NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sat, 1/4, Final: 19 – 17
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Bengals: 8-8 (50.0%) - AFC North

Steelers: 10-6 (62.5%) - AFC North

Line: +2.5

Total: 48.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 48.5

Team totals: Bengals 25.5 · Steelers 23.5

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Injury Report CINNo report PITNo report

Notes

Bengals

Situational Factor(s)

Rest Disadvantage

Extended rest: Non-bye week

In-season revenge

Steelers

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Non-bye week

Rest Advantage

Baller System(s)

Back divisional dog who won previous 2 head-to-head matchups

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Bengals Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/14/25 2025	Bengals	-	vs.	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	49.5	-	-
09/07/25 2025	Bengals	-	@	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	47.5	-	-
01/04/25 2024	Bengals	-	@	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	48.5	-	-
12/28/24 2024	Bengals	30	vs.	Broncos	24 OT	527	115	412	1	1	-3.5	50.5	-6	O 54 +3.5
12/22/24 2024	Bengals	24	vs.	Browns	6	368	116	252	2	1	-10.0	46.5	-18	U 30 -16.5
12/15/24 2024	Bengals	37	@	Titans	27	372	101	271	4	2	-6.0	46.5	-10	O 64 +17.5
12/09/24 2024	Bengals	27	@	Cowboys	20	443	74	369	1	1	-4.5	51.0	-7	U 47 -4.0
12/01/24 2024	Bengals	38	vs.	Steelers	44	402	93	309	1	2	-3.0	46.0	+6	O 82 +36.0
11/17/24 2024	Bengals	27	@	Chargers	34	466	110	356	0	0	+1.0	48.0	+7	O 61 +13.0
11/07/24 2024	Bengals	34	@	Ravens	35	477	49	428	0	3	+6.0	53.0	+1	O 69 +16.0
11/03/24 2024	Bengals	41	vs.	Raiders	24	381	130	251	0	0	-8.0	44.5	-17	O 65 +20.5
10/27/24 2024	Bengals	17	vs.	Eagles	37	292	58	234	0	3	-3.0	47.5	+20	O 54 +6.5
10/20/24 2024	Bengals	21	@	Browns	14	240	59	181	2	0	-5.5	42.5	-7	U 35 -7.5

Away Games Avg (5 games)		29.2	-	-	26.0	400	79	321	1.4	1.2	-1.8	48.2	-3.2 +1.4	O 55.2 +7.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		29.6	-	-	26.5	397	91	306	1.1	1.3	-3.7	47.6	-3.1 -0.6	O 56.1 +8.5

Steelers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/07/25 2025	Steelers	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	38.0	-	-
01/11/25 2024	Steelers	-	@	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+9.5	44.5	-	-
01/04/25 2024	Steelers	-	vs.	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	48.5	-	-
12/25/24 2024	Steelers	10	vs.	Chiefs	29	407	202	205	0	2	+2.0	46.0	+19	U 39 -7.0
12/21/24 2024	Steelers	17	@	Ravens	34	334	117	217	1	2	+7.0	44.0	+17	O 51 +7.0
12/15/24 2024	Steelers	13	@	Eagles	27	184	56	128	0	2	+5.5	43.0	+14	U 40 -3.0
12/08/24 2024	Steelers	27	vs.	Browns	14	278	120	158	2	1	-6.0	42.5	-13	U 41 -1.5
12/01/24 2024	Steelers	44	@	Bengals	38	524	110	414	1	1	+3.0	46.0	-6	O 82 +36.0
11/21/24 2024	Steelers	19	@	Browns	24	390	120	270	1	2	-3.5	36.5	+5	O 43 +6.5
11/17/24 2024	Steelers	18	vs.	Ravens	16	327	122	205	1	0	+3.0	48.0	-2	U 34 -14.0
11/10/24 2024	Steelers	28	@	Commanders	27	335	140	195	0	1	+1.5	45.0	-1	O 55 +10.0
10/28/24 2024	Steelers	26	vs.	Giants	18	445	167	278	1	1	-5.5	36.5	-8	O 44 +7.5
10/20/24 2024	Steelers	37	vs.	Jets	15	413	149	264	2	0	+3.0	40.0	-22	O 52 +12.0

Home Games Avg (5 games)		23.6	-	-	18.4	374	152	222	1.2	0.8	-0.7	42.6	-5.2 +4.5	U 42.0 -0.6

All Games Avg (10 games)		23.9	-	-	24.2	364	130	233	0.9	1.2	+1.0	42.8	+0.3 +0.7	O 48.1 +5.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Steelers are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread at home

The Steelers are 71.4% (5-2) to the under at home

The Steelers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bengals are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread away

The Bengals are 100% (5-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Bengals are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bengals are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

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Steelers (Home)

The Steelers are 62.5% (10-6) against the spread

The Steelers are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread at home

The Steelers are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread as a dog

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Steelers are 50% (8-8) to the over

The Steelers are 71.4% (5-2) to the under at home

The Steelers are 50% (4-4) to the over as a dog

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a home dog

The Steelers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Steelers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Steelers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Steelers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Steelers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Steelers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Steelers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Bengals (Away)

The Bengals are 62.5% (10-6) against the spread

The Bengals are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread away

The Bengals are 66.7% (8-4) against the spread as a fav

The Bengals are 100% (5-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Bengals are 68.8% (11-5) to the over

The Bengals are 62.5% (5-3) to the over away

The Bengals are 58.3% (7-5) to the over as a fav

The Bengals are 60% (3-2) to the under as an away fav

The Bengals are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bengals are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Bengals are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Bengals are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Bengals are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Bengals are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Bengals are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Bengals are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/01/24 2024	Steelers	44	@	Bengals	38	402	93	309	1	2	+3.0	46.0	-6	O 82 +36.0
12/23/23 2023	Steelers	34	vs.	Bengals	11	403	113	290	3	1	+3.0	38.0	-23	O 45 +7.0
11/26/23 2023	Steelers	16	@	Bengals	10	252	25	227	0	1	-2.0	35.5	-6	U 26 -9.5
11/20/22 2022	Steelers	30	vs.	Bengals	37	367	102	265	2	1	+3.5	39.5	+7	O 67 +27.5
09/11/22 2022	Steelers	23	@	Bengals	20 OT	471	133	338	0	2	+7.0	44.5	-3	U 43 -1.5
11/28/21 2021	Steelers	10	@	Bengals	41	388	198	190	2	0	+3.5	43.5	+31	O 51 +7.5
09/26/21 2021	Steelers	10	vs.	Bengals	24	363	45	318	1	1	-2.5	42.0	+14	U 34 -8.0

Steelers as Home (3 games)		24.7	-	-	24.0	378	87	291	2.0	1.0	+1.3	39.8	-0.7 +2.0	O 48.7 +8.8

All Games Avg (7 games)		23.9	-	-	25.9	378	101	277	1.3	1.1	+2.2	41.3	+2.0 +0.2	O 49.7 +8.4

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sat, 1/4, Final: 19 – 17 Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Cincinnati Bengals", home_team: "Pittsburgh Steelers", game_date: "2025-01-04" };

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Injury Report CINNo report PITNo report

Notes

Bengals

Situational Factor(s)

Steelers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Filters

Schedules

Bengals Schedule Follow global filters

Steelers Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Steelers (Home)

Bengals (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sat, 1/4, Final: 19 – 17
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers