NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/15, Final: 13 – 20
New Orleans Saints @ Houston Texans

Saints: 3-2 (60.0%) - NFC South

Texans: 2-3 (40.0%) - AFC South

Line: +2.0

Total: 42.5

Open: 0

Open: 41

Team totals: Saints 21.5 · Texans 20.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Saints Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/29/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	43.5	-	-
10/19/23 2023	Saints	-	vs.	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	41.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	42.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Saints	34	@	Patriots	0	319	136	183	2	0	+2.0	38.5	-34	U 34 -4.5
10/01/23 2023	Saints	9	vs.	Buccaneers	26	210	70	140	1	2	-4.5	41.0	+17	U 35 -6.0
09/24/23 2023	Saints	17	@	Packers	18	281	77	204	1	0	-1.5	41.5	+1	U 35 -6.5
09/18/23 2023	Saints	20	@	Panthers	17	370	134	236	0	0	-3.0	39.5	-3	U 37 -2.5
09/10/23 2023	Saints	16	vs.	Titans	15	374	69	305	3	2	-3.0	41.0	-1	U 31 -10.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Saints	7	vs.	Panthers	10	314	143	171	2	1	-3.5	41.5	+3	U 17 -24.5
01/01/23 2022	Saints	20	@	Eagles	10	358	129	229	1	0	+4.5	42.0	-10	U 30 -12.0
12/24/22 2022	Saints	17	@	Browns	10	244	152	92	1	2	+3.0	32.5	-7	U 27 -5.5
12/18/22 2022	Saints	21	vs.	Falcons	18	365	134	231	0	2	-5.0	43.5	-3	U 39 -4.5
12/05/22 2022	Saints	16	@	Buccaneers	17	316	66	250	1	2	+3.5	40.5	+1	U 33 -7.5

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		23.7	-	-	11.7	323	116	208	1.0	0.0	-0.8	39.8	-12.0 +11.2	U 35.3 -4.5

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		19.2	-	-	15.2	311	97	214	1.4	0.8	-2.0	40.3	-4.0 +2.0	U 34.4 -5.9

Texans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/05/23 2023	Texans	-	vs.	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	39.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Texans	-	@	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	42.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Texans	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	42.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Texans	19	@	Falcons	21	313	64	249	0	0	+2.5	42.0	+2	U 40 -2.0
10/01/23 2023	Texans	30	vs.	Steelers	6	451	139	312	1	2	+3.0	41.5	-24	U 36 -5.5
09/24/23 2023	Texans	37	@	Jaguars	17	366	86	280	1	0	+7.5	43.5	-20	O 54 +10.5
09/17/23 2023	Texans	20	vs.	Colts	31	436	52	384	0	3	0.0	40.5	+11	O 51 +10.5
09/10/23 2023	Texans	9	@	Ravens	25	314	72	242	1	1	+9.5	43.5	+16	U 34 -9.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Texans	32	@	Colts	31	370	59	311	2	2	+3.0	37.5	-1	O 63 +25.5
01/01/23 2022	Texans	3	vs.	Jaguars	31	295	84	211	2	1	+3.5	44.0	+28	U 34 -10.0
12/24/22 2022	Texans	19	@	Titans	14	288	70	218	2	2	+3.5	34.5	-5	U 33 -1.5
12/18/22 2022	Texans	24	vs.	Chiefs	30 OT	223	94	129	0	1	+14.0	48.5	+6	O 54 +5.5
12/11/22 2022	Texans	23	@	Cowboys	27	327	114	213	2	1	+17.0	44.5	+4	O 50 +5.5

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		25.0	-	-	18.5	444	96	348	0.5	2.5	+1.5	41.0	-6.5 +8.0	O 43.5 +2.5

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		23.0	-	-	20.0	376	83	293	0.6	1.2	+4.5	42.2	-3.0 +7.5	O 43.0 +0.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Texans are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 75% (3-1) to the under as a dog

The Texans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Saints are 25% (1-3-1) against the spread

The Saints are 100% (5-0) to the under

The Saints are 100% (4-0) to the under as a fav

The Saints are 25% (1-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Saints are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Saints are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

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Texans (Home)

The Texans are 60% (3-2) against the spread

The Texans are 50% (1-1) against the spread at home

The Texans are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Texans are 60% (3-2) to the under

The Texans are 50% (1-1) to the over at home

The Texans are 75% (3-1) to the under as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home dog

The Texans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Texans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Texans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Texans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Saints (Away)

The Saints are 25% (1-3-1) against the spread

The Saints are 50% (1-1-1) against the spread away

The Saints are 0% (0-3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Saints are 0% (0-1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Saints are 100% (5-0) to the under

The Saints are 100% (3-0) to the under away

The Saints are 100% (4-0) to the under as a fav

The Saints are 100% (2-0) to the under as an away fav