NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 11/12, Final: 23 – 25
Atlanta Falcons @ Arizona Cardinals

Falcons: 4-5 (44.4%) - NFC South

Cardinals: 1-8 (11.1%) - NFC West

Line: +2.0

Total: 43.5

Open: +2

Open: 41

Team totals: Falcons 22.5 · Cardinals 20.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Falcons Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/03/23 2023	Falcons	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	33.5	-	-
11/26/23 2023	Falcons	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	42.0	-	-
11/12/23 2023	Falcons	-	@	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	43.5	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Falcons	28	vs.	Vikings	31	378	110	268	0	1	-3.5	38.0	+3	O 59 +21.0
10/29/23 2023	Falcons	23	@	Titans	28	386	140	246	0	1	-2.5	35.5	+5	O 51 +15.5
10/22/23 2023	Falcons	16	@	Buccaneers	13	406	156	250	1	3	+3.0	37.5	-3	U 29 -8.5
10/15/23 2023	Falcons	16	vs.	Commanders	24	413	106	307	0	0	-1.5	42.0	+8	U 40 -2.0
10/08/23 2023	Falcons	21	vs.	Texans	19	447	96	351	0	3	-2.5	42.0	-2	U 40 -2.0
10/01/23 2023	Falcons	7	vs.	Jaguars	23	318	127	191	0	1	+3.5	42.0	+16	U 30 -12.0
09/24/23 2023	Falcons	6	@	Lions	20	245	44	201	1	1	+3.5	47.5	+14	U 26 -21.5
09/17/23 2023	Falcons	25	vs.	Packers	24	448	211	237	0	0	-3.0	40.0	-1	O 49 +9.0
09/10/23 2023	Falcons	24	vs.	Panthers	10	245	130	115	2	1	-3.5	40.5	-14	U 34 -6.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Falcons	30	vs.	Buccaneers	17	398	174	224	0	1	-6.0	40.5	-13	O 47 +6.5

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		15.0	-	-	20.3	346	113	232	0.7	1.7	+1.3	40.2	+5.3 -4.0	U 35.3 -4.8

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		18.4	-	-	21.3	365	124	241	0.4	1.2	-0.7	40.6	+2.9 -3.6	U 39.8 -0.8

Cardinals Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/26/23 2023	Cardinals	-	vs.	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	44.5	-	-
11/19/23 2023	Cardinals	-	@	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	+5.5	48.0	-	-
11/12/23 2023	Cardinals	-	vs.	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	43.5	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Cardinals	0	@	Browns	27	99	41	58	0	1	+12.5	38.0	+27	U 27 -11.0
10/29/23 2023	Cardinals	24	vs.	Ravens	31	337	129	208	0	1	+9.5	45.0	+7	O 55 +10.0
10/22/23 2023	Cardinals	10	@	Seahawks	20	277	127	150	1	2	+9.0	44.0	+10	U 30 -14.0
10/15/23 2023	Cardinals	9	@	Rams	26	365	130	235	0	1	+7.0	48.0	+17	U 35 -13.0
10/08/23 2023	Cardinals	20	vs.	Bengals	34	308	142	166	1	1	+3.0	45.5	+14	O 54 +8.5
10/01/23 2023	Cardinals	16	@	49ers	35	370	105	265	0	1	+14.5	44.0	+19	O 51 +7.0
09/24/23 2023	Cardinals	28	vs.	Cowboys	16	411	222	189	1	0	+11.0	43.5	-12	O 44 +0.5
09/17/23 2023	Cardinals	28	vs.	Giants	31	379	151	228	1	0	+5.0	39.5	+3	O 59 +19.5
09/10/23 2023	Cardinals	16	@	Commanders	20	228	96	132	1	3	+7.0	38.0	+4	U 36 -2.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Cardinals	13	@	49ers	38	270	61	209	0	1	+14.5	40.0	+25	O 51 +11.0

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		25.0	-	-	28.0	359	161	198	0.8	0.5	+7.1	43.4	+3.0 +4.1	O 53.0 +9.6

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		16.8	-	-	26.7	308	127	181	0.6	1.1	+8.7	42.8	+9.9 -1.2	O 43.4 +0.6

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Cardinals are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Cardinals are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Cardinals are 100% (4-0) to the over at home

The Cardinals are 100% (4-0) to the over as a home dog

The Cardinals are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cardinals are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Falcons are 22.2% (2-7) against the spread

The Falcons are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread as a fav

The Falcons are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Falcons are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

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Cardinals (Home)

The Cardinals are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread

The Cardinals are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Cardinals are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a dog

The Cardinals are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Cardinals are 55.6% (5-4) to the over

The Cardinals are 100% (4-0) to the over at home

The Cardinals are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as a dog

The Cardinals are 100% (4-0) to the over as a home dog

The Cardinals are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cardinals are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Cardinals are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Cardinals are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Cardinals are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Cardinals are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Cardinals are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Cardinals are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Falcons (Away)

The Falcons are 22.2% (2-7) against the spread

The Falcons are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread away

The Falcons are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread as a fav

The Falcons are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Falcons are 66.7% (6-3) to the under

The Falcons are 66.7% (2-1) to the under away

The Falcons are 50% (3-3) to the over as a fav

The Falcons are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away fav

The Falcons are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Falcons are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away