345 8th	.374 1st	.677 3rd	.332 3rd	48.4% 15th	13.8% 3rd	91.9 10th
Curveball	5.5%	79.7	31.5% 18th	26.6% 6th	.214 21st	.326 16th	.278 17th	.581 9th	.255 7th	38.3% 15th	9.8% 7th	88.9 7th
Sweeper	0.4%	82.5	30.6% 15th	26.1% 3rd	.256 3rd	.318 11th	.311 3rd	.583 6th	.265 4th	35.2% 9th	10.4% 8th	88.1 2nd
Whole mix, by usage			24.3% 11th	26.2% 1st	.257 6th	.330 7th	.331 3rd	.570 7th	.239 7th	41.3% 12th	9.2% 9th	89.2 7th

2025 season totals. Usage and Velo are Reese Olson's; every other column is LAD's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is LAD's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Roki Sasaki's mix vs. DET bats

Roki Sasaki's pitches			DET hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
4-Seam Fastball	48.8%	96.6	22.5% 21st	24.1% 20th	.249 16th	.355 3rd	.360 6th	.660 8th	.305 9th	49.9% 8th	11.9% 13th	92.1 8th
Forkball	37.1%	85.3	50.0% 23rd	7.1% 3rd	-	-	.691 1st	-	-	-	-	-
Sweeper	13.3%	81.9	34.7% 25th	30.5% 17th	.200 24th	.319 10th	.260 21st	.549 11th	.230 13th	28.2% 27th	9.2% 11th	84.9 24th
Sinker	0.8%	97.4	13.4% 11th	21.4% 3rd	.298 7th	.328 15th	.350 11th	.546 4th	.218 2nd	42.2% 26th	8.7% 3rd	89.1 19th
Whole mix, by usage			34.3% 25th	18.6% 4th	.239 7th	.347 8th	.469 1st	.635 5th	.288 4th	45.2% 4th	11.3% 4th	90.5 5th

2025 season totals. Usage and Velo are Roki Sasaki's; every other column is DET's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is DET's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Reese Olson Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
10/10	DET [ 4 ]	CLE [ 5 ]	+106	6.5	4	74	4	1	5	0	1	1	Tanner Bibee (R)
9/26	DET [ 4 ]	TBR [ 3 ]	-178	8	4	72	3	0	4	0	2	2	Tyler Alexander (L)
9/21	BAL [ 4 ]	DET [ 6 ]	+104	8.5	3	58	3	1	1	0	1	1	Cade Povich (L)
9/16	KCR [ 6 ]	DET [ 7 ]	+114	8	2.33	50	3	1	4	1	4	4	Seth Lugo (R)
7/20	TOR [ 3 ]	DET [ 7 ]	+102	8	2	30	0	2	1	0	0	0	Yusei Kikuchi (L)
Averages:					3.07	56.8	2.6	1	3	0.2	1.6	1.6

Roki Sasaki Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
3/19	CHC [ 3 ]	LAD [ 6 ]	-138	7.5	3	56	3	5	1	0	1	1	Justin Steele (L)
Averages:					3	56	3	5	1	0	1	1

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

DET Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	3/26	3/27	3/28	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Beau Brieske ⚠	·	1.0 (12)	0.1 (21)	2	1.1	33	1	0	4	4
Tyler Holton	·	·	1.1 (16)	1	1.1	16	1	0	0	0
Brenan Hanifee	·	1.0 (20)	·	1	1.0	20	1	0	1	1
John Brebbia	·	1.0 (10)	·	1	1.0	10	2	0	0	0
Tommy Kahnle	·	·	1.0 (11)	1	1.0	11	2	0	0	0
Will Vest	·	·	1.0 (16)	1	1.0	16	2	0	1	1
Team Totals (6 arms used):				7	6.2	106	9	0	6	6

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

LAD Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	3/26	3/27	3/28	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Alex Vesia ⚠	·	1.0 (18)	1.0 (26)	2	2.0	44	5	2	2	1
Tanner Scott ⚠	·	1.0 (14)	1.0 (10)	2	2.0	24	1	0	4	2
Anthony Banda	·	·	1.0 (10)	1	1.0	10	2	0	0	0
Ben Casparius	·	1.0 (26)	·	1	1.0	26	1	1	1	0
Blake Treinen	·	1.0 (23)	·	1	1.0	23	2	1	1	0
Kirby Yates	·	·	1.0 (13)	1	1.0	13	2	0	0	0
Luis Garcia	·	·	1.0 (14)	1	1.0	14	0	1	1	1
Team Totals (7 arms used):				9	9.0	154	13	5	9	4

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

Notable Trends

First week of the season for the Tigers: their records include last season.

The Dodgers are 100% (5-0) on the moneyline

The Dodgers are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Dodgers are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Dodgers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

View All Records

Dodgers (Home)

The Dodgers are 100% (5-0) on the moneyline

The Dodgers are 100% (3-0) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Dodgers are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Dodgers are 100% (3-0) to the over as a home fav

The Dodgers are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Dodgers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Dodgers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Dodgers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Tigers (Away)

The Tigers are 52.3% (90-82) on the moneyline

The Tigers are 47.8% (33-36) on the moneyline as an away dog

The Tigers are 50.9% (86-83-3) to the over

The Tigers are 55.9% (38-30-1) to the over as an away dog

The Tigers are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Tigers are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) on the moneyline as an away dog

The Tigers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Tigers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/28/25 2025	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	8	vs.	Tigers Jack Flaherty (R)	5 F/10	-225	7.5	-3	O 13 +5.5
03/27/25 2025	Dodgers Blake Snell (L)	5	vs.	Tigers Tarik Skubal (L)	4	-166	6.5	-1	O 9 +2.5
07/14/24 2024	Dodgers Brent Honeywell (R)	3	@	Tigers Beau Brieske (R)	4	-144	9.0	+1	U 7 -2.0
07/13/24 2024	Dodgers Justin Wrobleski (L)	9	@	Tigers Keider Montero (R)	11 F/10	-122	9.0	+2	O 20 +11.0
07/12/24 2024	Dodgers James Paxton (L)	4	@	Tigers Tarik Skubal (L)	3	+128	8.0	-1	U 7 -1.0

Dodgers as Home (2 games)		6.5	-	-	4.5	-193	7.0	-2.0	O 11.0 +4.0

All Games Avg (5 games)		5.8	-	-	5.4	-137	8.0	-0.4	O 11.2 +3.2

MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 3 – 7 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Dodgers window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "mlb", away_team: "Detroit Tigers", home_team: "Los Angeles Dodgers", game_date: "2025-03-29" };

Odds Full MLB odds board

Injury Report DETNo report LADNo report

Notes

Tigers

Situational Factor(s)

Dodgers

Situational Factor(s)

Tigers

Dodgers

Filters

Schedules

Tigers Schedule Follow global filters

Dodgers Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Dodgers (Home)

Tigers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Final: 3 – 7
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Dodgers