NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 9/25, Final: 25 – 11
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Eagles: 2-0 (100.0%) - NFC East

Buccaneers: 2-0 (100.0%) - NFC South

Line: +6.0

Total: 44.0

Open: +6.5

Open: 45.5

Team totals: Eagles 24.5 · Buccaneers 19.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Eagles Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/08/23 2023	Eagles	-	@	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	50.5	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Eagles	-	vs.	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-8.5	43.0	-	-
09/25/23 2023	Eagles	-	@	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.0	44.0	-	-
09/14/23 2023	Eagles	34	vs.	Vikings	28	452	259	193	0	1	-6.0	49.0	-6	O 62 +13.0
09/10/23 2023	Eagles	25	@	Patriots	20	267	97	170	1	1	-3.5	44.0	-5	O 45 +1.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
02/12/23 2022	Eagles	35	vs.	Chiefs	38	419	115	304	0	2	-1.5	51.5	+3	O 73 +21.5
01/29/23 2022	Eagles	31	vs.	49ers	7	269	148	121	0	0	-3.0	45.0	-24	U 38 -7.0
01/21/23 2022	Eagles	38	vs.	Giants	7	422	268	154	1	1	-8.0	48.0	-31	U 45 -3.0
01/08/23 2022	Eagles	22	vs.	Giants	16	364	135	229	0	0	-17.0	43.0	-6	U 38 -5.0
01/01/23 2022	Eagles	10	vs.	Saints	20	341	67	274	1	2	-4.5	42.0	+10	U 30 -12.0
12/24/22 2022	Eagles	34	@	Cowboys	40	442	87	355	1	3	+3.5	48.0	+6	O 74 +26.0
12/18/22 2022	Eagles	25	@	Bears	20	427	112	315	0	1	-8.5	47.5	-5	U 45 -2.5
12/11/22 2022	Eagles	48	@	Giants	22	470	253	217	0	0	-7.0	44.5	-26	O 70 +25.5

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		25.0	-	-	20.0	267	97	170	1.0	1.0	-3.5	44.0	-5.0 +1.5	O 45.0 +1.0

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		29.5	-	-	24.0	360	178	182	0.5	1.0	-4.8	46.5	-5.5 +0.8	O 53.5 +7.0

Buccaneers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/15/23 2023	Buccaneers	-	vs.	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	43.5	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Buccaneers	-	@	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	41.0	-	-
09/25/23 2023	Buccaneers	-	vs.	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.0	44.0	-	-
09/17/23 2023	Buccaneers	27	vs.	Bears	17	437	120	317	2	2	-2.5	40.5	-10	O 44 +3.5
09/10/23 2023	Buccaneers	20	@	Vikings	17	246	73	173	1	0	+4.0	45.0	-3	U 37 -8.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/16/23 2022	Buccaneers	14	vs.	Cowboys	31	403	52	351	0	2	+3.0	45.5	+17	U 45 -0.5
01/08/23 2022	Buccaneers	17	@	Falcons	30	222	86	136	0	1	+6.0	40.5	+13	O 47 +6.5
01/01/23 2022	Buccaneers	30	vs.	Panthers	24	499	67	432	1	1	-3.5	40.5	-6	O 54 +13.5
12/25/22 2022	Buccaneers	19	@	Cardinals	16 OT	396	115	281	1	0	-7.5	41.5	-3	U 35 -6.5
12/18/22 2022	Buccaneers	23	vs.	Bengals	34	404	92	312	1	3	+3.0	47.5	+11	O 57 +9.5
12/11/22 2022	Buccaneers	7	@	49ers	35	322	69	253	0	2	+3.5	38.5	+28	O 42 +3.5
12/05/22 2022	Buccaneers	17	vs.	Saints	16	357	76	281	0	1	-3.5	40.5	-1	U 33 -7.5
11/27/22 2022	Buccaneers	17	@	Browns	23 OT	342	96	246	1	0	-3.5	42.5	+6	U 40 -2.5

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		27.0	-	-	17.0	437	120	317	2.0	2.0	-2.5	40.5	-10.0 +7.5	O 44.0 +3.5

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		23.5	-	-	17.0	342	97	245	1.5	1.0	+0.8	42.8	-6.5 +7.3	U 40.5 -2.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.

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Buccaneers (Home)

The Buccaneers are 100% (2-0) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) against the spread at home

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) to the over

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) to the over at home

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) to the under as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

Eagles (Away)

The Eagles are 100% (1-0-1) against the spread

The Eagles are 100% (1-0) against the spread away

The Eagles are 100% (1-0-1) against the spread as a fav

The Eagles are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Eagles are 100% (2-0) to the over

The Eagles are 100% (1-0) to the over away

The Eagles are 100% (2-0) to the over as a fav

The Eagles are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away fav

The Eagles are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Eagles are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Eagles are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Eagles are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Eagles are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Eagles are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Eagles are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Eagles are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/16/22 2021	Buccaneers	31	vs.	Eagles	15	377	106	271	2	0	-7.0	48.5	-16	U 46 -2.5
10/14/21 2021	Buccaneers	28	@	Eagles	22	215	100	115	1	0	-7.0	52.5	-6	U 50 -2.5

Buccaneers as Home (1 games)		31.0	-	-	15.0	377	106	271	2.0	0.0	-7.0	48.5	-16.0 +9.0	U 46.0 -2.5

All Games Avg (2 games)		29.5	-	-	18.5	296	103	193	1.5	0.0	-7.0	50.5	-11.0 +4.0	U 48.0 -2.5