NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 11/12, Final: 19 – 27
New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings

Saints: 5-4 (55.6%) - NFC South

Vikings: 5-4 (55.6%) - NFC North

Line: +3.0

Total: 41.0

Open: +2.5

Open: 38.5

Team totals: Saints 21.5 · Vikings 19.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Saints Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/03/23 2023	Saints	-	vs.	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.0	47.5	-	-
11/26/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	42.0	-	-
11/12/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.0	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Saints	24	vs.	Bears	17	301	87	214	3	0	-9.0	42.0	-7	U 41 -1.0
10/29/23 2023	Saints	38	@	Colts	27	515	161	354	1	1	-2.0	43.5	-11	O 65 +21.5
10/19/23 2023	Saints	24	vs.	Jaguars	31	413	112	301	0	1	-2.5	41.5	+7	O 55 +13.5
10/15/23 2023	Saints	13	@	Texans	20	446	89	357	1	1	-2.0	42.5	+7	U 33 -9.5
10/08/23 2023	Saints	34	@	Patriots	0	319	136	183	2	0	+2.0	38.5	-34	U 34 -4.5
10/01/23 2023	Saints	9	vs.	Buccaneers	26	210	70	140	1	2	-4.5	41.0	+17	U 35 -6.0
09/24/23 2023	Saints	17	@	Packers	18	281	77	204	1	0	-1.5	41.5	+1	U 35 -6.5
09/18/23 2023	Saints	20	@	Panthers	17	370	134	236	0	0	-3.0	39.5	-3	U 37 -2.5
09/10/23 2023	Saints	16	vs.	Titans	15	374	69	305	3	2	-3.0	41.0	-1	U 31 -10.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Saints	7	vs.	Panthers	10	314	143	171	2	1	-3.5	41.5	+3	U 17 -24.5

Away Games Avg (5 games this season)		24.4	-	-	16.4	386	119	267	1.0	0.4	-1.3	41.1	-8.0 +6.7	U 40.8 -0.3

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		21.7	-	-	19.0	359	104	255	1.3	0.8	-2.8	41.2	-2.7 -0.2	U 40.7 -0.6

Vikings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/27/23 2023	Vikings	-	vs.	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	43.5	-	-
11/19/23 2023	Vikings	-	@	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	42.5	-	-
11/12/23 2023	Vikings	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	41.0	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Vikings	31	@	Falcons	28	382	146	236	1	3	+3.5	38.0	-3	O 59 +21.0
10/29/23 2023	Vikings	24	@	Packers	10	359	62	297	1	1	0.0	41.5	-14	U 34 -7.5
10/23/23 2023	Vikings	22	vs.	49ers	17	452	74	378	2	0	+7.0	43.0	-5	U 39 -4.0
10/15/23 2023	Vikings	19	@	Bears	13	227	46	181	2	3	-3.0	44.5	-6	U 32 -12.5
10/08/23 2023	Vikings	20	vs.	Chiefs	27	354	70	284	0	2	+3.5	52.5	+7	U 47 -5.5
10/01/23 2023	Vikings	21	@	Panthers	13	274	135	139	0	1	-4.0	46.5	-8	U 34 -12.5
09/24/23 2023	Vikings	24	vs.	Chargers	28	497	130	367	0	1	0.0	52.5	+4	U 52 -0.5
09/14/23 2023	Vikings	28	@	Eagles	34	392	28	364	1	4	+6.0	49.0	+6	O 62 +13.0
09/10/23 2023	Vikings	17	vs.	Buccaneers	20	385	41	344	0	2	-4.0	45.0	+3	U 37 -8.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/15/23 2022	Vikings	24	vs.	Giants	31	332	61	271	0	1	-3.0	48.0	+7	O 55 +7.0

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		20.8	-	-	23.0	422	79	343	0.5	1.3	+1.6	48.3	+2.3 -0.6	U 43.8 -4.5

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		22.9	-	-	21.1	369	81	288	0.8	1.9	+1.0	45.8	-1.8 +2.8	U 44.0 -1.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Vikings are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Vikings are 77.8% (7-2) to the under

The Vikings are 100% (4-0) to the under at home

The Vikings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Vikings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Saints are 25% (2-6-1) against the spread

The Saints are 14.3% (1-6-1) against the spread as a fav

The Saints are 77.8% (7-2) to the under

The Saints are 80% (4-1) to the under away

The Saints are 75% (6-2) to the under as a fav

The Saints are 75% (3-1) to the under as an away fav

The Saints are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

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Vikings (Home)

The Vikings are 62.5% (5-3-1) against the spread

The Vikings are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Vikings are 66.7% (2-1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Vikings are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Vikings are 77.8% (7-2) to the under

The Vikings are 100% (4-0) to the under at home

The Vikings are 50% (2-2) to the over as a dog

The Vikings are 100% (2-0) to the under as a home dog

The Vikings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Vikings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Vikings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Vikings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Vikings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Vikings are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Vikings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Vikings are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Saints (Away)

The Saints are 25% (2-6-1) against the spread

The Saints are 50% (2-2-1) against the spread away

The Saints are 14.3% (1-6-1) against the spread as a fav

The Saints are 33.3% (1-2-1) against the spread as an away fav