NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/29, Final: 13 – 30
Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Chargers

Bears: 2-5 (28.6%) - NFC North

Chargers: 2-4 (33.3%) - AFC West

Line: -9.5

Total: 46.0

Open: -10

Open: 45.5

Team totals: Bears 17.5 · Chargers 27.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Bears Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/09/23 2023	Bears	-	vs.	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	38.0	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Bears	-	@	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+9.0	42.0	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Bears	-	@	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+9.5	46.0	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Bears	30	vs.	Raiders	12	335	173	162	3	1	+2.5	38.0	-18	O 42 +4.0
10/15/23 2023	Bears	13	vs.	Vikings	19	303	162	141	0	2	+3.0	44.5	+6	U 32 -12.5
10/05/23 2023	Bears	40	@	Commanders	20	460	178	282	1	1	+6.0	45.5	-20	O 60 +14.5
10/01/23 2023	Bears	28	vs.	Broncos	31	506	171	335	0	1	+3.0	47.0	+3	O 59 +12.0
09/24/23 2023	Bears	10	@	Chiefs	41	215	116	99	2	1	+12.5	48.5	+31	O 51 +2.5
09/17/23 2023	Bears	17	@	Buccaneers	27	278	67	211	0	2	+2.5	40.5	+10	O 44 +3.5
09/10/23 2023	Bears	20	vs.	Packers	38	338	122	216	0	1	-1.0	41.0	+18	O 58 +17.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Bears	13	vs.	Vikings	29	265	118	147	1	0	+6.5	43.0	+16	U 42 -1.0
01/01/23 2022	Bears	10	@	Lions	41	275	200	75	0	1	+4.0	52.0	+31	U 51 -1.0
12/24/22 2022	Bears	13	vs.	Bills	35	224	80	144	2	2	+8.0	40.5	+22	O 48 +7.5

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		22.3	-	-	29.3	318	120	197	1.0	1.3	+7.0	44.8	+7.0 0.0	O 51.7 +6.8

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		22.6	-	-	26.9	348	141	207	0.9	1.3	+4.1	43.6	+4.3 -0.2	O 49.4 +5.9

Chargers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/12/23 2023	Chargers	-	vs.	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	48.5	-	-
11/06/23 2023	Chargers	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.0	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Chargers	-	vs.	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	-9.5	46.0	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Chargers	17	@	Chiefs	31	398	139	259	1	0	+5.5	48.0	+14	P 48 0.0
10/16/23 2023	Chargers	17	vs.	Cowboys	20	280	53	227	0	0	+1.5	49.5	+3	U 37 -12.5
10/01/23 2023	Chargers	24	vs.	Raiders	17	322	155	167	1	1	-6.0	49.0	-7	U 41 -8.0
09/24/23 2023	Chargers	28	@	Vikings	24	484	30	454	1	4	0.0	52.5	-4	U 52 -0.5
09/17/23 2023	Chargers	24	@	Titans	27 OT	366	61	305	0	0	-2.5	46.0	+3	O 51 +5.0
09/10/23 2023	Chargers	34	vs.	Dolphins	36	462	233	229	1	0	-3.0	50.0	+2	O 70 +20.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/14/23 2022	Chargers	30	@	Jaguars	31	340	67	273	4	1	-2.5	46.5	+1	O 61 +14.5
01/08/23 2022	Chargers	28	@	Broncos	31	357	59	298	1	3	+6.5	39.0	+3	O 59 +20.0
01/01/23 2022	Chargers	31	vs.	Rams	10	431	192	239	0	0	-7.0	41.5	-21	U 41 -0.5
12/26/22 2022	Chargers	20	@	Colts	3	336	101	235	3	2	-3.5	44.5	-17	U 23 -21.5

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		25.0	-	-	24.3	355	147	208	0.7	0.3	-2.5	49.5	-0.7 -1.8	U 49.3 -0.2

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		24.0	-	-	25.8	385	112	274	0.7	0.8	-0.8	49.2	+1.8 -2.6	O 49.8 +0.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Bears are 85.7% (6-1) to the over

The Bears are 83.3% (5-1) to the over as a dog

The Bears are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Bears are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

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Chargers (Home)

The Chargers are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread

The Chargers are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread at home

The Chargers are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a fav

The Chargers are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Chargers are 60% (3-2-1) to the under

The Chargers are 66.7% (2-1) to the under at home

The Chargers are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a fav

The Chargers are 50% (1-1) to the over as a home fav

The Chargers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chargers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Chargers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Chargers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Chargers are 100% (3-0-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Chargers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Chargers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Chargers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Bears (Away)

The Bears are 33.3% (2-4-1) against the spread

The Bears are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread away

The Bears are 40% (2-3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Bears are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Bears are 85.7% (6-1) to the over

The Bears are 100% (3-0) to the over away

The Bears are 83.3% (5-1) to the over as a dog

The Bears are 100% (3-0) to the over as an away dog

The Bears are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bears are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Bears are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bears are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog