NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/6, Final: 41 – 38
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals

Ravens: 2-2 (50.0%) - AFC North

Bengals: 1-3 (25.0%) - AFC North

Line: +2.5

Total: 48.5

Open: +1

Open: 47

Team totals: Ravens 24.5 · Bengals 23.5

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Injury Report BALNo report CINNo report

Notes

Ravens

Nothing active

Bengals

Baller System(s)

Back divisional home dogs when opponent next game is a division game

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Ravens

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Ravens Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/21/24 2024	Ravens	-	@	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	51.0	-	-
10/13/24 2024	Ravens	-	vs.	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	50.5	-	-
10/06/24 2024	Ravens	-	@	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	48.5	-	-
09/29/24 2024	Ravens	35	vs.	Bills	10	428	271	157	0	2	-3.0	47.5	-25	U 45 -2.5
09/22/24 2024	Ravens	28	@	Cowboys	25	456	274	182	0	0	-1.5	47.5	-3	O 53 +5.5
09/15/24 2024	Ravens	23	vs.	Raiders	26	398	151	247	1	0	-9.0	42.5	+3	O 49 +6.5
09/05/24 2024	Ravens	20	@	Chiefs	27	458	185	273	1	1	+2.5	46.0	+7	O 47 +1.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/28/24 2023	Ravens	10	vs.	Chiefs	17	353	81	272	0	2	-4.5	44.0	+7	U 27 -17.0
01/20/24 2023	Ravens	34	vs.	Texans	10	381	229	152	0	0	-9.5	44.0	-24	P 44 0.0
01/06/24 2023	Ravens	10	vs.	Steelers	17	252	106	146	0	2	+3.0	33.5	+7	U 27 -6.5
12/31/23 2023	Ravens	56	vs.	Dolphins	19	500	160	340	2	1	-3.0	46.0	-37	O 75 +29.0
12/25/23 2023	Ravens	33	@	49ers	19	354	102	252	5	0	+6.5	47.0	-14	O 52 +5.0
12/17/23 2023	Ravens	23	@	Jaguars	7	422	251	171	0	0	-4.0	42.5	-16	U 30 -12.5

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		24.0	-	-	26.0	457	230	228	0.5	0.5	+0.5	46.8	+2.0 -1.5	O 50.0 +3.3

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		26.5	-	-	22.0	435	220	215	0.5	0.8	-2.8	45.9	-4.5 +1.8	O 48.5 +2.6

Bengals Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/20/24 2024	Bengals	-	@	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-5.5	42.5	-	-
10/13/24 2024	Bengals	-	@	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	46.0	-	-
10/06/24 2024	Bengals	-	vs.	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	48.5	-	-
09/29/24 2024	Bengals	34	@	Panthers	24	373	141	232	1	0	-5.5	46.5	-10	O 58 +11.5
09/23/24 2024	Bengals	33	vs.	Commanders	38	448	124	324	0	0	-7.5	45.5	+5	O 71 +25.5
09/15/24 2024	Bengals	25	@	Chiefs	26	332	74	258	2	3	+6.5	48.0	+1	O 51 +3.0
09/08/24 2024	Bengals	10	vs.	Patriots	16	234	70	164	0	3	-8.0	40.5	+6	U 26 -14.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/07/24 2023	Bengals	31	vs.	Browns	14	359	183	176	2	1	-7.5	37.0	-17	O 45 +8.0
12/31/23 2023	Bengals	17	@	Chiefs	25	301	104	197	0	0	+7.0	45.5	+8	U 42 -3.5
12/23/23 2023	Bengals	11	@	Steelers	34	394	59	335	0	1	-3.0	38.0	+23	O 45 +7.0
12/16/23 2023	Bengals	27	vs.	Vikings	24 OT	404	80	324	2	1	-3.0	41.5	-3	O 51 +9.5
12/10/23 2023	Bengals	34	vs.	Colts	14	385	111	274	1	0	-3.0	44.5	-20	O 48 +3.5
12/04/23 2023	Bengals	34	@	Jaguars	31 OT	503	156	347	0	0	+10.0	41.0	-3	O 65 +24.0

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		21.5	-	-	27.0	341	97	244	0.0	1.5	-7.8	43.0	+5.5 -13.3	O 48.5 +5.5

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		25.5	-	-	26.0	347	102	245	0.8	1.5	-3.6	45.1	+0.5 -4.1	O 51.5 +6.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Bengals are 75% (3-1) to the over

The Bengals are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Ravens are 75% (3-1) to the over

The Ravens are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Bengals (Home)

The Bengals are 50% (2-2) against the spread

The Bengals are 0% (0-2) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a dog

The Bengals are 75% (3-1) to the over

The Bengals are 50% (1-1) to the over at home

The Bengals are 100% (1-0) to the over as a dog

The Bengals are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bengals are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bengals are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Bengals are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Bengals are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Ravens (Away)

The Ravens are 50% (2-2) against the spread

The Ravens are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a fav

The Ravens are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Ravens are 75% (3-1) to the over

The Ravens are 100% (2-0) to the over away

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a fav

The Ravens are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away fav

The Ravens are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Ravens are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Ravens are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Ravens are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Ravens are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Ravens are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/16/23 2023	Bengals	20	@	Ravens	34	421	157	264	0	1	+4.0	46.0	+14	O 54 +8.0
09/17/23 2023	Bengals	24	vs.	Ravens	27	288	66	222	0	0	-3.5	45.5	+3	O 51 +5.5
01/15/23 2022	Bengals	24	vs.	Ravens	17	260	51	209	1	2	-7.5	40.0	-7	O 41 +1.0
01/08/23 2022	Bengals	27	vs.	Ravens	16	270	55	215	2	1	-11.5	39.5	-11	O 43 +3.5
10/09/22 2022	Bengals	17	@	Ravens	19	329	155	174	1	1	+3.5	47.5	+2	U 36 -11.5
12/26/21 2021	Bengals	41	vs.	Ravens	21	602	77	525	1	0	-7.0	43.0	-20	O 62 +19.0
10/24/21 2021	Bengals	41	@	Ravens	17	411	115	296	1	1	+6.0	46.0	-24	O 58 +12.0

Bengals as Home (4 games)		29.0	-	-	20.3	355	62	293	1.0	0.8	-7.4	42.0	-8.8 +1.4	O 49.3 +7.3

All Games Avg (7 games)		27.7	-	-	21.6	369	97	272	0.9	0.9	-2.3	43.9	-6.1 +3.9	O 49.3 +5.4

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Ravens (2x)
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	Ravens
OVERALL	Ravens \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/6, Final: 41 – 38 Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Baltimore Ravens", home_team: "Cincinnati Bengals", game_date: "2024-10-06" };

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Injury Report BALNo report CINNo report

Notes

Ravens

Bengals

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Ravens Schedule Follow global filters

Bengals Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Bengals (Home)

Ravens (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 10/6, Final: 41 – 38
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals