NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 1/7, Final: 20 – 28
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

Jaguars: 9-7 (56.3%) - AFC South

Titans: 5-11 (31.3%) - AFC South

Line: +3.5

Total: 41.5

Open: +3.5

Open: 41

Team totals: Jaguars 22.5 · Titans 19.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Jaguars Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/15/24 2024	Jaguars	-	vs.	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.0	-	-
09/08/24 2024	Jaguars	-	@	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	50.0	-	-
01/07/24 2023	Jaguars	-	@	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	41.5	-	-
12/31/23 2023	Jaguars	26	vs.	Panthers	0	333	155	178	1	0	-3.5	38.5	-26	U 26 -12.5
12/24/23 2023	Jaguars	12	@	Buccaneers	30	342	37	305	0	3	-1.5	43.0	+18	U 42 -1.0
12/17/23 2023	Jaguars	7	vs.	Ravens	23	339	75	264	1	2	+4.0	42.5	+16	U 30 -12.5
12/10/23 2023	Jaguars	27	@	Browns	31	315	58	257	1	1	+2.5	37.5	+4	O 58 +20.5
12/04/23 2023	Jaguars	31	vs.	Bengals	34 OT	392	71	321	1	3	-10.0	41.0	+3	O 65 +24.0
11/26/23 2023	Jaguars	24	@	Texans	21	445	81	364	0	0	0.0	48.0	-3	U 45 -3.0
11/19/23 2023	Jaguars	34	vs.	Titans	14	390	128	262	0	0	-6.5	40.0	-20	O 48 +8.0
11/12/23 2023	Jaguars	3	vs.	49ers	34	249	59	190	0	2	+3.0	42.5	+31	U 37 -5.5
10/29/23 2023	Jaguars	20	@	Steelers	10	398	106	292	2	2	-2.5	39.5	-10	U 30 -9.5
10/19/23 2023	Jaguars	31	@	Saints	24	330	113	217	1	2	+2.5	41.5	-7	O 55 +13.5

Away Games Avg (5 games)		22.8	-	-	23.2	366	79	287	0.8	1.6	+0.2	41.9	+0.4 -0.2	O 46.0 +4.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		21.5	-	-	22.1	353	88	265	0.7	1.5	-1.2	41.4	+0.6 -1.8	O 43.6 +2.2

Titans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/15/24 2024	Titans	-	vs.	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	41.0	-	-
09/08/24 2024	Titans	-	@	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	43.0	-	-
01/07/24 2023	Titans	-	vs.	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	41.5	-	-
12/31/23 2023	Titans	3	@	Texans	26	237	53	184	0	1	+5.5	44.0	+23	U 29 -15.0
12/24/23 2023	Titans	17	vs.	Seahawks	20	326	162	164	0	1	+3.0	42.5	+3	U 37 -5.5
12/17/23 2023	Titans	16	vs.	Texans	19 OT	265	66	199	1	1	-3.0	38.0	+3	U 35 -3.0
12/11/23 2023	Titans	28	@	Dolphins	27	410	83	327	0	3	+13.5	45.0	-1	O 55 +10.0
12/03/23 2023	Titans	28	vs.	Colts	31 OT	401	177	224	0	4	+1.5	42.5	+3	O 59 +16.5
11/26/23 2023	Titans	17	vs.	Panthers	10	265	80	185	0	0	-3.5	36.5	-7	U 27 -9.5
11/19/23 2023	Titans	14	@	Jaguars	34	250	92	158	0	2	+6.5	40.0	+20	O 48 +8.0
11/12/23 2023	Titans	6	@	Buccaneers	20	241	42	199	1	0	+2.5	39.5	+14	U 26 -13.5
11/02/23 2023	Titans	16	@	Steelers	20	367	105	262	0	0	+3.0	37.0	+4	U 36 -1.0
10/29/23 2023	Titans	28	vs.	Falcons	23	387	149	238	0	1	+2.5	35.5	-5	O 51 +15.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		21.2	-	-	20.6	329	127	202	0.2	1.4	+0.1	39.0	-0.6 +0.7	O 41.8 +2.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		17.3	-	-	23.0	315	101	214	0.2	1.3	+3.2	40.1	+5.7 -2.6	O 40.3 +0.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Titans are 75% (3-1-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Titans are 25% (1-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jaguars are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

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Titans (Home)

The Titans are 40% (6-9-1) against the spread

The Titans are 66.7% (4-2-1) against the spread at home

The Titans are 41.7% (5-7-1) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 75% (3-1-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Titans are 68.8% (11-5) to the under

The Titans are 57.1% (4-3) to the under at home

The Titans are 61.5% (8-5) to the under as a dog

The Titans are 60% (3-2) to the over as a home dog

The Titans are 25% (1-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Titans are 0% (0-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Titans are 33.3% (1-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 0% (0-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Titans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Titans are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Titans are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Titans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Jaguars (Away)

The Jaguars are 56.3% (9-7) against the spread

The Jaguars are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread away

The Jaguars are 66.7% (6-3) against the spread as a fav

The Jaguars are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Jaguars are 56.3% (9-7) to the under

The Jaguars are 50% (3-3) to the over away

The Jaguars are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as a fav

The Jaguars are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as an away fav

The Jaguars are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jaguars are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Jaguars are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Jaguars are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Jaguars are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Jaguars are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Jaguars are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/19/23 2023	Titans	14	@	Jaguars	34	390	128	262	0	0	+6.5	40.0	+20	O 48 +8.0
01/07/23 2022	Titans	16	@	Jaguars	20	231	19	212	1	1	+6.0	39.5	+4	U 36 -3.5
12/11/22 2022	Titans	22	vs.	Jaguars	36	391	137	254	0	4	-3.5	41.5	+14	O 58 +16.5
12/12/21 2021	Titans	20	vs.	Jaguars	0	293	102	191	4	1	-8.5	44.0	-20	U 20 -24.0
10/10/21 2021	Titans	37	@	Jaguars	19	471	198	273	0	1	-4.5	49.0	-18	O 56 +7.0
12/13/20 2020	Titans	31	@	Jaguars	10	354	91	263	0	0	-7.5	53.0	-21	U 41 -12.0
09/20/20 2020	Titans	33	vs.	Jaguars	30	362	123	239	2	0	-7.0	44.5	-3	O 63 +18.5

Titans as Home (3 games)		25.0	-	-	22.0	349	121	228	2.0	1.7	-6.3	43.3	-3.0 -3.3	O 47.0 +3.7

All Games Avg (7 games)		24.7	-	-	21.3	356	114	242	1.0	1.0	-2.6	44.5	-3.4 +0.8	O 46.0 +1.5