NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/29, Final: 9 – 24
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos

Chiefs: 6-1 (85.7%) - AFC West

Broncos: 2-5 (28.6%) - AFC West

Line: +7.0

Total: 45.5

Open: +8.5

Open: 46

Team totals: Chiefs 26.5 · Broncos 19.5

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Injury Report KCNo report DENNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Chiefs Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/20/23 2023	Chiefs	-	vs.	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	46.5	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Chiefs	-	vs.	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0	51.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Chiefs	-	@	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	45.5	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Chiefs	31	vs.	Chargers	17	492	68	424	2	1	-5.5	48.0	-14	P 48 0.0
10/12/23 2023	Chiefs	19	vs.	Broncos	8	402	96	306	2	2	-10.5	47.5	-11	U 27 -20.5
10/08/23 2023	Chiefs	27	@	Vikings	20	348	67	281	0	0	-3.5	52.5	-7	U 47 -5.5
10/01/23 2023	Chiefs	23	@	Jets	20	407	204	203	0	1	-8.5	41.5	-3	O 43 +1.5
09/24/23 2023	Chiefs	41	vs.	Bears	10	456	153	303	1	0	-12.5	48.5	-31	O 51 +2.5
09/17/23 2023	Chiefs	17	@	Jaguars	9	406	101	305	0	4	-3.5	51.0	-8	U 26 -25.0
09/07/23 2023	Chiefs	20	vs.	Lions	21	316	90	226	0	0	-4.0	53.0	+1	U 41 -12.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
02/12/23 2022	Chiefs	38	vs.	Eagles	35	340	158	182	0	1	+1.5	51.5	-3	O 73 +21.5
01/29/23 2022	Chiefs	23	vs.	Bengals	20	368	42	326	2	2	-1.5	48.5	-3	U 43 -5.5
01/21/23 2022	Chiefs	27	vs.	Jaguars	20	362	144	218	1	0	-9.5	52.0	-7	U 47 -5.0

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		22.3	-	-	16.3	387	124	263	0.0	1.7	-5.2	48.3	-6.0 +0.8	U 38.7 -9.7

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		25.4	-	-	15.0	404	111	293	0.7	1.1	-6.9	48.9	-10.4 +3.6	U 40.4 -8.4

Broncos Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/19/23 2023	Broncos	-	vs.	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	42.5	-	-
11/13/23 2023	Broncos	-	@	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	47.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Broncos	-	vs.	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	45.5	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Broncos	19	vs.	Packers	17	339	145	194	1	0	-1.0	44.0	-2	U 36 -8.0
10/12/23 2023	Broncos	8	@	Chiefs	19	210	115	95	1	1	+10.5	47.5	+11	U 27 -20.5
10/08/23 2023	Broncos	21	vs.	Jets	31	335	139	196	1	4	-2.5	42.5	+10	O 52 +9.5
10/01/23 2023	Broncos	31	@	Bears	28	320	97	223	1	0	-3.0	47.0	-3	O 59 +12.0
09/24/23 2023	Broncos	20	@	Dolphins	70	375	69	306	0	3	+6.0	47.5	+50	O 90 +42.5
09/17/23 2023	Broncos	33	vs.	Commanders	35	430	122	308	0	1	-4.0	40.5	+2	O 68 +27.5
09/10/23 2023	Broncos	16	vs.	Raiders	17	271	94	177	1	0	-3.0	43.0	+1	U 33 -10.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Broncos	31	vs.	Chargers	28	488	205	283	0	3	-6.5	39.0	-3	O 59 +20.0
01/01/23 2022	Broncos	24	@	Chiefs	27	339	117	222	1	1	+12.5	46.0	+3	O 51 +5.0
12/25/22 2022	Broncos	14	@	Rams	51	363	104	259	0	0	-3.0	36.0	+37	O 65 +29.0

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		22.3	-	-	25.0	344	125	219	0.8	1.3	-2.6	42.5	+2.8 -5.4	O 47.3 +4.8

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		21.1	-	-	31.0	326	112	214	0.7	1.3	+0.4	44.6	+9.9 -9.4	O 52.1 +7.6

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Broncos are 16.7% (1-5-1) against the spread

The Broncos are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Broncos are 25% (1-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chiefs are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread

The Chiefs are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a fav

The Chiefs are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chiefs are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

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Broncos (Home)

The Broncos are 16.7% (1-5-1) against the spread

The Broncos are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Broncos are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a dog

The Broncos are 57.1% (4-3) to the over

The Broncos are 50% (2-2) to the over at home

The Broncos are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Broncos are 25% (1-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Broncos are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Broncos are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Broncos are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Broncos are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Broncos are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Chiefs (Away)

The Chiefs are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread

The Chiefs are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread away

The Chiefs are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a fav

The Chiefs are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Chiefs are 66.7% (4-2-1) to the under

The Chiefs are 66.7% (2-1) to the under away

The Chiefs are 66.7% (4-2-1) to the under as a fav

The Chiefs are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as an away fav

The Chiefs are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chiefs are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away