NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 10/16, Final: 20 – 17
Dallas Cowboys @ Los Angeles Chargers

Cowboys: 3-2 (60.0%) - NFC East

Chargers: 2-2 (50.0%) - AFC West

Line: +1.5

Total: 49.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 47.5

Team totals: Cowboys 25.5 · Chargers 24.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Cowboys Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/05/23 2023	Cowboys	-	@	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	46.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Cowboys	-	vs.	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	44.0	-	-
10/16/23 2023	Cowboys	-	@	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	49.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Cowboys	10	@	49ers	42	218	57	161	0	1	+3.5	45.0	+32	O 52 +7.0
10/01/23 2023	Cowboys	38	vs.	Patriots	3	405	124	281	2	2	-6.0	43.0	-35	U 41 -2.0
09/24/23 2023	Cowboys	16	@	Cardinals	28	434	185	249	0	0	-11.0	43.5	+12	O 44 +0.5
09/17/23 2023	Cowboys	30	vs.	Jets	10	389	134	255	3	1	-8.0	38.5	-20	O 40 +1.5
09/10/23 2023	Cowboys	40	@	Giants	0	265	122	143	2	1	-3.5	44.5	-40	U 40 -4.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/22/23 2022	Cowboys	12	@	49ers	19	282	76	206	0	0	+3.5	46.5	+7	U 31 -15.5
01/16/23 2022	Cowboys	31	@	Buccaneers	14	433	128	305	1	0	-3.0	45.5	-17	U 45 -0.5
01/08/23 2022	Cowboys	6	@	Commanders	26	192	64	128	1	2	-7.5	40.5	+20	U 32 -8.5
12/29/22 2022	Cowboys	27	@	Titans	13	369	87	282	1	1	-13.5	40.5	-14	U 40 -0.5
12/24/22 2022	Cowboys	40	vs.	Eagles	34	462	115	347	2	1	-3.5	48.0	-6	O 74 +26.0

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		22.0	-	-	23.3	306	121	184	0.7	0.7	-3.7	44.3	+1.3 -5.0	O 45.3 +1.0

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		26.8	-	-	16.6	342	124	218	1.4	1.0	-5.0	42.9	-10.2 +5.2	O 43.4 +0.5

Chargers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/29/23 2023	Chargers	-	vs.	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	-9.5	46.0	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Chargers	-	@	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+5.5	48.0	-	-
10/16/23 2023	Chargers	-	vs.	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	49.5	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Chargers	24	vs.	Raiders	17	322	155	167	1	1	-6.0	49.0	-7	U 41 -8.0
09/24/23 2023	Chargers	28	@	Vikings	24	484	30	454	1	4	0.0	52.5	-4	U 52 -0.5
09/17/23 2023	Chargers	24	@	Titans	27 OT	366	61	305	0	0	-2.5	46.0	+3	O 51 +5.0
09/10/23 2023	Chargers	34	vs.	Dolphins	36	462	233	229	1	0	-3.0	50.0	+2	O 70 +20.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/14/23 2022	Chargers	30	@	Jaguars	31	340	67	273	4	1	-2.5	46.5	+1	O 61 +14.5
01/08/23 2022	Chargers	28	@	Broncos	31	357	59	298	1	3	+6.5	39.0	+3	O 59 +20.0
01/01/23 2022	Chargers	31	vs.	Rams	10	431	192	239	0	0	-7.0	41.5	-21	U 41 -0.5
12/26/22 2022	Chargers	20	@	Colts	3	336	101	235	3	2	-3.5	44.5	-17	U 23 -21.5
12/18/22 2022	Chargers	17	vs.	Titans	14	387	74	313	1	0	-2.5	46.5	-3	U 31 -15.5
12/11/22 2022	Chargers	23	vs.	Dolphins	17	449	82	367	0	1	+3.0	54.5	-6	U 40 -14.5

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		29.0	-	-	26.5	392	194	198	1.0	0.5	-4.5	49.5	-2.5 -2.0	O 55.5 +6.0

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		27.5	-	-	26.0	409	120	289	0.8	1.3	-2.9	49.4	-1.5 -1.4	O 53.5 +4.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

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Chargers (Home)

The Chargers are 50% (2-2) against the spread

The Chargers are 50% (1-1) against the spread at home

The Chargers are 50% (2-2) to the over

The Chargers are 50% (1-1) to the over at home

The Chargers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chargers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Chargers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Chargers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

Cowboys (Away)

The Cowboys are 60% (3-2) against the spread

The Cowboys are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread away

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cowboys are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Cowboys are 60% (3-2) to the over

The Cowboys are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Cowboys are 50% (2-2) to the over as a fav

The Cowboys are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away fav

The Cowboys are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cowboys are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread away