NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/8, Final: 34 – 0
New Orleans Saints @ New England Patriots

Saints: 2-2 (50.0%) - NFC South

Patriots: 1-3 (25.0%) - AFC East

Line: -2.0

Total: 38.5

Open: -2.5

Open: 40.5

Team totals: Saints 19.5 · Patriots 19.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Saints Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/19/23 2023	Saints	-	vs.	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	41.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	42.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	38.5	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Saints	9	vs.	Buccaneers	26	210	70	140	1	2	-4.5	41.0	+17	U 35 -6.0
09/24/23 2023	Saints	17	@	Packers	18	281	77	204	1	0	-1.5	41.5	+1	U 35 -6.5
09/18/23 2023	Saints	20	@	Panthers	17	370	134	236	0	0	-3.0	39.5	-3	U 37 -2.5
09/10/23 2023	Saints	16	vs.	Titans	15	374	69	305	3	2	-3.0	41.0	-1	U 31 -10.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Saints	7	vs.	Panthers	10	314	143	171	2	1	-3.5	41.5	+3	U 17 -24.5
01/01/23 2022	Saints	20	@	Eagles	10	358	129	229	1	0	+4.5	42.0	-10	U 30 -12.0
12/24/22 2022	Saints	17	@	Browns	10	244	152	92	1	2	+3.0	32.5	-7	U 27 -5.5
12/18/22 2022	Saints	21	vs.	Falcons	18	365	134	231	0	2	-5.0	43.5	-3	U 39 -4.5
12/05/22 2022	Saints	16	@	Buccaneers	17	316	66	250	1	2	+3.5	40.5	+1	U 33 -7.5
11/27/22 2022	Saints	0	@	49ers	13	267	63	204	0	2	+9.0	43.5	+13	U 13 -30.5

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		18.5	-	-	17.5	326	106	220	0.5	0.0	-2.3	40.5	-1.0 -1.3	U 36.0 -4.5

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		15.5	-	-	19.0	309	88	221	1.3	1.0	-3.0	40.8	+3.5 -6.5	U 34.5 -6.3

Patriots Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/22/23 2023	Patriots	-	vs.	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	41.5	-	-
10/15/23 2023	Patriots	-	@	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	41.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Patriots	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	38.5	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Patriots	3	@	Cowboys	38	260	53	207	0	1	+6.0	43.0	+35	U 41 -2.0
09/24/23 2023	Patriots	15	@	Jets	10	358	157	201	0	0	-2.5	35.5	-5	U 25 -10.5
09/17/23 2023	Patriots	17	vs.	Dolphins	24	316	88	228	1	1	+2.0	46.5	+7	U 41 -5.5
09/10/23 2023	Patriots	20	vs.	Eagles	25	392	76	316	0	2	+3.5	44.0	+5	O 45 +1.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Patriots	23	@	Bills	35	350	107	243	1	1	+13.5	44.0	+12	O 58 +14.0
01/01/23 2022	Patriots	23	vs.	Dolphins	21	280	76	204	2	0	-3.5	42.0	-2	O 44 +2.0
12/24/22 2022	Patriots	18	vs.	Bengals	22	301	61	240	2	4	+3.0	41.5	+4	U 40 -1.5
12/18/22 2022	Patriots	24	@	Raiders	30	318	206	112	1	1	+2.5	45.0	+6	O 54 +9.0
12/12/22 2022	Patriots	27	@	Cardinals	13	338	103	235	1	1	-2.5	44.0	-14	U 40 -4.0
12/01/22 2022	Patriots	10	vs.	Bills	24	255	60	195	0	2	+3.5	44.0	+14	U 34 -10.0

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		18.5	-	-	24.5	354	82	272	0.5	1.5	+2.8	45.3	+6.0 -3.3	U 43.0 -2.3

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		13.8	-	-	24.3	332	94	238	0.3	1.0	+2.3	42.3	+10.5 -8.3	U 38.0 -4.3

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Notable Trends

The Patriots are 25% (1-3) against the spread

The Patriots are 75% (3-1) to the under

The Patriots are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Patriots are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Saints are 100% (4-0) to the under

The Saints are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

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Patriots (Home)

The Patriots are 25% (1-3) against the spread

The Patriots are 0% (0-2) against the spread at home

The Patriots are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a fav

The Patriots are 75% (3-1) to the under

The Patriots are 50% (1-1) to the over at home

The Patriots are 100% (1-0) to the under as a fav

The Patriots are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Patriots are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Patriots are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Patriots are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Patriots are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Patriots are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

Saints (Away)

The Saints are 0% (0-3-1) against the spread

The Saints are 0% (0-1-1) against the spread away