NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/15, Final: 20 – 6
Detroit Lions @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Lions: 4-1 (80.0%) - NFC North

Buccaneers: 3-1 (75.0%) - NFC South

Line: +3.0

Total: 43.5

Open: +3

Open: 45.5

Team totals: Lions 22.5 · Buccaneers 20.5

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Injury Report DETNo report TBNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Lions Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/30/23 2023	Lions	-	vs.	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	46.5	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Lions	-	@	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	43.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Lions	-	@	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	43.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Lions	42	vs.	Panthers	24	395	159	236	2	0	-9.5	43.5	-18	O 66 +22.5
09/28/23 2023	Lions	34	@	Packers	20	421	211	210	2	0	-2.5	45.0	-14	O 54 +9.0
09/24/23 2023	Lions	20	vs.	Falcons	6	358	115	243	0	0	-3.5	47.5	-14	U 26 -21.5
09/17/23 2023	Lions	31	vs.	Seahawks	37 OT	425	102	323	0	2	-4.5	47.5	+6	O 68 +20.5
09/07/23 2023	Lions	21	@	Chiefs	20	371	118	253	1	2	+4.0	53.0	-1	U 41 -12.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Lions	20	@	Packers	16	328	104	224	1	1	+4.0	48.0	-4	U 36 -12.0
01/01/23 2022	Lions	41	vs.	Bears	10	520	265	255	1	0	-4.0	52.0	-31	U 51 -1.0
12/24/22 2022	Lions	23	@	Panthers	37	400	45	355	0	1	-2.0	43.5	+14	O 60 +16.5
12/18/22 2022	Lions	20	@	Jets	17	359	107	252	1	0	+2.0	43.5	-3	U 37 -6.5
12/11/22 2022	Lions	34	vs.	Vikings	23	464	134	330	0	0	-2.5	51.5	-11	O 57 +5.5

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		27.5	-	-	20.0	396	165	232	1.5	1.0	+0.8	49.0	-7.5 +8.3	U 47.5 -1.5

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		29.6	-	-	21.4	394	141	253	1.0	0.8	-3.2	47.3	-8.2 +5.0	O 51.0 +3.7

Buccaneers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/26/23 2023	Buccaneers	-	@	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+10.0	43.0	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Buccaneers	-	vs.	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	37.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Buccaneers	-	vs.	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	43.5	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Buccaneers	26	@	Saints	9	360	114	246	1	0	+4.5	41.0	-17	U 35 -6.0
09/25/23 2023	Buccaneers	11	vs.	Eagles	25	187	41	146	2	2	+6.0	44.0	+14	U 36 -8.0
09/17/23 2023	Buccaneers	27	vs.	Bears	17	437	120	317	2	2	-2.5	40.5	-10	O 44 +3.5
09/10/23 2023	Buccaneers	20	@	Vikings	17	246	73	173	1	0	+4.0	45.0	-3	U 37 -8.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/16/23 2022	Buccaneers	14	vs.	Cowboys	31	403	52	351	0	2	+3.0	45.5	+17	U 45 -0.5
01/08/23 2022	Buccaneers	17	@	Falcons	30	222	86	136	0	1	+6.0	40.5	+13	O 47 +6.5
01/01/23 2022	Buccaneers	30	vs.	Panthers	24	499	67	432	1	1	-3.5	40.5	-6	O 54 +13.5
12/25/22 2022	Buccaneers	19	@	Cardinals	16 OT	396	115	281	1	0	-7.5	41.5	-3	U 35 -6.5
12/18/22 2022	Buccaneers	23	vs.	Bengals	34	404	92	312	1	3	+3.0	47.5	+11	O 57 +9.5
12/11/22 2022	Buccaneers	7	@	49ers	35	322	69	253	0	2	+3.5	38.5	+28	O 42 +3.5

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		19.0	-	-	21.0	312	81	232	2.0	2.0	+1.8	42.3	+2.0 -0.3	U 40.0 -2.3

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		21.0	-	-	17.0	308	87	221	1.5	1.0	+3.0	42.6	-4.0 +7.0	U 38.0 -4.6

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Notable Trends

The Buccaneers are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 75% (3-1) to the under

The Buccaneers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Lions are 80% (4-1) against the spread

The Lions are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) to the over as a fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

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Buccaneers (Home)

The Buccaneers are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) against the spread at home

The Buccaneers are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Buccaneers are 75% (3-1) to the under

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) to the over at home

The Buccaneers are 100% (3-0) to the under as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home dog

The Buccaneers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Buccaneers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Buccaneers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Buccaneers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Lions (Away)

The Lions are 80% (4-1) against the spread

The Lions are 100% (2-0) against the spread away

The Lions are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Lions are 60% (3-2) to the over

The Lions are 50% (1-1) to the over away