NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/3, Final: 19 – 27
Kansas City Chiefs @ Green Bay Packers

Chiefs: 8-3 (72.7%) - AFC West

Packers: 5-6 (45.5%) - NFC North

Line: +6.0

Total: 44.0

Open: +7

Open: 41.5

Team totals: Chiefs 24.5 · Packers 19.5

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Injury Report KCNo report GBNo report

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Chiefs Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/17/23 2023	Chiefs	-	@	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	-10.0	39.5	-	-
12/10/23 2023	Chiefs	-	vs.	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	49.5	-	-
12/03/23 2023	Chiefs	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.0	44.0	-	-
11/26/23 2023	Chiefs	31	@	Raiders	17	367	69	298	0	0	-9.0	43.0	-14	O 48 +5.0
11/20/23 2023	Chiefs	17	vs.	Eagles	21	345	168	177	1	1	-2.5	46.5	+4	U 38 -8.5
11/05/23 2023	Chiefs	21	vs.	Dolphins	14	278	93	185	0	1	0.0	51.5	-7	U 35 -16.5
10/29/23 2023	Chiefs	9	@	Broncos	24	302	62	240	0	3	-7.0	45.5	+15	U 33 -12.5
10/22/23 2023	Chiefs	31	vs.	Chargers	17	492	68	424	2	1	-5.5	48.0	-14	P 48 0.0
10/12/23 2023	Chiefs	19	vs.	Broncos	8	402	96	306	2	2	-10.5	47.5	-11	U 27 -20.5
10/08/23 2023	Chiefs	27	@	Vikings	20	348	67	281	0	0	-3.5	52.5	-7	U 47 -5.5
10/01/23 2023	Chiefs	23	@	Jets	20	407	204	203	0	1	-8.5	41.5	-3	O 43 +1.5
09/24/23 2023	Chiefs	41	vs.	Bears	10	456	153	303	1	0	-12.5	48.5	-31	O 51 +2.5
09/17/23 2023	Chiefs	17	@	Jaguars	9	406	101	305	0	4	-3.5	51.0	-8	U 26 -25.0

Away Games Avg (5 games)		21.4	-	-	18.0	366	101	265	0.0	1.6	-6.3	46.7	-3.4 -2.9	U 39.4 -7.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		23.6	-	-	16.0	380	108	272	0.6	1.3	-6.3	47.6	-7.6 +1.4	U 39.6 -8.0

Packers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/17/23 2023	Packers	-	vs.	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.0	41.5	-	-
12/11/23 2023	Packers	-	@	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.0	37.5	-	-
12/03/23 2023	Packers	-	vs.	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.0	44.0	-	-
11/23/23 2023	Packers	29	@	Lions	22	377	109	268	0	0	+8.5	47.0	-7	O 51 +4.0
11/19/23 2023	Packers	23	vs.	Chargers	20	424	102	322	0	3	+3.0	44.0	-3	U 43 -1.0
11/12/23 2023	Packers	19	@	Steelers	23	405	116	289	0	2	+3.0	38.0	+4	O 42 +4.0
11/05/23 2023	Packers	20	vs.	Rams	3	412	184	228	1	3	-3.5	37.5	-17	U 23 -14.5
10/29/23 2023	Packers	10	vs.	Vikings	24	303	74	229	0	2	0.0	41.5	+14	U 34 -7.5
10/22/23 2023	Packers	17	@	Broncos	19	331	137	194	0	0	+1.0	44.0	+2	U 36 -8.0
10/09/23 2023	Packers	13	@	Raiders	17	292	110	182	1	0	+1.5	45.0	+4	U 30 -15.0
09/28/23 2023	Packers	20	vs.	Lions	34	273	27	246	1	2	+2.5	45.0	+14	O 54 +9.0
09/24/23 2023	Packers	18	vs.	Saints	17	354	95	259	0	1	+1.5	41.5	-1	U 35 -6.5
09/17/23 2023	Packers	24	@	Falcons	25	235	84	151	1	0	+3.0	40.0	+1	O 49 +9.0

Home Games Avg (5 games)		18.2	-	-	19.6	353	96	257	0.4	2.2	+0.7	41.9	+1.4 -0.7	U 37.8 -4.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		19.3	-	-	20.4	341	104	237	0.4	1.3	+2.1	42.4	+1.1 +1.0	U 39.7 -2.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Packers are 80% (4-1) to the under at home

The Chiefs are 70% (7-3-1) to the under

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

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Packers (Home)

The Packers are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread

The Packers are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The Packers are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread as a dog

The Packers are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Packers are 54.5% (6-5) to the under

The Packers are 80% (4-1) to the under at home

The Packers are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as a dog

The Packers are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a home dog

The Packers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Packers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Packers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Packers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Packers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Packers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Packers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Packers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Chiefs (Away)

The Chiefs are 63.6% (7-4) against the spread

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) against the spread away

The Chiefs are 60% (6-4) against the spread as a fav

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Chiefs are 70% (7-3-1) to the under

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) to the under away

The Chiefs are 66.7% (6-3-1) to the under as a fav

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) to the under as an away fav

The Chiefs are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chiefs are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Chiefs are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Chiefs are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav