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Updated: 11/11/26 2:43 p.m. ET
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NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/8, Final: 19 – 21
Houston Texans @ Atlanta Falcons
Texans: 2-2 (50.0%) - AFC South
Falcons: 2-2 (50.0%) - NFC South
Line: -2.5
Total: 42.0
Open: -3.5
Open: 41.5
Team totals: Texans 20.5 · Falcons 21.5
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Injury Report HOUNo report ATLNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.
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Schedules
Texans Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/29/23
2023
Texans - @ Panthers - - - - - - -3.5 42.5 - -
10/15/23
2023
Texans - vs. Saints - - - - - - +2.0 42.5 - -
10/08/23
2023
Texans - @ Falcons - - - - - - +2.5 42.0 - -
10/01/23
2023
Texans 30 vs. Steelers 6 451 139 312 1 2 +3.0 41.5 -24 U 36 -5.5
09/24/23
2023
Texans 37 @ Jaguars 17 366 86 280 1 0 +7.5 43.5 -20 O 54 +10.5
09/17/23
2023
Texans 20 vs. Colts 31 436 52 384 0 3 0.0 40.5 +11 O 51 +10.5
09/10/23
2023
Texans 9 @ Ravens 25 314 72 242 1 1 +9.5 43.5 +16 U 34 -9.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23
2022
Texans 32 @ Colts 31 370 59 311 2 2 +3.0 37.5 -1 O 63 +25.5
01/01/23
2022
Texans 3 vs. Jaguars 31 295 84 211 2 1 +3.5 44.0 +28 U 34 -10.0
12/24/22
2022
Texans 19 @ Titans 14 288 70 218 2 2 +3.5 34.5 -5 U 33 -1.5
12/18/22
2022
Texans 24 vs. Chiefs 30 OT 223 94 129 0 1 +14.0 48.5 +6 O 54 +5.5
12/11/22
2022
Texans 23 @ Cowboys 27 327 114 213 2 1 +17.0 44.5 +4 O 50 +5.5
12/04/22
2022
Texans 14 vs. Browns 27 283 82 201 1 3 +7.5 46.5 +13 U 41 -5.5
Away Games Avg
(2 games this season)
23.0 - - 21.0 340 79 261 1.0 0.5 +8.5 43.5 -2.0 +10.5 O 44.0 +0.5
All Games Avg
(4 games this season)
24.0 - - 19.8 392 87 305 0.8 1.5 +5.0 42.3 -4.3 +9.3 O 43.8 +1.5
Falcons Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/22/23
2023
Falcons - @ Buccaneers - - - - - - +3.0 37.5 - -
10/15/23
2023
Falcons - vs. Commanders - - - - - - -1.5 42.0 - -
10/08/23
2023
Falcons - vs. Texans - - - - - - -2.5 42.0 - -
10/01/23
2023
Falcons 7 vs. Jaguars 23 318 127 191 0 1 +3.5 42.0 +16 U 30 -12.0
09/24/23
2023
Falcons 6 @ Lions 20 245 44 201 1 1 +3.5 47.5 +14 U 26 -21.5
09/17/23
2023
Falcons 25 vs. Packers 24 448 211 237 0 0 -3.0 40.0 -1 O 49 +9.0
09/10/23
2023
Falcons 24 vs. Panthers 10 245 130 115 2 1 -3.5 40.5 -14 U 34 -6.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23
2022
Falcons 30 vs. Buccaneers 17 398 174 224 0 1 -6.0 40.5 -13 O 47 +6.5
01/01/23
2022
Falcons 20 vs. Cardinals 19 301 132 169 0 1 -7.0 40.5 -1 U 39 -1.5
12/24/22
2022
Falcons 9 @ Ravens 17 333 115 218 0 2 +6.5 35.5 +8 U 26 -9.5
12/18/22
2022
Falcons 18 @ Saints 21 328 231 97 0 1 +5.0 43.5 +3 U 39 -4.5
12/04/22
2022
Falcons 16 vs. Steelers 19 313 146 167 0 0 +1.0 43.0 +3 U 35 -8.0
11/27/22
2022
Falcons 13 @ Commanders 19 341 167 174 1 0 +3.5 40.0 +6 U 32 -8.0
Home Games Avg
(2 games this season)
24.5 - - 17.0 347 171 176 1.0 0.5 -3.3 40.3 -7.5 +4.3 O 41.5 +1.3
All Games Avg
(4 games this season)
15.5 - - 19.3 314 128 186 0.8 0.8 +0.1 42.5 +3.8 -3.6 U 34.8 -7.8
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Notable Trends
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Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.