NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sat, 1/6, Final: 23 – 19
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts

Texans: 9-7 (56.3%) - AFC South

Colts: 9-7 (56.3%) - AFC South

Line: +1.5

Total: 46.5

Open: -1.5

Open: 46.5

Team totals: Texans 23.5 · Colts 23.5

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Injury Report HOUNo report INDNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Texans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/20/24 2023	Texans	-	@	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+9.5	44.0	-	-
01/13/24 2023	Texans	-	vs.	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	44.5	-	-
01/06/24 2023	Texans	-	@	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	46.5	-	-
12/31/23 2023	Texans	26	vs.	Titans	3	324	111	213	0	1	-5.5	44.0	-23	U 29 -15.0
12/24/23 2023	Texans	22	vs.	Browns	36	283	72	211	2	1	+3.0	39.5	+14	O 58 +18.5
12/17/23 2023	Texans	19	@	Titans	16 OT	377	148	229	1	1	+3.0	38.0	-3	U 35 -3.0
12/10/23 2023	Texans	6	@	Jets	30	176	81	95	0	2	-3.0	33.0	+24	O 36 +3.0
12/03/23 2023	Texans	22	vs.	Broncos	17	381	89	292	3	1	-3.0	47.0	-5	U 39 -8.0
11/26/23 2023	Texans	21	vs.	Jaguars	24	395	91	304	1	0	0.0	48.0	+3	U 45 -3.0
11/19/23 2023	Texans	21	vs.	Cardinals	16	449	111	338	1	0	-5.5	48.0	-5	U 37 -11.0
11/12/23 2023	Texans	30	@	Bengals	27	544	188	356	2	2	+5.5	46.0	-3	O 57 +11.0
11/05/23 2023	Texans	39	vs.	Buccaneers	37	523	53	470	0	2	-2.5	39.5	-2	O 76 +36.5
10/29/23 2023	Texans	13	@	Panthers	15	250	110	140	0	1	-3.5	42.5	+2	U 28 -14.5

Away Games Avg (4 games)		17.0	-	-	22.0	337	132	205	0.8	1.5	+0.5	39.9	+5.0 -4.5	U 39.0 -0.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		21.9	-	-	22.1	370	105	265	1.0	1.1	-1.2	42.6	+0.2 -1.4	O 44.0 +1.5

Colts Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/15/24 2024	Colts	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.5	-	-
09/08/24 2024	Colts	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	48.5	-	-
01/06/24 2023	Colts	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	46.5	-	-
12/31/23 2023	Colts	23	vs.	Raiders	20	358	134	224	0	1	-3.5	42.0	-3	O 43 +1.0
12/24/23 2023	Colts	10	@	Falcons	29	293	92	201	0	1	+2.5	44.5	+19	U 39 -5.5
12/16/23 2023	Colts	30	vs.	Steelers	13	385	170	215	2	0	-1.0	41.5	-17	O 43 +1.5
12/10/23 2023	Colts	14	@	Bengals	34	286	46	240	1	1	+3.0	44.5	+20	O 48 +3.5
12/03/23 2023	Colts	31	@	Titans	28 OT	367	55	312	0	3	-1.5	42.5	-3	O 59 +16.5
11/26/23 2023	Colts	27	vs.	Buccaneers	20	406	155	251	1	1	-2.5	45.0	-7	O 47 +2.0
11/12/23 2023	Colts	10	vs.	Patriots	6	264	70	194	2	0	-1.5	41.5	-4	U 16 -25.5
11/05/23 2023	Colts	27	@	Panthers	13	205	78	127	3	1	-1.5	45.0	-14	U 40 -5.0
10/29/23 2023	Colts	27	vs.	Saints	38	377	164	213	0	0	+2.0	43.5	+11	O 65 +21.5
10/22/23 2023	Colts	38	vs.	Browns	39	473	168	305	2	4	+3.5	40.5	+1	O 77 +36.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		29.0	-	-	26.0	400	158	242	1.0	1.2	-0.3	42.5	-3.0 +2.7	O 55.0 +12.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		23.7	-	-	24.0	341	113	228	1.1	1.2	-0.1	43.1	+0.3 -0.4	O 47.7 +4.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Colts are 87.5% (7-1) to the over at home

The Colts are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home dog

The Colts are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Colts (Home)

The Colts are 56.3% (9-7) against the spread

The Colts are 50% (4-4) against the spread at home

The Colts are 33.3% (3-6) against the spread as a dog

The Colts are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Colts are 68.8% (11-5) to the over

The Colts are 87.5% (7-1) to the over at home

The Colts are 66.7% (6-3) to the over as a dog

The Colts are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home dog

The Colts are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Colts are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Colts are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Colts are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Colts are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Colts are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Texans (Away)

The Texans are 50% (8-8) against the spread

The Texans are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread away

The Texans are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread as a fav

The Texans are 0% (0-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Texans are 62.5% (10-6) to the under

The Texans are 57.1% (4-3) to the under away

The Texans are 66.7% (4-2) to the under as a fav

The Texans are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away fav

The Texans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Texans are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Texans are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Texans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Texans are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/17/23 2023	Colts	31	@	Texans	20	436	52	384	0	3	0.0	40.5	-11	O 51 +10.5
01/08/23 2022	Colts	31	vs.	Texans	32	405	196	209	2	4	-3.0	37.5	+1	O 63 +25.5
09/11/22 2022	Colts	20	@	Texans	20 OT	317	77	240	1	1	-7.0	46.5	0	U 40 -6.5
12/05/21 2021	Colts	31	@	Texans	0	178	84	94	0	1	-10.0	45.5	-31	U 31 -14.5
10/17/21 2021	Colts	31	vs.	Texans	3	397	174	223	2	0	-11.0	44.5	-28	U 34 -10.5
12/20/20 2020	Colts	27	vs.	Texans	20	355	127	228	0	0	-7.5	52.0	-7	U 47 -5.0
12/06/20 2020	Colts	26	@	Texans	20	431	90	341	0	2	-3.5	50.0	-6	U 46 -4.0

Colts as Home (3 games)		29.7	-	-	18.3	386	166	220	1.3	1.3	-7.2	44.7	-11.3 +4.2	O 48.0 +3.3

All Games Avg (7 games)		28.1	-	-	16.4	360	114	246	0.7	1.6	-6.0	45.2	-11.7 +5.7	U 44.6 -0.6