NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 11/17, Final: 20 – 17
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

Seahawks: 4-5 (44.4%) - NFC West

49ers: 5-4 (55.6%) - NFC West

Line: -6.0

Total: 48.5

Open: -7

Open: 48.5

Team totals: Seahawks 20.5 · 49ers 27.5

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Injury Report SEANo report SFNo report

Notes

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off an Overtime game

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Extended rest: Off a bye week

In-season revenge

Rest Advantage

49ers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest Disadvantage

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Seahawks

57.19% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/01/24 2024	Seahawks	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	41.5	-	-
11/24/24 2024	Seahawks	-	vs.	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.0	47.0	-	-
11/17/24 2024	Seahawks	-	@	49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.0	48.5	-	-
11/03/24 2024	Seahawks	20	vs.	Rams	26 OT	470	107	363	1	2	+2.5	48.5	+6	U 46 -2.5
10/27/24 2024	Seahawks	10	vs.	Bills	31	244	32	212	1	3	+3.0	45.5	+21	U 41 -4.5
10/20/24 2024	Seahawks	34	@	Falcons	14	345	103	242	2	1	+3.0	51.5	-20	U 48 -3.5
10/10/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	49ers	36	364	52	312	0	2	+4.0	49.0	+12	O 60 +11.0
10/06/24 2024	Seahawks	20	vs.	Giants	29	386	102	284	0	1	-7.0	42.5	+9	O 49 +6.5
09/30/24 2024	Seahawks	29	@	Lions	42	528	133	395	0	1	+4.0	47.0	+13	O 71 +24.0
09/22/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	Dolphins	3	389	100	289	0	1	-4.5	42.0	-21	U 27 -15.0
09/15/24 2024	Seahawks	23	@	Patriots	20 OT	373	46	327	0	0	-3.0	39.0	-3	O 43 +4.0
09/08/24 2024	Seahawks	26	vs.	Broncos	20	317	146	171	2	1	-6.5	42.5	-6	O 46 +3.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/07/24 2023	Seahawks	21	@	Cardinals	20	327	138	189	0	0	-3.0	47.5	-1	U 41 -6.5

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		28.7	-	-	25.3	415	94	321	0.7	0.7	+1.3	45.8	-3.3 +4.7	O 54.0 +8.2

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		23.3	-	-	24.6	380	91	288	0.7	1.3	-0.5	45.3	+1.2 -1.7	O 47.9 +2.6

49ers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/01/24 2024	49ers	-	@	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	45.5	-	-
11/24/24 2024	49ers	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	44.5	-	-
11/17/24 2024	49ers	-	vs.	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.0	48.5	-	-
11/10/24 2024	49ers	23	@	Buccaneers	20	428	75	353	0	2	-6.5	50.5	-3	U 43 -7.5
10/27/24 2024	49ers	30	vs.	Cowboys	24	483	223	260	2	1	-5.5	47.5	-6	O 54 +6.5
10/20/24 2024	49ers	18	vs.	Chiefs	28	313	101	212	2	1	-2.5	48.0	+10	U 46 -2.0
10/10/24 2024	49ers	36	@	Seahawks	24	483	228	255	2	0	-4.0	49.0	-12	O 60 +11.0
10/06/24 2024	49ers	23	vs.	Cardinals	24	397	153	244	1	1	-7.5	49.0	+1	U 47 -2.0
09/29/24 2024	49ers	30	vs.	Patriots	13	436	148	288	1	3	-10.5	42.5	-17	O 43 +0.5
09/22/24 2024	49ers	24	@	Rams	27	429	137	292	0	2	-6.0	44.5	+3	O 51 +6.5
09/15/24 2024	49ers	17	@	Vikings	23	421	102	319	1	3	-4.5	46.5	+6	U 40 -6.5
09/09/24 2024	49ers	32	vs.	Jets	19	411	180	231	1	0	-3.5	43.0	-13	O 51 +8.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
02/11/24 2023	49ers	22	vs.	Chiefs	25 OT	386	110	276	1	2	-1.0	47.5	+3	U 47 -0.5

Home Games Avg (5 games this season)		26.6	-	-	21.6	408	161	247	1.4	1.2	-5.9	46.0	-5.0 -0.9	O 48.2 +2.2

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		25.9	-	-	22.4	422	150	273	1.1	1.4	-5.6	46.7	-3.4 -2.2	O 48.3 +1.6

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Seahawks are 25% (2-6-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 20% (1-4) against the spread as a dog

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49ers (Home)

The 49ers are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread

The 49ers are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The 49ers are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a fav

The 49ers are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a home fav

The 49ers are 55.6% (5-4) to the over

The 49ers are 60% (3-2) to the over at home

The 49ers are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as a fav

The 49ers are 60% (3-2) to the over as a home fav

The 49ers are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The 49ers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The 49ers are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The 49ers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The 49ers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under

The 49ers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The 49ers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The 49ers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Seahawks (Away)

The Seahawks are 25% (2-6-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1-1) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 20% (1-4) against the spread as a dog

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Seahawks are 55.6% (5-4) to the over

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Seahawks are 60% (3-2) to the under as a dog

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Seahawks are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Seahawks are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Seahawks are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/10/24 2024	49ers	36	@	Seahawks	24	364	52	312	0	2	-4.0	49.0	-12	O 60 +11.0
12/10/23 2023	49ers	28	vs.	Seahawks	16	541	173	368	2	1	-14.5	44.5	-12	U 44 -0.5
11/23/23 2023	49ers	31	@	Seahawks	13	268	88	180	1	1	-7.0	43.0	-18	O 44 +1.0
01/14/23 2022	49ers	41	vs.	Seahawks	23	513	181	332	1	0	-9.5	42.0	-18	O 64 +22.0
12/15/22 2022	49ers	21	@	Seahawks	13	308	70	238	0	2	-3.0	42.5	-8	U 34 -8.5
09/18/22 2022	49ers	27	vs.	Seahawks	7	373	189	184	2	2	-8.5	39.5	-20	U 34 -5.5
12/05/21 2021	49ers	23	@	Seahawks	30	377	146	231	2	4	-3.0	44.5	+7	O 53 +8.5
10/03/21 2021	49ers	21	vs.	Seahawks	28	465	143	322	0	1	-3.0	52.0	+7	U 49 -3.0

49ers as Home (4 games)		29.3	-	-	18.5	473	172	302	1.3	1.0	-8.9	44.5	-10.8 +1.9	O 47.8 +3.3

All Games Avg (8 games)		28.5	-	-	19.3	401	130	271	1.0	1.6	-6.6	44.6	-9.3 +2.7	O 47.8 +3.1

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Seahawks (2x)
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Seahawks
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	Seahawks
OVERALL	Seahawks \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 11/17, Final: 20 – 17 Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Seattle Seahawks", home_team: "San Francisco 49ers", game_date: "2024-11-17" };

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Injury Report SEANo report SFNo report

Notes

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

49ers

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

49ers Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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49ers (Home)

Seahawks (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 11/17, Final: 20 – 17
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers