NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 1/7, Final: 9 – 0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

Buccaneers: 8-8 (50.0%) - NFC South

Panthers: 2-14 (12.5%) - NFC South

Line: +4.0

Total: 36.0

Open: +6

Open: 37

Team totals: Buccaneers 20.5 · Panthers 16.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Buccaneers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/21/24 2023	Buccaneers	-	@	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.0	49.0	-	-
01/15/24 2023	Buccaneers	-	vs.	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	43.0	-	-
01/07/24 2023	Buccaneers	-	@	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.0	36.0	-	-
12/31/23 2023	Buccaneers	13	vs.	Saints	23	366	57	309	0	2	-2.5	42.5	+10	U 36 -6.5
12/24/23 2023	Buccaneers	30	vs.	Jaguars	12	353	70	283	2	0	+1.5	43.0	-18	U 42 -1.0
12/17/23 2023	Buccaneers	34	@	Packers	20	480	99	381	0	1	+4.0	41.5	-14	O 54 +12.5
12/10/23 2023	Buccaneers	29	@	Falcons	25	292	148	144	1	2	+1.5	41.5	-4	O 54 +12.5
12/03/23 2023	Buccaneers	21	vs.	Panthers	18	330	128	202	1	0	-3.5	37.0	-3	O 39 +2.0
11/26/23 2023	Buccaneers	20	@	Colts	27	324	125	199	1	2	+2.5	45.0	+7	O 47 +2.0
11/19/23 2023	Buccaneers	14	@	49ers	27	312	66	246	0	2	+13.5	42.0	+13	U 41 -1.0
11/12/23 2023	Buccaneers	20	vs.	Titans	6	355	77	278	1	1	-2.5	39.5	-14	U 26 -13.5
11/05/23 2023	Buccaneers	37	@	Texans	39	349	81	268	0	2	+2.5	39.5	+2	O 76 +36.5
10/26/23 2023	Buccaneers	18	@	Bills	24	315	78	237	1	2	+10.0	43.0	+6	U 42 -1.0

Away Games Avg (6 games)		25.3	-	-	27.0	345	100	246	0.5	1.8	+5.7	42.1	+1.7 +4.0	O 52.3 +10.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		23.6	-	-	22.1	348	93	255	0.7	1.4	+2.7	41.5	-1.5 +4.2	O 45.7 +4.3

Panthers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/15/24 2024	Panthers	-	vs.	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+5.0	39.0	-	-
09/08/24 2024	Panthers	-	@	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	41.5	-	-
01/07/24 2023	Panthers	-	vs.	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.0	36.0	-	-
12/31/23 2023	Panthers	0	@	Jaguars	26	169	57	112	0	0	+3.5	38.5	+26	U 26 -12.5
12/24/23 2023	Panthers	30	vs.	Packers	33	408	96	312	0	2	+3.5	40.0	+3	O 63 +23.0
12/17/23 2023	Panthers	9	vs.	Falcons	7	296	129	167	1	2	+2.5	32.5	-2	U 16 -16.5
12/10/23 2023	Panthers	6	@	Saints	28	341	204	137	1	3	+5.5	39.5	+22	U 34 -5.5
12/03/23 2023	Panthers	18	@	Buccaneers	21	311	133	178	1	2	+3.5	37.0	+3	O 39 +2.0
11/26/23 2023	Panthers	10	@	Titans	17	290	96	194	0	1	+3.5	36.5	+7	U 27 -9.5
11/19/23 2023	Panthers	10	vs.	Cowboys	33	233	110	123	0	2	+11.0	43.0	+23	P 43 0.0
11/09/23 2023	Panthers	13	@	Bears	16	228	43	185	0	1	+3.5	38.0	+3	U 29 -9.0
11/05/23 2023	Panthers	13	vs.	Colts	27	311	138	173	0	1	+1.5	45.0	+14	U 40 -5.0
10/29/23 2023	Panthers	15	vs.	Texans	13	279	44	235	0	0	+3.5	42.5	-2	U 28 -14.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		15.4	-	-	22.6	305	103	202	0.2	1.4	+4.4	40.6	+7.2 -2.8	U 38.0 -2.6

All Games Avg (10 games)		12.4	-	-	22.1	287	105	182	0.3	1.4	+4.2	39.3	+9.7 -5.6	U 34.5 -4.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Panthers are 83.3% (5-1-1) to the under at home

The Panthers are 83.3% (5-1-1) to the under as a home dog

The Buccaneers are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread away

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Panthers (Home)

The Panthers are 33.3% (5-10-1) against the spread

The Panthers are 50% (3-3-1) against the spread at home

The Panthers are 33.3% (5-10-1) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 50% (3-3-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Panthers are 66.7% (10-5-1) to the under

The Panthers are 83.3% (5-1-1) to the under at home

The Panthers are 66.7% (10-5-1) to the under as a dog

The Panthers are 83.3% (5-1-1) to the under as a home dog

The Panthers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Panthers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Panthers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Panthers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Panthers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Panthers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Panthers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Buccaneers (Away)

The Buccaneers are 62.5% (10-6) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread away

The Buccaneers are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a fav

The Buccaneers are 62.5% (10-6) to the under

The Buccaneers are 50% (4-4) to the over away

The Buccaneers are 60% (3-2) to the under as a fav

The Buccaneers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Buccaneers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Buccaneers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/03/23 2023	Panthers	18	@	Buccaneers	21	330	128	202	1	0	+3.5	37.0	+3	O 39 +2.0
01/01/23 2022	Panthers	24	@	Buccaneers	30	499	67	432	1	1	+3.5	40.5	+6	O 54 +13.5
10/23/22 2022	Panthers	21	vs.	Buccaneers	3	350	173	177	0	0	+13.5	39.0	-18	U 24 -15.0
01/09/22 2021	Panthers	17	@	Buccaneers	41	411	85	326	1	0	+9.5	42.5	+24	O 58 +15.5
12/26/21 2021	Panthers	6	vs.	Buccaneers	32	318	67	251	0	1	+10.5	44.0	+26	U 38 -6.0
11/15/20 2020	Panthers	23	vs.	Buccaneers	46	213	65	148	0	0	+6.0	49.5	+23	O 69 +19.5
09/20/20 2020	Panthers	17	@	Buccaneers	31	339	122	217	2	1	+7.5	47.0	+14	O 48 +1.0

Panthers as Home (3 games)		16.7	-	-	27.0	294	102	192	0.0	0.3	+10.0	44.2	+10.3 -0.3	U 43.7 -0.5

All Games Avg (7 games)		18.0	-	-	29.1	351	101	250	0.7	0.4	+7.7	42.8	+11.1 -3.4	O 47.1 +4.4