NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/1, Final: 6 – 30
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Houston Texans

Steelers: 2-1 (66.7%) - AFC North

Texans: 1-2 (33.3%) - AFC South

Line: +3.0

Total: 41.5

Open: +4.5

Open: 40.5

Team totals: Steelers 21.5 · Texans 19.5

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Injury Report PITNo report HOUNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Steelers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/22/23 2023	Steelers	-	@	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	43.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Steelers	-	vs.	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	38.5	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Steelers	-	@	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.5	-	-
09/24/23 2023	Steelers	23	@	Raiders	18	340	105	235	3	0	+3.0	43.5	-5	U 41 -2.5
09/18/23 2023	Steelers	26	vs.	Browns	22	277	55	222	1	1	+2.5	38.5	-4	O 48 +9.5
09/10/23 2023	Steelers	7	vs.	49ers	30	273	41	232	0	0	+1.5	41.5	+23	U 37 -4.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Steelers	28	vs.	Browns	14	339	144	195	2	3	-2.5	39.5	-14	O 42 +2.5
01/01/23 2022	Steelers	16	@	Ravens	13	366	198	168	1	0	+1.0	35.5	-3	U 29 -6.5
12/24/22 2022	Steelers	13	vs.	Raiders	10	350	106	244	3	0	-2.5	38.0	-3	U 23 -15.0
12/18/22 2022	Steelers	24	@	Panthers	16	335	156	179	0	0	+2.5	37.5	-8	O 40 +2.5
12/11/22 2022	Steelers	14	vs.	Ravens	16	341	65	276	0	0	-2.0	36.5	+2	U 30 -6.5
12/04/22 2022	Steelers	19	@	Falcons	16	351	154	197	1	1	-1.0	43.0	-3	U 35 -8.0
11/28/22 2022	Steelers	24	@	Colts	17	346	172	174	1	0	+2.5	39.5	-7	O 41 +1.5

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		23.0	-	-	18.0	340	105	235	3.0	0.0	+3.0	43.5	-5.0 +8.0	U 41.0 -2.5

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		18.7	-	-	23.3	297	67	230	1.3	0.3	+2.3	41.2	+4.7 -2.3	O 42.0 +0.8

Texans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/15/23 2023	Texans	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	42.5	-	-
10/08/23 2023	Texans	-	@	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	42.0	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Texans	-	vs.	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	41.5	-	-
09/24/23 2023	Texans	37	@	Jaguars	17	366	86	280	1	0	+7.5	43.5	-20	O 54 +10.5
09/17/23 2023	Texans	20	vs.	Colts	31	436	52	384	0	3	0.0	40.5	+11	O 51 +10.5
09/10/23 2023	Texans	9	@	Ravens	25	314	72	242	1	1	+9.5	43.5	+16	U 34 -9.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Texans	32	@	Colts	31	370	59	311	2	2	+3.0	37.5	-1	O 63 +25.5
01/01/23 2022	Texans	3	vs.	Jaguars	31	295	84	211	2	1	+3.5	44.0	+28	U 34 -10.0
12/24/22 2022	Texans	19	@	Titans	14	288	70	218	2	2	+3.5	34.5	-5	U 33 -1.5
12/18/22 2022	Texans	24	vs.	Chiefs	30 OT	223	94	129	0	1	+14.0	48.5	+6	O 54 +5.5
12/11/22 2022	Texans	23	@	Cowboys	27	327	114	213	2	1	+17.0	44.5	+4	O 50 +5.5
12/04/22 2022	Texans	14	vs.	Browns	27	283	82	201	1	3	+7.5	46.5	+13	U 41 -5.5
11/27/22 2022	Texans	15	@	Dolphins	30	251	36	215	0	3	+15.0	47.0	+15	U 45 -2.0

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		20.0	-	-	31.0	436	52	384	0.0	3.0	0.0	40.5	+11.0 -11.0	O 51.0 +10.5

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		22.0	-	-	24.3	372	70	302	0.7	1.3	+5.7	42.5	+2.3 +3.3	O 46.3 +3.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.

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Texans (Home)

The Texans are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread

The Texans are 0% (0-1) against the spread at home

The Texans are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 66.7% (2-1) to the over

The Texans are 100% (1-0) to the over at home

The Texans are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Texans are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Texans are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Steelers (Away)

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread

The Steelers are 100% (1-0) against the spread away

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) to the under

The Steelers are 100% (1-0) to the under away

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Steelers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Steelers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/27/20 2020	Texans	21	@	Steelers	28	406	169	237	1	1	+3.5	46.5	+7	O 49 +2.5

All Games Avg (1 games)		21.0	-	-	28.0	406	169	237	1.0	1.0	+3.5	46.5	+7.0 -3.5	O 49.0 +2.5