NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 1/7, Final: 20 – 30
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions

Vikings: 7-9 (43.8%) - NFC North

Lions: 11-5 (68.8%) - NFC North

Line: -4.0

Total: 47.5

Open: -3.5

Open: 46

Team totals: Vikings 21.5 · Lions 26.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Vikings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/15/24 2024	Vikings	-	vs.	49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	46.5	-	-
09/08/24 2024	Vikings	-	@	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.0	42.0	-	-
01/07/24 2023	Vikings	-	@	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.0	47.5	-	-
12/31/23 2023	Vikings	10	vs.	Packers	33	247	67	180	0	1	+1.0	42.5	+23	O 43 +0.5
12/24/23 2023	Vikings	24	vs.	Lions	30	428	17	411	0	2	+2.5	48.0	+6	O 54 +6.0
12/16/23 2023	Vikings	24	@	Bengals	27 OT	446	143	303	1	0	+3.0	41.5	+3	O 51 +9.5
12/10/23 2023	Vikings	3	@	Raiders	0	278	132	146	1	0	-3.0	40.5	-3	U 3 -37.5
11/27/23 2023	Vikings	10	vs.	Bears	12	258	73	185	0	2	-3.0	43.5	+2	U 22 -21.5
11/19/23 2023	Vikings	20	@	Broncos	21	396	175	221	0	4	+2.5	42.5	+1	U 41 -1.5
11/12/23 2023	Vikings	27	vs.	Saints	19	393	125	268	2	0	+3.0	41.0	-8	O 46 +5.0
11/05/23 2023	Vikings	31	@	Falcons	28	382	146	236	1	3	+3.5	38.0	-3	O 59 +21.0
10/29/23 2023	Vikings	24	@	Packers	10	359	62	297	1	1	0.0	41.5	-14	U 34 -7.5
10/23/23 2023	Vikings	22	vs.	49ers	17	452	74	378	2	0	+7.0	43.0	-5	U 39 -4.0

Away Games Avg (5 games)		20.4	-	-	17.2	372	132	241	0.8	1.6	+1.2	40.8	-3.2 +4.4	U 37.6 -3.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		19.5	-	-	19.7	364	101	263	0.8	1.3	+1.7	42.2	+0.2 +1.5	U 39.2 -3.0

Lions Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/21/24 2023	Lions	-	vs.	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.0	49.0	-	-
01/14/24 2023	Lions	-	vs.	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	52.5	-	-
01/07/24 2023	Lions	-	vs.	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.0	47.5	-	-
12/30/23 2023	Lions	19	@	Cowboys	20	427	125	302	1	0	+4.5	53.0	+1	U 39 -14.0
12/24/23 2023	Lions	30	@	Vikings	24	400	143	257	4	2	-2.5	48.0	-6	O 54 +6.0
12/16/23 2023	Lions	42	vs.	Broncos	17	463	185	278	0	0	-5.5	49.0	-25	O 59 +10.0
12/10/23 2023	Lions	13	@	Bears	28	301	140	161	0	2	-3.0	44.5	+15	U 41 -3.5
12/03/23 2023	Lions	33	@	Saints	28	355	142	213	1	1	-4.0	47.5	-5	O 61 +13.5
11/23/23 2023	Lions	22	vs.	Packers	29	472	140	332	0	3	-8.5	47.0	+7	O 51 +4.0
11/19/23 2023	Lions	31	vs.	Bears	26	351	115	236	0	1	-8.0	48.0	-5	O 57 +9.0
11/12/23 2023	Lions	41	@	Chargers	38	533	200	333	1	0	-2.0	48.5	-3	O 79 +30.5
10/30/23 2023	Lions	26	vs.	Raiders	14	494	222	272	1	2	-7.5	46.5	-12	U 40 -6.5
10/22/23 2023	Lions	6	@	Ravens	38	368	84	284	0	2	+3.0	43.5	+32	O 44 +0.5

Home Games Avg (4 games)		30.3	-	-	21.5	445	166	280	0.3	1.5	-7.4	47.6	-8.8 +1.4	O 51.8 +4.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		26.3	-	-	26.2	416	150	267	0.8	1.3	-3.4	47.6	-0.1 -3.3	O 52.5 +5.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Lions are 71.4% (5-2) to the over at home

The Lions are 71.4% (5-2) to the over as a home fav

The Lions are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Vikings are 100% (5-0-3) against the spread away

The Vikings are 75% (3-1) to the over as an away dog

The Vikings are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Lions (Home)

The Lions are 68.8% (11-5) against the spread

The Lions are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread at home

The Lions are 69.2% (9-4) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Lions are 62.5% (10-6) to the over

The Lions are 71.4% (5-2) to the over at home

The Lions are 69.2% (9-4) to the over as a fav

The Lions are 71.4% (5-2) to the over as a home fav

The Lions are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lions are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Lions are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Lions are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Lions are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Vikings (Away)

The Vikings are 53.8% (7-6-3) against the spread

The Vikings are 100% (5-0-3) against the spread away

The Vikings are 57.1% (4-3-2) against the spread as a dog

The Vikings are 100% (2-0-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Vikings are 62.5% (10-6) to the under

The Vikings are 62.5% (5-3) to the under away

The Vikings are 66.7% (6-3) to the over as a dog