NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/1, Final: 26 – 21
Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets

Seahawks: 6-5 (54.5%) - NFC West

Jets: 3-8 (27.3%) - AFC East

Line: -1.5

Total: 41.5

Open: -1.5

Open: 44

Team totals: Seahawks 20.5 · Jets 21.5

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Injury Report SEANo report NYJNo report

Notes

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Rest Disadvantage

West Coast team traveling East

Jets

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Extended rest: Off a bye week

Rest Advantage

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Seahawks

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/15/24 2024	Seahawks	-	vs.	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	48.5	-	-
12/08/24 2024	Seahawks	-	@	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	45.5	-	-
12/01/24 2024	Seahawks	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	41.5	-	-
11/24/24 2024	Seahawks	16	vs.	Cardinals	6	319	65	254	1	1	+1.0	47.0	-10	U 22 -25.0
11/17/24 2024	Seahawks	20	@	49ers	17	315	94	221	1	1	+6.0	48.5	-3	U 37 -11.5
11/03/24 2024	Seahawks	20	vs.	Rams	26 OT	470	107	363	1	2	+2.5	48.5	+6	U 46 -2.5
10/27/24 2024	Seahawks	10	vs.	Bills	31	244	32	212	1	3	+3.0	45.5	+21	U 41 -4.5
10/20/24 2024	Seahawks	34	@	Falcons	14	345	103	242	2	1	+3.0	51.5	-20	U 48 -3.5
10/10/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	49ers	36	364	52	312	0	2	+4.0	49.0	+12	O 60 +11.0
10/06/24 2024	Seahawks	20	vs.	Giants	29	386	102	284	0	1	-7.0	42.5	+9	O 49 +6.5
09/30/24 2024	Seahawks	29	@	Lions	42	528	133	395	0	1	+4.0	47.0	+13	O 71 +24.0
09/22/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	Dolphins	3	389	100	289	0	1	-4.5	42.0	-21	U 27 -15.0
09/15/24 2024	Seahawks	23	@	Patriots	20 OT	373	46	327	0	0	-3.0	39.0	-3	O 43 +4.0

Away Games Avg (4 games)		26.5	-	-	23.3	390	94	296	0.8	0.8	+2.5	46.5	-3.3 +5.8	O 49.8 +3.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		22.0	-	-	22.4	373	83	290	0.6	1.3	+0.9	46.1	+0.4 +0.5	U 44.4 -1.7

Jets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/15/24 2024	Jets	-	@	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	41.5	-	-
12/08/24 2024	Jets	-	@	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	45.0	-	-
12/01/24 2024	Jets	-	vs.	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	41.5	-	-
11/17/24 2024	Jets	27	vs.	Colts	28	275	91	184	0	1	-4.5	43.0	+1	O 55 +12.0
11/10/24 2024	Jets	6	@	Cardinals	31	230	79	151	0	1	-2.0	46.0	+25	U 37 -9.0
10/31/24 2024	Jets	21	vs.	Texans	13	311	100	211	0	2	-2.5	43.5	-8	U 34 -9.5
10/27/24 2024	Jets	22	@	Patriots	25	345	112	233	0	2	-7.0	41.5	+3	O 47 +5.5
10/20/24 2024	Jets	15	@	Steelers	37	330	54	276	0	2	-3.0	40.0	+22	O 52 +12.0
10/14/24 2024	Jets	20	vs.	Bills	23	415	121	294	0	1	+1.5	41.0	+3	O 43 +2.0
10/06/24 2024	Jets	17	vs.	Vikings	23	280	36	244	1	1	+2.5	42.0	+6	U 40 -2.0
09/29/24 2024	Jets	9	vs.	Broncos	10	289	64	225	0	1	-8.0	39.5	+1	U 19 -20.5
09/19/24 2024	Jets	24	vs.	Patriots	3	414	133	281	0	1	-6.5	39.5	-21	U 27 -12.5
09/15/24 2024	Jets	24	@	Titans	17	277	101	176	1	0	-3.5	41.0	-7	P 41 0.0

Home Games Avg (5 games)		20.2	-	-	15.4	341	102	239	0.0	1.2	-4.0	41.3	-4.8 +0.8	U 35.6 -5.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		18.5	-	-	21.0	317	89	228	0.2	1.2	-3.3	41.7	+2.5 -5.8	U 39.5 -2.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Jets are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the under as a home fav

The Jets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 71.4% (5-2) to the under as a dog

The Seahawks are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Seahawks are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

View All Records

Jets (Home)

The Jets are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread

The Jets are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Jets are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a fav

The Jets are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Jets are 50% (5-5-1) to the over

The Jets are 60% (3-2) to the under at home

The Jets are 57.1% (4-3-1) to the under as a fav

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the under as a home fav

The Jets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Jets are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Jets are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Seahawks (Away)

The Seahawks are 40% (4-6-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1-1) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread as a dog

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Seahawks are 54.5% (6-5) to the under

The Seahawks are 50% (2-2) to the over away

The Seahawks are 71.4% (5-2) to the under as a dog

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as an away dog

The Seahawks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Seahawks are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Seahawks are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/01/23 2022	Jets	6	@	Seahawks	23	381	198	183	2	2	-1.5	43.0	+17	U 29 -14.0

All Games Avg (1 games)		6.0	-	-	23.0	381	198	183	2.0	2.0	-1.5	43.0	+17.0 -18.5	U 29.0 -14.0

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Seahawks (2x)
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	Seahawks
OVERALL	Seahawks \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/1, Final: 26 – 21 Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Seattle Seahawks", home_team: "New York Jets", game_date: "2024-12-01" };

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Injury Report SEANo report NYJNo report

Notes

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Jets

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Jets Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Jets (Home)

Seahawks (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 12/1, Final: 26 – 21
Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets