NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/3, Final: 13 – 8
Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets

Falcons: 5-6 (45.5%) - NFC South

Jets: 4-7 (36.4%) - AFC East

Line: +2.0

Total: 33.5

Open: +1.5

Open: 36.5

Team totals: Falcons 17.5 · Jets 16.5

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Injury Report ATLNo report NYJNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Falcons Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/17/23 2023	Falcons	-	@	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	32.5	-	-
12/10/23 2023	Falcons	-	vs.	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	41.5	-	-
12/03/23 2023	Falcons	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	33.5	-	-
11/26/23 2023	Falcons	24	vs.	Saints	15	396	228	168	1	0	+2.0	42.0	-9	U 39 -3.0
11/12/23 2023	Falcons	23	@	Cardinals	25	278	184	94	1	0	-2.0	43.5	+2	O 48 +4.5
11/05/23 2023	Falcons	28	vs.	Vikings	31	378	110	268	0	1	-3.5	38.0	+3	O 59 +21.0
10/29/23 2023	Falcons	23	@	Titans	28	386	140	246	0	1	-2.5	35.5	+5	O 51 +15.5
10/22/23 2023	Falcons	16	@	Buccaneers	13	406	156	250	1	3	+3.0	37.5	-3	U 29 -8.5
10/15/23 2023	Falcons	16	vs.	Commanders	24	413	106	307	0	0	-1.5	42.0	+8	U 40 -2.0
10/08/23 2023	Falcons	21	vs.	Texans	19	447	96	351	0	3	-2.5	42.0	-2	U 40 -2.0
10/01/23 2023	Falcons	7	vs.	Jaguars	23	318	127	191	0	1	+3.5	42.0	+16	U 30 -12.0
09/24/23 2023	Falcons	6	@	Lions	20	245	44	201	1	1	+3.5	47.5	+14	U 26 -21.5
09/17/23 2023	Falcons	25	vs.	Packers	24	448	211	237	0	0	-3.0	40.0	-1	O 49 +9.0

Away Games Avg (4 games)		17.0	-	-	21.5	329	131	198	0.8	1.3	+0.5	41.0	+4.5 -4.0	U 38.5 -2.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		18.9	-	-	22.2	372	140	231	0.4	1.0	-0.3	41.0	+3.3 -3.6	O 41.1 +0.1

Jets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/17/23 2023	Jets	-	@	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	35.5	-	-
12/10/23 2023	Jets	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	33.0	-	-
12/03/23 2023	Jets	-	vs.	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	33.5	-	-
11/24/23 2023	Jets	13	vs.	Dolphins	34	208	29	179	2	2	+9.5	40.0	+21	O 47 +7.0
11/19/23 2023	Jets	6	@	Bills	32	195	63	132	1	2	+8.5	39.5	+26	U 38 -1.5
11/12/23 2023	Jets	12	@	Raiders	16	371	108	263	1	1	0.0	36.0	+4	U 28 -8.0
11/06/23 2023	Jets	6	vs.	Chargers	27	327	64	263	0	4	+3.0	41.0	+21	U 33 -8.0
10/29/23 2023	Jets	13	@	Giants	10 OT	298	58	240	0	2	-3.0	35.5	-3	U 23 -12.5
10/15/23 2023	Jets	20	vs.	Eagles	14	275	89	186	3	0	+6.5	43.0	-6	U 34 -9.0
10/08/23 2023	Jets	31	@	Broncos	21	433	234	199	0	4	+2.5	42.5	-10	O 52 +9.5
10/01/23 2023	Jets	20	vs.	Chiefs	23	353	108	245	2	2	+8.5	41.5	+3	O 43 +1.5
09/24/23 2023	Jets	10	vs.	Patriots	15	195	38	157	0	1	+2.5	35.5	+5	U 25 -10.5
09/17/23 2023	Jets	10	@	Cowboys	30	234	64	170	0	1	+8.0	38.5	+20	O 40 +1.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		13.8	-	-	22.6	272	66	206	1.4	1.8	+6.0	40.2	+8.8 -2.8	U 36.4 -3.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		14.1	-	-	22.2	289	86	203	0.9	1.9	+4.6	39.3	+8.1 -3.5	U 36.3 -3.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Jets are 0% (0-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jets are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Falcons are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Falcons are 14.3% (1-6) against the spread as a fav

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Falcons are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Jets (Home)

The Jets are 40% (4-6-1) against the spread

The Jets are 50% (3-3) against the spread at home

The Jets are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 50% (3-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Jets are 63.6% (7-4) to the under

The Jets are 66.7% (4-2) to the under at home

The Jets are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as a dog

The Jets are 66.7% (4-2) to the under as a home dog

The Jets are 0% (0-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jets are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jets are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Jets are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Jets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Falcons (Away)

The Falcons are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Falcons are 14.3% (1-6) against the spread as a fav

The Falcons are 0% (0-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Falcons are 63.6% (7-4) to the under

The Falcons are 50% (2-2) to the over away

The Falcons are 57.1% (4-3) to the over as a fav

The Falcons are 100% (2-0) to the over as an away fav

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Falcons are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Falcons are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Falcons are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav