NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 10/10, Final: 36 – 24
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

49ers: 2-3 (40.0%) - NFC West

Seahawks: 3-2 (60.0%) - NFC West

Line: +4.0

Total: 49.0

Open: +3

Open: 47.5

Team totals: 49ers 26.5 · Seahawks 21.5

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Injury Report SFNo report SEANo report

Notes

49ers

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers

Back road favorite off a loss as a home favorite

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Back divisional home dogs when opponent next game is a division game

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

49ers

63.44% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

49ers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/27/24 2024	49ers	-	vs.	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	-5.5	47.5	-	-
10/20/24 2024	49ers	-	vs.	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	48.0	-	-
10/10/24 2024	49ers	-	@	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.0	49.0	-	-
10/06/24 2024	49ers	23	vs.	Cardinals	24	397	153	244	1	1	-7.5	49.0	+1	U 47 -2.0
09/29/24 2024	49ers	30	vs.	Patriots	13	436	148	288	1	3	-10.5	42.5	-17	O 43 +0.5
09/22/24 2024	49ers	24	@	Rams	27	429	137	292	0	2	-6.0	44.5	+3	O 51 +6.5
09/15/24 2024	49ers	17	@	Vikings	23	421	102	319	1	3	-4.5	46.5	+6	U 40 -6.5
09/09/24 2024	49ers	32	vs.	Jets	19	411	180	231	1	0	-3.5	43.0	-13	O 51 +8.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
02/11/24 2023	49ers	22	vs.	Chiefs	25 OT	386	110	276	1	2	-1.0	47.5	+3	U 47 -0.5
01/28/24 2023	49ers	34	vs.	Lions	31	422	155	267	0	0	-7.0	53.5	-3	O 65 +11.5
01/20/24 2023	49ers	24	vs.	Packers	21	363	111	252	2	0	-10.5	50.5	-3	U 45 -5.5
01/07/24 2023	49ers	20	vs.	Rams	21	314	125	189	1	2	-4.0	40.0	+1	O 41 +1.0
12/31/23 2023	49ers	27	@	Commanders	10	414	184	230	2	1	-14.0	48.5	-17	U 37 -11.5

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		20.5	-	-	25.0	425	120	306	0.5	2.5	-5.3	45.5	+4.5 -9.8	P 45.5 0.0

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		25.2	-	-	21.2	419	144	275	0.8	1.8	-6.4	45.1	-4.0 -2.4	O 46.4 +1.3

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/27/24 2024	Seahawks	-	vs.	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	45.5	-	-
10/20/24 2024	Seahawks	-	@	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	51.5	-	-
10/10/24 2024	Seahawks	-	vs.	49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.0	49.0	-	-
10/06/24 2024	Seahawks	20	vs.	Giants	29	386	102	284	0	1	-7.0	42.5	+9	O 49 +6.5
09/30/24 2024	Seahawks	29	@	Lions	42	528	133	395	0	1	+4.0	47.0	+13	O 71 +24.0
09/22/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	Dolphins	3	389	100	289	0	1	-4.5	42.0	-21	U 27 -15.0
09/15/24 2024	Seahawks	23	@	Patriots	20 OT	373	46	327	0	0	-3.0	39.0	-3	O 43 +4.0
09/08/24 2024	Seahawks	26	vs.	Broncos	20	317	146	171	2	1	-6.5	42.5	-6	O 46 +3.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/07/24 2023	Seahawks	21	@	Cardinals	20	327	138	189	0	0	-3.0	47.5	-1	U 41 -6.5
12/31/23 2023	Seahawks	23	vs.	Steelers	30	378	88	290	0	2	-4.5	40.5	+7	O 53 +12.5
12/24/23 2023	Seahawks	20	@	Titans	17	285	58	227	0	1	-3.0	42.5	-3	U 37 -5.5
12/18/23 2023	Seahawks	20	vs.	Eagles	17	308	100	208	2	0	+3.0	48.5	-3	U 37 -11.5
12/10/23 2023	Seahawks	16	@	49ers	28	339	70	269	1	0	+14.5	44.5	+12	U 44 -0.5

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		23.3	-	-	17.3	364	116	248	0.7	1.0	-6.0	42.3	-6.0 0.0	U 40.7 -1.7

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		24.4	-	-	22.8	399	105	293	0.4	0.8	-3.4	42.6	-1.6 -1.8	O 47.2 +4.6

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Seahawks are 25% (1-3-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Seahawks are 25% (1-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

View All Records

Seahawks (Home)

The Seahawks are 25% (1-3-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a dog

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) to the over at home

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) to the over as a dog

The Seahawks are 25% (1-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

49ers (Away)

The 49ers are 40% (2-3) against the spread

The 49ers are 0% (0-2) against the spread away

The 49ers are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a fav

The 49ers are 0% (0-2) against the spread as an away fav

The 49ers are 60% (3-2) to the over

The 49ers are 50% (1-1) to the over away

The 49ers are 60% (3-2) to the over as a fav

The 49ers are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away fav

The 49ers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The 49ers are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The 49ers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The 49ers are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The 49ers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The 49ers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The 49ers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The 49ers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/10/23 2023	Seahawks	16	@	49ers	28	541	173	368	2	1	+14.5	44.5	+12	U 44 -0.5
11/23/23 2023	Seahawks	13	vs.	49ers	31	268	88	180	1	1	+7.0	43.0	+18	O 44 +1.0
01/14/23 2022	Seahawks	23	@	49ers	41	513	181	332	1	0	+9.5	42.0	+18	O 64 +22.0
12/15/22 2022	Seahawks	13	vs.	49ers	21	308	70	238	0	2	+3.0	42.5	+8	U 34 -8.5
09/18/22 2022	Seahawks	7	@	49ers	27	373	189	184	2	2	+8.5	39.5	+20	U 34 -5.5
12/05/21 2021	Seahawks	30	vs.	49ers	23	377	146	231	2	4	+3.0	44.5	-7	O 53 +8.5
10/03/21 2021	Seahawks	28	@	49ers	21	465	143	322	0	1	+3.0	52.0	-7	U 49 -3.0

Seahawks as Home (3 games)		18.7	-	-	25.0	318	101	216	1.0	2.3	+4.3	43.3	+6.3 -2.0	O 43.7 +0.3

All Games Avg (7 games)		18.6	-	-	27.4	406	141	265	1.1	1.6	+6.9	44.0	+8.9 -1.9	O 46.0 +2.0

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	49ers (2x)
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	49ers
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	49ers (2x)
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	49ers (2x)
Cover Summary	49ers
OVERALL	49ers \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 10/10, Final: 36 – 24 San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "San Francisco 49ers", home_team: "Seattle Seahawks", game_date: "2024-10-10" };

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Injury Report SFNo report SEANo report

Notes

49ers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

49ers Schedule Follow global filters

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Seahawks (Home)

49ers (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Thu, 10/10, Final: 36 – 24
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks