NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/27, Final: 14 – 52
Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions

Titans: 1-5 (16.7%) - AFC South

Lions: 5-1 (83.3%) - NFC North

Line: -12.5

Total: 45.0

Open: -9.5

Open: 45

Team totals: Titans 16.5 · Lions 29.5

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Injury Report TENNo report DETNo report

Notes

Titans

Nothing active

Lions

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller System(s)

Unders system: back an under when a favorite is a bigger favorite than their previous game and their total is lower

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

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Model Total

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Titans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/10/24 2024	Titans	-	@	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+9.0	40.0	-	-
11/03/24 2024	Titans	-	vs.	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	38.5	-	-
10/27/24 2024	Titans	-	@	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+12.5	45.0	-	-
10/20/24 2024	Titans	10	@	Bills	34	304	89	215	0	4	+9.5	41.0	+24	O 44 +3.0
10/13/24 2024	Titans	17	vs.	Colts	20	241	146	95	1	1	-2.5	41.5	+3	U 37 -4.5
09/30/24 2024	Titans	31	@	Dolphins	12	252	142	110	0	0	+2.5	37.5	-19	O 43 +5.5
09/22/24 2024	Titans	14	vs.	Packers	30	293	33	260	0	1	-3.0	37.0	+16	O 44 +7.0
09/15/24 2024	Titans	17	vs.	Jets	24	322	130	192	0	1	+3.5	41.0	+7	P 41 0.0
09/08/24 2024	Titans	17	@	Bears	24	267	140	127	0	1	+4.5	43.0	+7	U 41 -2.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/07/24 2023	Titans	28	vs.	Jaguars	20	343	175	168	2	1	+3.5	41.5	-8	O 48 +6.5
12/31/23 2023	Titans	3	@	Texans	26	237	53	184	0	1	+5.5	44.0	+23	U 29 -15.0
12/24/23 2023	Titans	17	vs.	Seahawks	20	326	162	164	0	1	+3.0	42.5	+3	U 37 -5.5
12/17/23 2023	Titans	16	vs.	Texans	19 OT	265	66	199	1	1	-3.0	38.0	+3	U 35 -3.0

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		19.3	-	-	23.3	274	124	151	0.0	1.7	+5.5	40.5	+4.0 +1.5	O 42.7 +2.2

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		17.7	-	-	24.0	280	113	167	0.2	1.3	+2.4	40.2	+6.3 -3.9	O 41.7 +1.5

Lions Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/10/24 2024	Lions	-	@	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	49.5	-	-
11/03/24 2024	Lions	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	48.0	-	-
10/27/24 2024	Lions	-	vs.	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-12.5	45.0	-	-
10/20/24 2024	Lions	31	@	Vikings	29	424	144	280	1	3	+1.0	50.0	-2	O 60 +10.0
10/13/24 2024	Lions	47	@	Cowboys	9	518	184	334	3	1	-3.5	53.5	-38	O 56 +2.5
09/30/24 2024	Lions	42	vs.	Seahawks	29	415	116	299	1	0	-4.0	47.0	-13	O 71 +24.0
09/22/24 2024	Lions	20	@	Cardinals	13	386	187	199	1	0	-3.0	51.5	-7	U 33 -18.5
09/15/24 2024	Lions	16	vs.	Buccaneers	20	463	139	324	1	0	-7.5	51.5	+4	U 36 -15.5
09/08/24 2024	Lions	26	vs.	Rams	20 OT	380	163	217	1	0	-5.5	53.5	-6	U 46 -7.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/28/24 2023	Lions	31	@	49ers	34	455	182	273	1	1	+7.0	53.5	+3	O 65 +11.5
01/21/24 2023	Lions	31	vs.	Buccaneers	23	401	114	287	2	0	-6.0	49.0	-8	O 54 +5.0
01/14/24 2023	Lions	24	vs.	Rams	23	356	79	277	0	1	-3.0	52.5	-1	U 47 -5.5
01/07/24 2023	Lions	30	vs.	Vikings	20	390	70	320	2	0	-4.0	47.5	-10	O 50 +2.5

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		28.0	-	-	23.0	419	139	280	1.0	0.0	-5.7	50.7	-5.0 -0.7	O 51.0 +0.3

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		30.3	-	-	20.0	431	156	276	1.3	0.7	-3.8	51.2	-10.3 +6.6	U 50.3 -0.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Lions are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread

The Lions are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Titans are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread

The Titans are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Titans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Lions (Home)

The Lions are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread

The Lions are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread at home

The Lions are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Lions are 50% (3-3) to the over

The Lions are 66.7% (2-1) to the under at home

The Lions are 60% (3-2) to the under as a fav

The Lions are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a home fav

The Lions are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lions are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lions are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Lions are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Lions are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Lions are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Titans (Away)

The Titans are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread

The Titans are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread away

The Titans are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Titans are 60% (3-2-1) to the over

The Titans are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Titans are 66.7% (2-1-1) to the over as a dog

The Titans are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as an away dog