NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/22, Final: 6 – 24
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals

Browns: 3-11 (21.4%) - AFC North

Bengals: 6-8 (42.9%) - AFC North

Line: -10.0

Total: 46.5

Open: -6

Open: 49.5

Team totals: Browns 17.5 · Bengals 27.5

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Notes

Browns

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

In-season revenge

Bengals

Situational Factor(s)

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Baller System(s)

Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Browns Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/04/25 2024	Browns	-	@	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+19.5	42.5	-	-
12/29/24 2024	Browns	-	vs.	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	32.5	-	-
12/22/24 2024	Browns	-	@	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	+10.0	46.5	-	-
12/15/24 2024	Browns	7	vs.	Chiefs	21	303	139	164	0	3	+4.5	41.5	+14	U 28 -13.5
12/08/24 2024	Browns	14	@	Steelers	27	316	104	212	0	2	+6.0	42.5	+13	U 41 -1.5
12/02/24 2024	Browns	32	@	Broncos	41	574	77	497	2	0	+6.5	41.5	+9	O 73 +31.5
11/21/24 2024	Browns	24	vs.	Steelers	19	304	85	219	0	3	+3.5	36.5	-5	O 43 +6.5
11/17/24 2024	Browns	14	@	Saints	35	461	66	395	1	0	-1.0	44.0	+21	O 49 +5.0
11/03/24 2024	Browns	10	vs.	Chargers	27	314	79	235	0	1	+2.0	42.0	+17	U 37 -5.0
10/27/24 2024	Browns	29	vs.	Ravens	24	414	80	334	0	1	+7.5	44.5	-5	O 53 +8.5
10/20/24 2024	Browns	14	vs.	Bengals	21	354	77	277	0	1	+5.5	42.5	+7	U 35 -7.5
10/13/24 2024	Browns	16	@	Eagles	20	268	100	168	0	0	+8.0	42.0	+4	U 36 -6.0
10/06/24 2024	Browns	13	@	Commanders	34	245	104	141	1	1	+3.0	43.5	+21	O 47 +3.5

Away Games Avg (5 games)		17.8	-	-	31.4	373	90	283	0.8	0.6	+4.5	42.7	+13.6 -9.1	O 49.2 +6.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		17.3	-	-	26.9	355	91	264	0.4	1.2	+4.6	42.1	+9.6 -5.1	O 44.2 +2.2

Bengals Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/04/25 2024	Bengals	-	@	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	48.5	-	-
12/28/24 2024	Bengals	-	vs.	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	50.5	-	-
12/22/24 2024	Bengals	-	vs.	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-10.0	46.5	-	-
12/15/24 2024	Bengals	37	@	Titans	27	372	101	271	4	2	-6.0	46.5	-10	O 64 +17.5
12/09/24 2024	Bengals	27	@	Cowboys	20	443	74	369	1	1	-4.5	51.0	-7	U 47 -4.0
12/01/24 2024	Bengals	38	vs.	Steelers	44	402	93	309	1	2	-3.0	46.0	+6	O 82 +36.0
11/17/24 2024	Bengals	27	@	Chargers	34	466	110	356	0	0	+1.0	48.0	+7	O 61 +13.0
11/07/24 2024	Bengals	34	@	Ravens	35	477	49	428	0	3	+6.0	53.0	+1	O 69 +16.0
11/03/24 2024	Bengals	41	vs.	Raiders	24	381	130	251	0	0	-8.0	44.5	-17	O 65 +20.5
10/27/24 2024	Bengals	17	vs.	Eagles	37	292	58	234	0	3	-3.0	47.5	+20	O 54 +6.5
10/20/24 2024	Bengals	21	@	Browns	14	240	59	181	2	0	-5.5	42.5	-7	U 35 -7.5
10/13/24 2024	Bengals	17	@	Giants	7	329	121	208	1	2	-4.5	46.0	-10	U 24 -22.0
10/06/24 2024	Bengals	38	vs.	Ravens	41 OT	463	71	392	0	0	+2.5	48.5	+3	O 79 +30.5

Home Games Avg (4 games)		33.5	-	-	36.5	385	88	297	0.3	1.3	-2.9	46.6	+3.0 -5.9	O 70.0 +23.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		29.7	-	-	28.3	387	87	300	0.9	1.3	-2.5	47.4	-1.4 -1.1	O 58.0 +10.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Bengals are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 20% (1-4) against the spread as a home fav

The Bengals are 71.4% (10-4) to the over

The Bengals are 83.3% (5-1) to the over at home

The Bengals are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home fav

The Bengals are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Browns are 28.6% (4-10) against the spread

The Browns are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread away

The Browns are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Browns are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

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Bengals (Home)

The Bengals are 57.1% (8-6) against the spread

The Bengals are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 60% (6-4) against the spread as a fav

The Bengals are 20% (1-4) against the spread as a home fav

The Bengals are 71.4% (10-4) to the over

The Bengals are 83.3% (5-1) to the over at home

The Bengals are 60% (6-4) to the over as a fav

The Bengals are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home fav

The Bengals are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bengals are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Bengals are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Bengals are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Bengals are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Bengals are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Bengals are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Browns (Away)

The Browns are 28.6% (4-10) against the spread

The Browns are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread away

The Browns are 40% (4-6) against the spread as a dog

The Browns are 40% (2-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Browns are 57.1% (8-6) to the under

The Browns are 57.1% (4-3) to the under away

The Browns are 60% (6-4) to the under as a dog

The Browns are 60% (3-2) to the under as an away dog

The Browns are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Browns are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Browns are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Browns are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Browns are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Browns are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Browns are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/20/24 2024	Bengals	21	@	Browns	14	354	77	277	0	1	-5.5	42.5	-7	U 35 -7.5
01/07/24 2023	Bengals	31	vs.	Browns	14	359	183	176	2	1	-7.5	37.0	-17	O 45 +8.0
09/10/23 2023	Bengals	3	@	Browns	24	360	206	154	0	2	-1.0	46.5	+21	U 27 -19.5
12/11/22 2022	Bengals	23	vs.	Browns	10	375	136	239	1	0	-4.0	47.0	-13	U 33 -14.0
10/31/22 2022	Bengals	13	@	Browns	32	450	172	278	1	1	-3.5	45.0	+19	P 45 0.0
01/09/22 2021	Bengals	16	@	Browns	21	381	205	176	0	2	+6.0	38.0	+5	U 37 -1.0
11/07/21 2021	Bengals	16	vs.	Browns	41	373	85	288	0	4	-2.0	47.5	+25	O 57 +9.5

Bengals as Home (3 games)		23.3	-	-	21.7	369	135	234	1.0	1.7	-4.5	43.8	-1.7 -2.8	O 45.0 +1.2

All Games Avg (7 games)		17.6	-	-	22.3	379	152	227	0.6	1.6	-2.5	43.4	+4.7 -7.2	U 39.9 -3.5

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/22, Final: 6 – 24 Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Cleveland Browns", home_team: "Cincinnati Bengals", game_date: "2024-12-22" };

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Notes

Browns

Situational Factor(s)

Bengals

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Filters

Schedules

Browns Schedule Follow global filters

Bengals Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Bengals (Home)

Browns (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 12/22, Final: 6 – 24
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals