NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 10/12, Final: 8 – 19
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

Broncos: 1-4 (20.0%) - AFC West

Chiefs: 4-1 (80.0%) - AFC West

Line: -10.5

Total: 47.5

Open: -10.5

Open: 51.5

Team totals: Broncos 17.5 · Chiefs 29.5

Odds Full NFL odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report DENNo report KCNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

No algorithm data available for this game.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Broncos Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/29/23 2023	Broncos	-	vs.	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	45.5	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Broncos	-	vs.	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.0	44.0	-	-
10/12/23 2023	Broncos	-	@	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+10.5	47.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Broncos	21	vs.	Jets	31	335	139	196	1	4	-2.5	42.5	+10	O 52 +9.5
10/01/23 2023	Broncos	31	@	Bears	28	320	97	223	1	0	-3.0	47.0	-3	O 59 +12.0
09/24/23 2023	Broncos	20	@	Dolphins	70	375	69	306	0	3	+6.0	47.5	+50	O 90 +42.5
09/17/23 2023	Broncos	33	vs.	Commanders	35	430	122	308	0	1	-4.0	40.5	+2	O 68 +27.5
09/10/23 2023	Broncos	16	vs.	Raiders	17	271	94	177	1	0	-3.0	43.0	+1	U 33 -10.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Broncos	31	vs.	Chargers	28	488	205	283	0	3	-6.5	39.0	-3	O 59 +20.0
01/01/23 2022	Broncos	24	@	Chiefs	27	339	117	222	1	1	+12.5	46.0	+3	O 51 +5.0
12/25/22 2022	Broncos	14	@	Rams	51	363	104	259	0	0	-3.0	36.0	+37	O 65 +29.0
12/18/22 2022	Broncos	24	vs.	Cardinals	15	365	168	197	3	3	-2.0	37.0	-9	O 39 +2.0
12/11/22 2022	Broncos	28	vs.	Chiefs	34	369	106	263	3	1	+9.0	44.0	+6	O 62 +18.0

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		25.5	-	-	49.0	348	83	265	0.5	1.5	+1.5	47.3	+23.5 -22.0	O 74.5 +27.3

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		24.2	-	-	36.2	346	104	242	0.6	1.6	-1.3	44.1	+12.0 -13.3	O 60.4 +16.3

Chiefs Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/29/23 2023	Chiefs	-	@	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	45.5	-	-
10/22/23 2023	Chiefs	-	vs.	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-5.5	48.0	-	-
10/12/23 2023	Chiefs	-	vs.	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-10.5	47.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Chiefs	27	@	Vikings	20	348	67	281	0	0	-3.5	52.5	-7	U 47 -5.5
10/01/23 2023	Chiefs	23	@	Jets	20	407	204	203	0	1	-8.5	41.5	-3	O 43 +1.5
09/24/23 2023	Chiefs	41	vs.	Bears	10	456	153	303	1	0	-12.5	48.5	-31	O 51 +2.5
09/17/23 2023	Chiefs	17	@	Jaguars	9	406	101	305	0	4	-3.5	51.0	-8	U 26 -25.0
09/07/23 2023	Chiefs	20	vs.	Lions	21	316	90	226	0	0	-4.0	53.0	+1	U 41 -12.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
02/12/23 2022	Chiefs	38	vs.	Eagles	35	340	158	182	0	1	+1.5	51.5	-3	O 73 +21.5
01/29/23 2022	Chiefs	23	vs.	Bengals	20	368	42	326	2	2	-1.5	48.5	-3	U 43 -5.5
01/21/23 2022	Chiefs	27	vs.	Jaguars	20	362	144	218	1	0	-9.5	52.0	-7	U 47 -5.0
01/07/23 2022	Chiefs	31	@	Raiders	13	370	168	202	1	0	-8.5	52.0	-18	U 44 -8.0
01/01/23 2022	Chiefs	27	vs.	Broncos	24	374	46	328	1	1	-12.5	46.0	-3	O 51 +5.0

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		30.5	-	-	15.5	386	122	265	0.5	0.0	-8.3	50.8	-15.0 +6.8	U 46.0 -4.8

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		25.6	-	-	16.0	387	123	264	0.2	1.0	-6.4	49.3	-9.6 +3.2	U 41.6 -7.7

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Broncos are 0% (0-4-1) against the spread

The Broncos are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Broncos are 0% (0-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Broncos are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

View All Records

Chiefs (Home)

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) against the spread

The Chiefs are 50% (1-1) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a fav

The Chiefs are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) to the under

The Chiefs are 50% (1-1) to the over at home

The Chiefs are 60% (3-2) to the under as a fav

The Chiefs are 50% (1-1) to the over as a home fav

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Chiefs are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Chiefs are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Chiefs are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Chiefs are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Chiefs are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Chiefs are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Broncos (Away)

The Broncos are 0% (0-4-1) against the spread

The Broncos are 0% (0-1-1) against the spread away

The Broncos are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a dog

The Broncos are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Broncos are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Broncos are 100% (2-0) to the over away

The Broncos are 100% (1-0) to the over as a dog

The Broncos are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away dog

The Broncos are 0% (0-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Broncos are 0% (0-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Broncos are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Broncos are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog