NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/22, Final: 7 – 14
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants

Commanders: 3-3 (50.0%) - NFC East

Giants: 1-5 (16.7%) - NFC East

Line: +3.0

Total: 36.5

Open: +1.5

Open: 42

Team totals: Commanders 20.5 · Giants 16.5

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Injury Report WASNo report NYGNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Commanders Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/05/23 2023	Commanders	-	@	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	40.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Commanders	-	vs.	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	42.0	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Commanders	-	@	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	36.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Commanders	24	@	Falcons	16	223	72	151	3	0	+1.5	42.0	-8	U 40 -2.0
10/05/23 2023	Commanders	20	vs.	Bears	40	417	29	388	0	1	-6.0	45.5	+20	O 60 +14.5
10/01/23 2023	Commanders	31	@	Eagles	34 OT	397	107	290	0	2	+8.5	43.0	+3	O 65 +22.0
09/24/23 2023	Commanders	3	vs.	Bills	37	275	105	170	1	1	+5.0	44.5	+34	U 40 -4.5
09/17/23 2023	Commanders	35	@	Broncos	33	421	122	299	1	2	+4.0	40.5	-2	O 68 +27.5
09/10/23 2023	Commanders	20	vs.	Cardinals	16	294	92	202	0	2	-7.0	38.0	-4	U 36 -2.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Commanders	26	vs.	Cowboys	6	320	151	169	1	1	+7.5	40.5	-20	U 32 -8.5
01/01/23 2022	Commanders	10	vs.	Browns	24	279	136	143	0	0	-1.5	41.5	+14	U 34 -7.5
12/24/22 2022	Commanders	20	@	49ers	37	368	79	289	1	1	+6.0	37.0	+17	O 57 +20.0
12/18/22 2022	Commanders	12	vs.	Giants	20	408	159	249	0	4	-4.0	40.5	+8	U 32 -8.5

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		30.0	-	-	27.7	347	100	247	1.3	1.3	+4.7	41.8	-2.3 +7.0	O 57.7 +15.8

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		22.2	-	-	29.3	338	88	250	0.8	1.3	+1.0	42.3	+7.2 -6.2	O 51.5 +9.3

Giants Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/05/23 2023	Giants	-	@	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	37.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Giants	-	vs.	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	35.5	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Giants	-	vs.	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	36.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Giants	9	@	Bills	14	332	132	200	1	1	+15.0	43.5	+5	U 23 -20.5
10/08/23 2023	Giants	16	@	Dolphins	31	290	85	205	2	1	+12.5	48.0	+15	U 47 -1.0
10/02/23 2023	Giants	3	vs.	Seahawks	24	315	112	203	0	3	+2.5	46.5	+21	U 27 -19.5
09/21/23 2023	Giants	12	@	49ers	30	166	29	137	0	0	+10.5	46.5	+18	U 42 -4.5
09/17/23 2023	Giants	31	@	Cardinals	28	448	127	321	0	0	-5.0	39.5	-3	O 59 +19.5
09/10/23 2023	Giants	0	vs.	Cowboys	40	218	108	110	0	5	+3.5	44.5	+40	U 40 -4.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/21/23 2022	Giants	7	@	Eagles	38	253	118	135	0	1	+8.0	48.0	+31	U 45 -3.0
01/15/23 2022	Giants	31	@	Vikings	24	443	142	301	0	1	+3.0	48.0	-7	O 55 +7.0
01/08/23 2022	Giants	16	@	Eagles	22	297	129	168	1	0	+17.0	43.0	+6	U 38 -5.0
01/01/23 2022	Giants	38	vs.	Colts	10	394	217	177	1	1	-5.5	38.5	-28	O 48 +9.5

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		1.5	-	-	32.0	267	110	157	0.0	4.0	+3.0	45.5	+30.5 -27.5	U 33.5 -12.0

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		11.8	-	-	27.8	295	99	196	0.5	1.7	+6.5	44.8	+16.0 -9.5	U 39.7 -5.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Giants are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread

The Giants are 20% (1-4) against the spread as a dog

The Giants are 83.3% (5-1) to the under

The Giants are 100% (5-0) to the under as a dog

The Giants are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Giants are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Giants are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Giants are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

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Giants (Home)

The Giants are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread

The Giants are 0% (0-2) against the spread at home

The Giants are 20% (1-4) against the spread as a dog

The Giants are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Giants are 83.3% (5-1) to the under

The Giants are 100% (2-0) to the under at home

The Giants are 100% (5-0) to the under as a dog

The Giants are 100% (2-0) to the under as a home dog

The Giants are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Giants are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Giants are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Giants are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Giants are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Giants are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Giants are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Giants are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Commanders (Away)

The Commanders are 50% (3-3) against the spread

The Commanders are 100% (3-0) against the spread away

The Commanders are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a fav

The Commanders are 50% (3-3) to the over

The Commanders are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Commanders are 50% (1-1) to the over as a fav

The Commanders are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Commanders are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Commanders are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Commanders are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Commanders are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Commanders are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/18/22 2022	Giants	20	@	Commanders	12	408	159	249	0	4	+4.0	40.5	-8	U 32 -8.5
12/04/22 2022	Giants	20	vs.	Commanders	20 OT	334	134	200	0	2	+2.5	40.0	0	P 40 0.0
01/09/22 2021	Giants	7	vs.	Commanders	22	197	94	103	0	1	+6.5	36.5	+15	U 29 -7.5
09/16/21 2021	Giants	29	@	Commanders	30	423	87	336	0	0	+4.0	41.5	+1	O 59 +17.5
11/08/20 2020	Giants	23	@	Commanders	20	424	37	387	0	3	+3.0	43.0	-3	P 43 0.0
10/18/20 2020	Giants	20	vs.	Commanders	19	244	132	112	1	0	-1.0	42.0	-1	U 39 -3.0

Giants as Home (3 games)		15.7	-	-	20.3	258	120	138	0.3	1.0	+2.7	39.5	+4.7 -2.0	U 36.0 -3.5

All Games Avg (6 games)		19.8	-	-	20.5	338	107	231	0.2	1.7	+3.2	40.6	+0.7 +2.5	U 40.3 -0.3