NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Fri, 11/24, Final: 34 – 13
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

Dolphins: 7-3 (70.0%) - AFC East

Jets: 4-6 (40.0%) - AFC East

Line: +9.5

Total: 40.0

Open: -2.5

Open: 43.5

Team totals: Dolphins 24.5 · Jets 14.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dolphins Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/11/23 2023	Dolphins	-	vs.	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-13.5	45.0	-	-
12/03/23 2023	Dolphins	-	@	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-8.5	50.0	-	-
11/24/23 2023	Dolphins	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-9.5	40.0	-	-
11/19/23 2023	Dolphins	20	vs.	Raiders	13	424	99	325	3	2	-13.5	44.5	-7	U 33 -11.5
11/05/23 2023	Dolphins	14	vs.	Chiefs	21	310	117	193	0	3	0.0	51.5	+7	U 35 -16.5
10/29/23 2023	Dolphins	31	vs.	Patriots	17	402	78	324	1	1	-7.5	47.0	-14	O 48 +1.0
10/22/23 2023	Dolphins	17	@	Eagles	31	261	45	216	1	1	+3.0	52.5	+14	U 48 -4.5
10/15/23 2023	Dolphins	42	vs.	Panthers	21	424	162	262	0	1	-14.0	47.5	-21	O 63 +15.5
10/08/23 2023	Dolphins	31	vs.	Giants	16	530	222	308	0	2	-12.5	48.0	-15	U 47 -1.0
10/01/23 2023	Dolphins	20	@	Bills	48	424	142	282	0	4	+3.0	53.0	+28	O 68 +15.0
09/24/23 2023	Dolphins	70	vs.	Broncos	20	726	350	376	1	0	-6.0	47.5	-50	O 90 +42.5
09/17/23 2023	Dolphins	24	@	Patriots	17	394	145	249	1	2	-2.0	46.5	-7	U 41 -5.5
09/10/23 2023	Dolphins	36	@	Chargers	34	536	70	466	0	2	+3.0	50.0	-2	O 70 +20.0

Away Games Avg (4 games)		24.3	-	-	32.5	404	101	303	0.5	2.3	+1.8	50.5	+8.3 -6.5	O 56.8 +6.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		30.5	-	-	23.8	443	143	300	0.7	1.8	-4.7	48.8	-6.7 +2.1	O 54.3 +5.5

Jets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/10/23 2023	Jets	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	33.0	-	-
12/03/23 2023	Jets	-	vs.	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	33.5	-	-
11/24/23 2023	Jets	-	vs.	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+9.5	40.0	-	-
11/19/23 2023	Jets	6	@	Bills	32	195	63	132	1	2	+8.5	39.5	+26	U 38 -1.5
11/12/23 2023	Jets	12	@	Raiders	16	371	108	263	1	1	0.0	36.0	+4	U 28 -8.0
11/06/23 2023	Jets	6	vs.	Chargers	27	327	64	263	0	4	+3.0	41.0	+21	U 33 -8.0
10/29/23 2023	Jets	13	@	Giants	10 OT	298	58	240	0	2	-3.0	35.5	-3	U 23 -12.5
10/15/23 2023	Jets	20	vs.	Eagles	14	275	89	186	3	0	+6.5	43.0	-6	U 34 -9.0
10/08/23 2023	Jets	31	@	Broncos	21	433	234	199	0	4	+2.5	42.5	-10	O 52 +9.5
10/01/23 2023	Jets	20	vs.	Chiefs	23	353	108	245	2	2	+8.5	41.5	+3	O 43 +1.5
09/24/23 2023	Jets	10	vs.	Patriots	15	195	38	157	0	1	+2.5	35.5	+5	U 25 -10.5
09/17/23 2023	Jets	10	@	Cowboys	30	234	64	170	0	1	+8.0	38.5	+20	O 40 +1.5
09/11/23 2023	Jets	22	vs.	Bills	16 OT	312	172	140	3	1	+2.5	44.5	-6	U 38 -6.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		15.6	-	-	19.0	292	94	198	1.6	1.6	+4.6	41.1	+3.4 +1.2	U 34.6 -6.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		15.0	-	-	20.4	299	100	200	1.0	1.8	+3.9	39.8	+5.4 -1.5	U 35.4 -4.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Jets are 70% (7-3) to the under

The Jets are 80% (4-1) to the under at home

The Jets are 80% (4-1) to the under as a home dog

The Jets are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Dolphins are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a fav

The Dolphins are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dolphins are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

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Jets (Home)

The Jets are 44.4% (4-5-1) against the spread

The Jets are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The Jets are 50% (4-4) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Jets are 70% (7-3) to the under

The Jets are 80% (4-1) to the under at home

The Jets are 62.5% (5-3) to the under as a dog

The Jets are 80% (4-1) to the under as a home dog

The Jets are 0% (0-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jets are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jets are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Jets are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Jets are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Jets are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Jets are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Dolphins (Away)

The Dolphins are 60% (6-4) against the spread

The Dolphins are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Dolphins are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a fav

The Dolphins are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Dolphins are 50% (5-5) to the over

The Dolphins are 50% (2-2) to the over away

The Dolphins are 50% (3-3) to the over as a fav

The Dolphins are 100% (1-0) to the under as an away fav