WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 77 – 89
Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm

Fever: 7-11 (38.9%) | Market Rating: -1.38

Storm: 10-6 (62.5%) | Market Rating: +0.65 | Home Court: +2.4 pts

Line: -9.5

Total: 167.0

Open: -8

Open: 166.5

Team totals: Fever 79.5 · Storm 88.5

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Games
Conversions

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Injury Report INDNo report SEANo report

Notes

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in season revenge

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

Over

55.63% probability

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/02/24 2024	Fever	-	@	Aces	-	+13.5	179.0	-	-
06/30/24 2024	Fever	-	@	Mercury	-	+8.0	175.0	-	-
06/27/24 2024	Fever	-	@	Storm	-	+9.5	167.0	-	-
06/23/24	Fever	87	@	Sky	88	+2.0	169.5	+1	O 175 +5.5
2024	ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 82.3
06/21/24	Fever	91	@	Dream	79	-3.0	163.0	-12	O 170 +7.0
2024	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 79.7
06/19/24	Fever	88	vs.	Mystics	81	-5.0	167.0	-7	O 169 +2.0
2024	ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 76.9
06/16/24	Fever	91	vs.	Sky	83	-2.5	170.0	-8	O 174 +4.0
2024	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 76.6
06/13/24	Fever	91	vs.	Dream	84	+2.5	164.0	-7	O 175 +11.0
2024	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 76.7
06/10/24	Fever	72	@	Sun	89	+10.0	159.5	+17	O 161 +1.5
2024	ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 71.5			ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 71.5
06/07/24	Fever	85	@	Mystics	83	-4.5	160.5	-2	O 168 +7.5
2024	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 79.5
06/02/24	Fever	68	@	Liberty	104	+14.5	169.0	+36	O 172 +3.0
2024	ORtg: 85.7 DRtg: 131.1 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 131.1 DRtg: 85.7 Pace: 79.3
06/01/24	Fever	71	vs.	Sky	70	+1.5	167.5	-1	U 141 -26.5
2024	ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 91.6 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 91.6 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 76.4
05/30/24	Fever	88	vs.	Storm	103	+5.5	166.5	+15	O 191 +24.5
2024	ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 81.6

Away Games Avg (5 games)		80.6	-	-	88.6	+3.8	164.3	+8.0 -4.2	O 169.2 +4.9
	ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 78.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		83.2	-	-	86.4	+2.1	165.7	+3.2 -1.1	O 169.6 +4.0
	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 78.1

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/01/24 2024	Storm	-	vs.	Wings	-	-11.5	167.5	-	-
06/29/24 2024	Storm	-	vs.	Wings	-	-10.5	167.0	-	-
06/27/24 2024	Storm	-	vs.	Fever	-	-9.5	167.0	-	-
06/23/24	Storm	72	vs.	Sun	61	-1.0	154.0	-11	U 133 -21.0
2024	ORtg: 96.6 DRtg: 81.8 Pace: 74.5			ORtg: 81.8 DRtg: 96.6 Pace: 74.5
06/19/24	Storm	83	@	Aces	94	+6.5	172.5	+11	O 177 +4.5
2024	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 83.0
06/16/24	Storm	78	@	Mercury	87	-3.0	166.0	+9	U 165 -1.0
2024	ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 81.2			ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 81.2
06/13/24	Storm	92	@	Wings	84	-6.5	160.5	-8	O 176 +15.5
2024	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 77.6
06/11/24	Storm	95	vs.	Sparks	79	-11.5	157.0	-16	O 174 +17.0
2024	ORtg: 120.4 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 120.4 Pace: 78.9
06/09/24	Storm	64	@	Lynx	83	+1.5	157.0	+19	U 147 -10.0
2024	ORtg: 83.8 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 83.8 Pace: 76.4
06/07/24	Storm	78	@	Aces	65	+8.0	166.5	-13	U 143 -23.5
2024	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 85.1
06/04/24	Storm	80	vs.	Mercury	62	-5.0	164.0	-18	U 142 -22.0
2024	ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 70.4 Pace: 88.1			ORtg: 70.4 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 88.1
05/30/24	Storm	103	@	Fever	88	-5.5	166.5	-15	O 191 +24.5
2024	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 81.6
05/28/24	Storm	77	@	Sky	68	-2.0	165.0	-9	U 145 -20.0
2024	ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 83.5 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 83.5 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 81.4

Home Games Avg (3 games)		82.3	-	-	67.3	-5.8	158.3	-15.0 +9.2	U 149.7 -8.7
	ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 84.1 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 84.1 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 80.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		82.2	-	-	77.1	-1.9	162.9	-5.1 +3.3	U 159.3 -3.6
	ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 80.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread at home

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 87.5% (7-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

The Fever are 73.7% (14-5) to the over

The Fever are 72.7% (8-3) to the over away

The Fever are 75% (6-2) to the over as an away dog

The Fever are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 83.3% (10-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Fever are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 64.7% (11-6) against the spread

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread at home

The Storm are 69.2% (9-4) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 58.8% (10-7) to the under

The Storm are 57.1% (4-3) to the under at home

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as a home fav

The Storm are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 87.5% (7-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Fever (Away)

The Fever are 52.6% (10-9) against the spread

The Fever are 45.5% (5-6) against the spread away

The Fever are 46.2% (6-7) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 73.7% (14-5) to the over

The Fever are 72.7% (8-3) to the over away

The Fever are 69.2% (9-4) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 75% (6-2) to the over as an away dog

The Fever are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fever are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 83.3% (10-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Fever are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/30/24	Storm	103	@	Fever	88	-5.5	166.5	-15	O 191 +24.5
2024	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 81.6
05/22/24	Storm	85	vs.	Fever	83	-5.5	165.5	-2	O 168 +2.5
2024	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 75.1
08/24/23	Storm	86	@	Fever	90	+4.5	160.0	+4	O 176 +16.0
2023	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 78.9
07/30/23	Storm	85	@	Fever	62	+4.0	162.0	-23	U 147 -15.0
2023	ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 83.7 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 83.7 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 74.1
06/22/23	Storm	68	vs.	Fever	80	+1.5	164.0	+12	U 148 -16.0
2023	ORtg: 83.1 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 83.1 Pace: 81.9

Storm as Home (2 games)		76.5	-	-	81.5	-2.0	164.8	+5.0 -7.0	U 158.0 -6.8
	ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 78.5

All Games Avg (5 games)		85.4	-	-	80.6	-0.2	163.6	-4.8 +4.6	O 166.0 +2.4
	ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 78.3

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Over
Total Summary	Over
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Over

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 77 – 89 Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Indiana Fever", home_team: "Seattle Storm", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report INDNo report SEANo report

Notes

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Storm (Home)

Fever (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 77 – 89
Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm