NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/29, Final: 23 – 28
Atlanta Falcons @ Tennessee Titans

Falcons: 4-3 (57.1%) - NFC South

Titans: 2-4 (33.3%) - AFC South

Line: +2.5

Total: 35.5

Open: -0.5

Open: 38

Team totals: Falcons 19.5 · Titans 16.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Falcons Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/12/23 2023	Falcons	-	@	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	43.5	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Falcons	-	vs.	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	38.0	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Falcons	-	@	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	35.5	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Falcons	16	@	Buccaneers	13	406	156	250	1	3	+3.0	37.5	-3	U 29 -8.5
10/15/23 2023	Falcons	16	vs.	Commanders	24	413	106	307	0	0	-1.5	42.0	+8	U 40 -2.0
10/08/23 2023	Falcons	21	vs.	Texans	19	447	96	351	0	3	-2.5	42.0	-2	U 40 -2.0
10/01/23 2023	Falcons	7	vs.	Jaguars	23	318	127	191	0	1	+3.5	42.0	+16	U 30 -12.0
09/24/23 2023	Falcons	6	@	Lions	20	245	44	201	1	1	+3.5	47.5	+14	U 26 -21.5
09/17/23 2023	Falcons	25	vs.	Packers	24	448	211	237	0	0	-3.0	40.0	-1	O 49 +9.0
09/10/23 2023	Falcons	24	vs.	Panthers	10	245	130	115	2	1	-3.5	40.5	-14	U 34 -6.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Falcons	30	vs.	Buccaneers	17	398	174	224	0	1	-6.0	40.5	-13	O 47 +6.5
01/01/23 2022	Falcons	20	vs.	Cardinals	19	301	132	169	0	1	-7.0	40.5	-1	U 39 -1.5
12/24/22 2022	Falcons	9	@	Ravens	17	333	115	218	0	2	+6.5	35.5	+8	U 26 -9.5

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		11.0	-	-	16.5	326	100	226	1.0	2.0	+3.3	42.5	+5.5 -2.3	U 27.5 -15.0

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		16.4	-	-	19.0	360	124	236	0.6	1.3	-0.1	41.6	+2.6 -2.6	U 35.4 -6.2

Titans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/12/23 2023	Titans	-	@	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	39.5	-	-
11/02/23 2023	Titans	-	@	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	37.0	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Titans	-	vs.	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	35.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Titans	16	vs.	Ravens	24	279	129	150	1	1	+5.0	42.5	+8	U 40 -2.5
10/08/23 2023	Titans	16	@	Colts	23	353	89	264	0	0	-2.5	43.5	+7	U 39 -4.5
10/01/23 2023	Titans	27	vs.	Bengals	3	415	173	242	0	3	+2.5	41.5	-24	U 30 -11.5
09/24/23 2023	Titans	3	@	Browns	27	130	26	104	0	1	+3.5	38.0	+24	U 30 -8.0
09/17/23 2023	Titans	27	vs.	Chargers	24 OT	387	141	246	0	0	+2.5	46.0	-3	O 51 +5.0
09/10/23 2023	Titans	15	@	Saints	16	302	104	198	1	0	+3.0	41.0	+1	U 31 -10.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/07/23 2022	Titans	16	@	Jaguars	20	326	147	179	0	2	+6.0	39.5	+4	U 36 -3.5
12/29/22 2022	Titans	13	vs.	Cowboys	27	329	97	232	2	2	+13.5	40.5	+14	U 40 -0.5
12/24/22 2022	Titans	14	vs.	Texans	19	283	184	99	1	2	-3.5	34.5	+5	U 33 -1.5
12/18/22 2022	Titans	14	@	Chargers	17	312	127	185	2	2	+2.5	46.5	+3	U 31 -15.5

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		27.0	-	-	13.5	401	157	244	0.0	1.5	+2.5	43.8	-13.5 +16.0	U 40.5 -3.3

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		17.3	-	-	19.5	311	110	201	0.3	0.8	+2.3	42.1	+2.2 +0.2	U 36.8 -5.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Titans are 83.3% (5-1) to the under

The Titans are 80% (4-1) to the under as a dog

The Titans are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Titans are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Falcons are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a fav

The Falcons are 85.7% (6-1) to the under

The Falcons are 75% (3-1) to the under as a fav

The Falcons are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Falcons are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) to the under

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Titans (Home)

The Titans are 50% (3-3) against the spread

The Titans are 100% (2-0) against the spread at home

The Titans are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Titans are 83.3% (5-1) to the under

The Titans are 50% (1-1) to the over at home

The Titans are 80% (4-1) to the under as a dog

The Titans are 50% (1-1) to the over as a home dog

The Titans are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Titans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Titans are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Titans are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Titans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Titans are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Titans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Falcons (Away)