NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 11/6, Final: 27 – 6
Los Angeles Chargers @ New York Jets

Chargers: 3-4 (42.9%) - AFC West

Jets: 4-3 (57.1%) - AFC East

Line: +3.0

Total: 41.0

Open: +1.5

Open: 43

Team totals: Chargers 21.5 · Jets 19.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Chargers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/19/23 2023	Chargers	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	44.0	-	-
11/12/23 2023	Chargers	-	vs.	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	48.5	-	-
11/06/23 2023	Chargers	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.0	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Chargers	30	vs.	Bears	13	352	54	298	2	1	-9.5	46.0	-17	U 43 -3.0
10/22/23 2023	Chargers	17	@	Chiefs	31	398	139	259	1	0	+5.5	48.0	+14	P 48 0.0
10/16/23 2023	Chargers	17	vs.	Cowboys	20	280	53	227	0	0	+1.5	49.5	+3	U 37 -12.5
10/01/23 2023	Chargers	24	vs.	Raiders	17	322	155	167	1	1	-6.0	49.0	-7	U 41 -8.0
09/24/23 2023	Chargers	28	@	Vikings	24	484	30	454	1	4	0.0	52.5	-4	U 52 -0.5
09/17/23 2023	Chargers	24	@	Titans	27 OT	366	61	305	0	0	-2.5	46.0	+3	O 51 +5.0
09/10/23 2023	Chargers	34	vs.	Dolphins	36	462	233	229	1	0	-3.0	50.0	+2	O 70 +20.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/14/23 2022	Chargers	30	@	Jaguars	31	340	67	273	4	1	-2.5	46.5	+1	O 61 +14.5
01/08/23 2022	Chargers	28	@	Broncos	31	357	59	298	1	3	+6.5	39.0	+3	O 59 +20.0
01/01/23 2022	Chargers	31	vs.	Rams	10	431	192	239	0	0	-7.0	41.5	-21	U 41 -0.5

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		23.0	-	-	27.3	416	77	339	0.7	1.3	+1.0	48.8	+4.3 -3.3	O 50.3 +1.5

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		24.9	-	-	24.0	381	104	277	0.9	0.9	-2.0	48.7	-0.9 -1.1	O 48.9 +0.1

Jets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/19/23 2023	Jets	-	@	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+8.5	39.5	-	-
11/12/23 2023	Jets	-	@	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0	36.0	-	-
11/06/23 2023	Jets	-	vs.	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	41.0	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Jets	13	@	Giants	10 OT	298	58	240	0	2	-3.0	35.5	-3	U 23 -12.5
10/15/23 2023	Jets	20	vs.	Eagles	14	275	89	186	3	0	+6.5	43.0	-6	U 34 -9.0
10/08/23 2023	Jets	31	@	Broncos	21	433	234	199	0	4	+2.5	42.5	-10	O 52 +9.5
10/01/23 2023	Jets	20	vs.	Chiefs	23	353	108	245	2	2	+8.5	41.5	+3	O 43 +1.5
09/24/23 2023	Jets	10	vs.	Patriots	15	195	38	157	0	1	+2.5	35.5	+5	U 25 -10.5
09/17/23 2023	Jets	10	@	Cowboys	30	234	64	170	0	1	+8.0	38.5	+20	O 40 +1.5
09/11/23 2023	Jets	22	vs.	Bills	16 OT	312	172	140	3	1	+2.5	44.5	-6	U 38 -6.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Jets	6	@	Dolphins	11	190	38	152	0	2	+4.0	37.0	+5	U 17 -20.0
01/01/23 2022	Jets	6	@	Seahawks	23	315	75	240	0	1	-1.5	43.0	+17	U 29 -14.0
12/22/22 2022	Jets	3	vs.	Jaguars	19	248	66	182	0	2	-2.5	36.5	+16	U 22 -14.5

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		18.0	-	-	17.0	284	102	182	2.0	1.0	+5.0	41.1	-1.0 +6.0	U 35.0 -6.1

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		18.0	-	-	18.4	300	109	191	1.1	1.6	+3.9	40.1	+0.4 +3.5	U 36.4 -3.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Jets are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Jets are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the under at home

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the under as a home dog

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Jets (Home)

The Jets are 66.7% (4-2-1) against the spread

The Jets are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Jets are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Jets are 57.1% (4-3) to the under

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the under at home

The Jets are 50% (3-3) to the over as a dog

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the under as a home dog

The Jets are 100% (3-0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jets are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jets are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Jets are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Jets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Chargers (Away)

The Chargers are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread

The Chargers are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread away

The Chargers are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a fav

The Chargers are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Chargers are 66.7% (4-2-1) to the under

The Chargers are 50% (1-1-1) to the over away

The Chargers are 50% (2-2) to the over as a fav

The Chargers are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away fav

The Chargers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chargers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Chargers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Chargers are 100% (3-0-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Chargers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/22/20 2020	Jets	28	@	Chargers	34	395	29	366	1	1	+9.5	47.0	+6	O 62 +15.0

All Games Avg (1 games)		28.0	-	-	34.0	395	29	366	1.0	1.0	+9.5	47.0	+6.0 +3.5	O 62.0 +15.0