NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 12/11, Final: 28 – 27
Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins

Titans: 4-8 (33.3%) - AFC South

Dolphins: 9-3 (75.0%) - AFC East

Line: -13.5

Total: 45.0

Open: -12

Open: 44.5

Team totals: Titans 16.5 · Dolphins 30.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Titans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/24/23 2023	Titans	-	vs.	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	42.5	-	-
12/17/23 2023	Titans	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	38.0	-	-
12/11/23 2023	Titans	-	@	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+13.5	45.0	-	-
12/03/23 2023	Titans	28	vs.	Colts	31 OT	401	177	224	0	4	+1.5	42.5	+3	O 59 +16.5
11/26/23 2023	Titans	17	vs.	Panthers	10	265	80	185	0	0	-3.5	36.5	-7	U 27 -9.5
11/19/23 2023	Titans	14	@	Jaguars	34	250	92	158	0	2	+6.5	40.0	+20	O 48 +8.0
11/12/23 2023	Titans	6	@	Buccaneers	20	241	42	199	1	0	+2.5	39.5	+14	U 26 -13.5
11/02/23 2023	Titans	16	@	Steelers	20	367	105	262	0	0	+3.0	37.0	+4	U 36 -1.0
10/29/23 2023	Titans	28	vs.	Falcons	23	387	149	238	0	1	+2.5	35.5	-5	O 51 +15.5
10/15/23 2023	Titans	16	vs.	Ravens	24	279	129	150	1	1	+5.0	42.5	+8	U 40 -2.5
10/08/23 2023	Titans	16	@	Colts	23	353	89	264	0	0	-2.5	43.5	+7	U 39 -4.5
10/01/23 2023	Titans	27	vs.	Bengals	3	415	173	242	0	3	+2.5	41.5	-24	U 30 -11.5
09/24/23 2023	Titans	3	@	Browns	27	130	26	104	0	1	+3.5	38.0	+24	U 30 -8.0

Away Games Avg (5 games)		11.0	-	-	24.8	268	71	197	0.2	0.6	+2.6	39.6	+13.8 -11.2	U 35.8 -3.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		17.1	-	-	21.5	309	106	203	0.2	1.2	+2.1	39.7	+4.4 -2.3	U 38.6 -1.1

Dolphins Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/24/23 2023	Dolphins	-	vs.	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	49.0	-	-
12/17/23 2023	Dolphins	-	vs.	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	35.5	-	-
12/11/23 2023	Dolphins	-	vs.	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-13.5	45.0	-	-
12/03/23 2023	Dolphins	45	@	Commanders	15	406	123	283	1	0	-8.5	50.0	-30	O 60 +10.0
11/24/23 2023	Dolphins	34	@	Jets	13	410	167	243	2	2	-9.5	40.0	-21	O 47 +7.0
11/19/23 2023	Dolphins	20	vs.	Raiders	13	424	99	325	3	2	-13.5	44.5	-7	U 33 -11.5
11/05/23 2023	Dolphins	14	vs.	Chiefs	21	310	117	193	0	3	0.0	51.5	+7	U 35 -16.5
10/29/23 2023	Dolphins	31	vs.	Patriots	17	402	78	324	1	1	-7.5	47.0	-14	O 48 +1.0
10/22/23 2023	Dolphins	17	@	Eagles	31	261	45	216	1	1	+3.0	52.5	+14	U 48 -4.5
10/15/23 2023	Dolphins	42	vs.	Panthers	21	424	162	262	0	1	-14.0	47.5	-21	O 63 +15.5
10/08/23 2023	Dolphins	31	vs.	Giants	16	530	222	308	0	2	-12.5	48.0	-15	U 47 -1.0
10/01/23 2023	Dolphins	20	@	Bills	48	424	142	282	0	4	+3.0	53.0	+28	O 68 +15.0
09/24/23 2023	Dolphins	70	vs.	Broncos	20	726	350	376	1	0	-6.0	47.5	-50	O 90 +42.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		38.8	-	-	17.4	501	182	319	1.0	1.2	-10.7	46.9	-21.4 +10.7	O 56.2 +9.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		32.4	-	-	21.5	432	151	281	0.9	1.6	-6.6	48.2	-10.9 +4.4	O 53.9 +5.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Dolphins are 80% (4-1) against the spread at home

The Dolphins are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread as a fav

The Dolphins are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Titans are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread away

The Titans are 20% (1-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Titans are 83.3% (5-1) to the under away

The Titans are 80% (4-1) to the under as an away dog

The Titans are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

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Dolphins (Home)

The Dolphins are 66.7% (8-4) against the spread

The Dolphins are 80% (4-1) against the spread at home

The Dolphins are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread as a fav

The Dolphins are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Dolphins are 58.3% (7-5) to the over

The Dolphins are 60% (3-2) to the over at home

The Dolphins are 62.5% (5-3) to the over as a fav

The Dolphins are 60% (3-2) to the over as a home fav

The Dolphins are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dolphins are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dolphins are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dolphins are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Dolphins are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Dolphins are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Dolphins are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Dolphins are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Titans (Away)

The Titans are 41.7% (5-7) against the spread

The Titans are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread away

The Titans are 40% (4-6) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 20% (1-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Titans are 66.7% (8-4) to the under

The Titans are 83.3% (5-1) to the under away

The Titans are 60% (6-4) to the under as a dog

The Titans are 80% (4-1) to the under as an away dog

The Titans are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Titans are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Titans are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Titans are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Titans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Titans are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Titans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/02/22 2021	Dolphins	3	@	Titans	34	318	198	120	1	1	+3.0	41.0	+31	U 37 -4.0

All Games Avg (1 games)		3.0	-	-	34.0	318	198	120	1.0	1.0	+3.0	41.0	+31.0 -28.0	U 37.0 -4.0