NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 11/5, Final: 14 – 21
Miami Dolphins / Kansas City Chiefs Neutral site

Dolphins: 6-2 (75.0%) - AFC East

Chiefs: 6-2 (75.0%) - AFC West

Line: 0.0

Total: 51.5

Open: -2.5

Open: 51.5

Team totals: Dolphins 25.5 · Chiefs 26.5

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Injury Report MIANo report KCNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dolphins Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/24/23 2023	Dolphins	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-9.5	40.0	-	-
11/19/23 2023	Dolphins	-	vs.	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-13.5	44.5	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Dolphins	-	vs.	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0	51.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Dolphins	31	vs.	Patriots	17	402	78	324	1	1	-7.5	47.0	-14	O 48 +1.0
10/22/23 2023	Dolphins	17	@	Eagles	31	261	45	216	1	1	+3.0	52.5	+14	U 48 -4.5
10/15/23 2023	Dolphins	42	vs.	Panthers	21	424	162	262	0	1	-14.0	47.5	-21	O 63 +15.5
10/08/23 2023	Dolphins	31	vs.	Giants	16	530	222	308	0	2	-12.5	48.0	-15	U 47 -1.0
10/01/23 2023	Dolphins	20	@	Bills	48	424	142	282	0	4	+3.0	53.0	+28	O 68 +15.0
09/24/23 2023	Dolphins	70	vs.	Broncos	20	726	350	376	1	0	-6.0	47.5	-50	O 90 +42.5
09/17/23 2023	Dolphins	24	@	Patriots	17	394	145	249	1	2	-2.0	46.5	-7	U 41 -5.5
09/10/23 2023	Dolphins	36	@	Chargers	34	536	70	466	0	2	+3.0	50.0	-2	O 70 +20.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/15/23 2022	Dolphins	31	@	Bills	34	262	42	220	2	0	+13.5	44.0	+3	O 65 +21.0
01/08/23 2022	Dolphins	11	vs.	Jets	6	314	162	152	0	1	-4.0	37.0	-5	U 17 -20.0

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		24.3	-	-	32.5	404	101	303	0.5	2.3	+1.8	50.5	+8.3 -6.5	O 56.8 +6.3

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		33.9	-	-	25.5	462	152	310	0.5	1.6	-4.1	49.0	-8.4 +4.3	O 59.4 +10.4

Chiefs Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/26/23 2023	Chiefs	-	@	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-9.0	43.0	-	-
11/20/23 2023	Chiefs	-	vs.	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	46.5	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Chiefs	-	vs.	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0	51.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Chiefs	9	@	Broncos	24	302	62	240	0	3	-7.0	45.5	+15	U 33 -12.5
10/22/23 2023	Chiefs	31	vs.	Chargers	17	492	68	424	2	1	-5.5	48.0	-14	P 48 0.0
10/12/23 2023	Chiefs	19	vs.	Broncos	8	402	96	306	2	2	-10.5	47.5	-11	U 27 -20.5
10/08/23 2023	Chiefs	27	@	Vikings	20	348	67	281	0	0	-3.5	52.5	-7	U 47 -5.5
10/01/23 2023	Chiefs	23	@	Jets	20	407	204	203	0	1	-8.5	41.5	-3	O 43 +1.5
09/24/23 2023	Chiefs	41	vs.	Bears	10	456	153	303	1	0	-12.5	48.5	-31	O 51 +2.5
09/17/23 2023	Chiefs	17	@	Jaguars	9	406	101	305	0	4	-3.5	51.0	-8	U 26 -25.0
09/07/23 2023	Chiefs	20	vs.	Lions	21	316	90	226	0	0	-4.0	53.0	+1	U 41 -12.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
02/12/23 2022	Chiefs	38	vs.	Eagles	35	340	158	182	0	1	+1.5	51.5	-3	O 73 +21.5
01/29/23 2022	Chiefs	23	vs.	Bengals	20	368	42	326	2	2	-1.5	48.5	-3	U 43 -5.5

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		27.8	-	-	14.0	417	102	315	1.3	0.8	-8.1	49.3	-13.8 +5.6	U 41.8 -7.5

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		23.4	-	-	16.1	391	105	286	0.6	1.4	-6.9	48.4	-7.3 +0.4	U 39.5 -8.9

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 71.4% (5-2-1) to the under

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Dolphins are 75% (6-2) against the spread

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Chiefs (Home)

The Chiefs are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 71.4% (5-2-1) to the under

The Chiefs are 66.7% (2-1-1) to the under at home

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chiefs are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Chiefs are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

Dolphins (Away)

The Dolphins are 75% (6-2) against the spread

The Dolphins are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Dolphins are 62.5% (5-3) to the over

The Dolphins are 50% (2-2) to the over away

The Dolphins are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dolphins are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Dolphins are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Dolphins are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/13/20 2020	Chiefs	33	@	Dolphins	27	396	80	316	3	1	-7.0	51.5	-6	O 60 +8.5

All Games Avg (1 games)		33.0	-	-	27.0	396	80	316	3.0	1.0	-7.0	51.5	-6.0 -1.0	O 60.0 +8.5