NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 10/23, Final: 17 – 22
San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings

49ers: 5-1 (83.3%) - NFC West

Vikings: 2-4 (33.3%) - NFC North

Line: +7.0

Total: 43.0

Open: +7

Open: 45.5

Team totals: 49ers 26.5 · Vikings 18.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

49ers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/12/23 2023	49ers	-	@	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	42.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	49ers	-	vs.	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	44.5	-	-
10/23/23 2023	49ers	-	@	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	43.0	-	-
10/15/23 2023	49ers	17	@	Browns	19	233	108	125	2	1	-9.5	36.0	+2	P 36 0.0
10/08/23 2023	49ers	42	vs.	Cowboys	10	423	170	253	3	1	-3.5	45.0	-32	O 52 +7.0
10/01/23 2023	49ers	35	vs.	Cardinals	16	407	124	283	0	0	-14.5	44.0	-19	O 51 +7.0
09/21/23 2023	49ers	30	vs.	Giants	12	451	141	310	1	1	-10.5	46.5	-18	U 42 -4.5
09/17/23 2023	49ers	30	@	Rams	23	365	159	206	2	2	-7.0	45.0	-7	O 53 +8.0
09/10/23 2023	49ers	30	@	Steelers	7	408	188	220	2	3	-1.5	41.5	-23	U 37 -4.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/29/23 2022	49ers	7	@	Eagles	31	178	81	97	0	3	+3.0	45.0	+24	U 38 -7.0
01/22/23 2022	49ers	19	vs.	Cowboys	12	327	113	214	2	1	-3.5	46.5	-7	U 31 -15.5
01/14/23 2022	49ers	41	vs.	Seahawks	23	513	181	332	1	0	-9.5	42.0	-18	O 64 +22.0
01/08/23 2022	49ers	38	vs.	Cardinals	13	347	169	178	3	0	-14.5	40.0	-25	O 51 +11.0

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		25.7	-	-	16.3	335	152	184	2.0	2.0	-6.0	40.8	-9.3 +3.3	O 42.0 +1.2

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		30.7	-	-	14.5	381	148	233	1.7	1.3	-7.8	43.0	-16.2 +8.4	O 45.2 +2.2

Vikings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/05/23 2023	Vikings	-	@	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	38.0	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Vikings	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0	41.5	-	-
10/23/23 2023	Vikings	-	vs.	49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	43.0	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Vikings	19	@	Bears	13	227	46	181	2	3	-3.0	44.5	-6	U 32 -12.5
10/08/23 2023	Vikings	20	vs.	Chiefs	27	354	70	284	0	2	+3.5	52.5	+7	U 47 -5.5
10/01/23 2023	Vikings	21	@	Panthers	13	274	135	139	0	1	-4.0	46.5	-8	U 34 -12.5
09/24/23 2023	Vikings	24	vs.	Chargers	28	497	130	367	0	1	0.0	52.5	+4	U 52 -0.5
09/14/23 2023	Vikings	28	@	Eagles	34	392	28	364	1	4	+6.0	49.0	+6	O 62 +13.0
09/10/23 2023	Vikings	17	vs.	Buccaneers	20	385	41	344	0	2	-4.0	45.0	+3	U 37 -8.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/15/23 2022	Vikings	24	vs.	Giants	31	332	61	271	0	1	-3.0	48.0	+7	O 55 +7.0
01/08/23 2022	Vikings	29	@	Bears	13	482	141	341	2	2	-6.5	43.0	-16	U 42 -1.0
01/01/23 2022	Vikings	17	@	Packers	41	364	102	262	0	3	+3.0	47.5	+24	O 58 +10.5
12/24/22 2022	Vikings	27	vs.	Giants	24	382	83	299	1	0	-4.0	48.0	-3	O 51 +3.0

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		20.3	-	-	25.0	412	80	332	0.0	1.7	-0.2	50.0	+4.7 -4.8	U 45.3 -4.7

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		21.5	-	-	22.5	355	75	280	0.5	2.2	-0.3	48.3	+1.0 -1.3	U 44.0 -4.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Vikings are 83.3% (5-1) to the under

The Vikings are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The 49ers are 80% (4-1-1) against the spread

The 49ers are 80% (4-1-1) against the spread as a fav

The 49ers are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The 49ers are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The 49ers are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The 49ers are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

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Vikings (Home)

The Vikings are 40% (2-3-1) against the spread

The Vikings are 0% (0-3) against the spread at home

The Vikings are 0% (0-1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Vikings are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Vikings are 83.3% (5-1) to the under

The Vikings are 100% (3-0) to the under at home

The Vikings are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Vikings are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home dog

The Vikings are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Vikings are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Vikings are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Vikings are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Vikings are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Vikings are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Vikings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Vikings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

49ers (Away)

The 49ers are 80% (4-1-1) against the spread

The 49ers are 50% (1-1-1) against the spread away

The 49ers are 80% (4-1-1) against the spread as a fav

The 49ers are 50% (1-1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The 49ers are 60% (3-2-1) to the over

The 49ers are 50% (1-1-1) to the over away

The 49ers are 60% (3-2-1) to the over as a fav

The 49ers are 50% (1-1-1) to the over as an away fav