NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/24, Final: 37 – 17
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Texans: 0-2 (0.0%) - AFC South

Jaguars: 1-1 (50.0%) - AFC South

Line: -7.5

Total: 43.5

Open: -7.5

Open: 45.5

Team totals: Texans 17.5 · Jaguars 26.5

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Injury Report HOUNo report JAXNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Texans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/08/23 2023	Texans	-	@	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	42.0	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Texans	-	vs.	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	41.5	-	-
09/24/23 2023	Texans	-	@	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	43.5	-	-
09/17/23 2023	Texans	20	vs.	Colts	31	436	52	384	0	3	0.0	40.5	+11	O 51 +10.5
09/10/23 2023	Texans	9	@	Ravens	25	314	72	242	1	1	+9.5	43.5	+16	U 34 -9.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Texans	32	@	Colts	31	370	59	311	2	2	+3.0	37.5	-1	O 63 +25.5
01/01/23 2022	Texans	3	vs.	Jaguars	31	295	84	211	2	1	+3.5	44.0	+28	U 34 -10.0
12/24/22 2022	Texans	19	@	Titans	14	288	70	218	2	2	+3.5	34.5	-5	U 33 -1.5
12/18/22 2022	Texans	24	vs.	Chiefs	30 OT	223	94	129	0	1	+14.0	48.5	+6	O 54 +5.5
12/11/22 2022	Texans	23	@	Cowboys	27	327	114	213	2	1	+17.0	44.5	+4	O 50 +5.5
12/04/22 2022	Texans	14	vs.	Browns	27	283	82	201	1	3	+7.5	46.5	+13	U 41 -5.5
11/27/22 2022	Texans	15	@	Dolphins	30	251	36	215	0	3	+15.0	47.0	+15	U 45 -2.0
11/20/22 2022	Texans	10	vs.	Commanders	23	190	21	169	0	0	+3.5	41.0	+13	U 33 -8.0

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		9.0	-	-	25.0	314	72	242	1.0	1.0	+9.5	43.5	+16.0 -6.5	U 34.0 -9.5

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		14.5	-	-	28.0	375	62	313	0.5	2.0	+4.8	42.0	+13.5 -8.8	O 42.5 +0.5

Jaguars Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/08/23 2023	Jaguars	-	vs.	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+5.0	48.5	-	-
10/01/23 2023	Jaguars	-	vs.	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	42.0	-	-
09/24/23 2023	Jaguars	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	43.5	-	-
09/17/23 2023	Jaguars	9	vs.	Chiefs	17	289	74	215	1	3	+3.5	51.0	+8	U 26 -25.0
09/10/23 2023	Jaguars	31	@	Colts	21	346	105	241	1	3	-3.5	45.5	-10	O 52 +6.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/21/23 2022	Jaguars	20	@	Chiefs	27	361	144	217	0	1	+9.5	52.0	+7	U 47 -5.0
01/14/23 2022	Jaguars	31	vs.	Chargers	30	405	117	288	0	1	+2.5	46.5	-1	O 61 +14.5
01/07/23 2022	Jaguars	20	vs.	Titans	16	231	19	212	1	1	-6.0	39.5	-4	U 36 -3.5
01/01/23 2022	Jaguars	31	@	Texans	3	350	169	181	0	1	-3.5	44.0	-28	U 34 -10.0
12/22/22 2022	Jaguars	19	@	Jets	3	376	147	229	1	1	+2.5	36.5	-16	U 22 -14.5
12/18/22 2022	Jaguars	40	vs.	Cowboys	34 OT	510	192	318	2	2	+3.5	48.0	-6	O 74 +26.0
12/11/22 2022	Jaguars	36	@	Titans	22	428	60	368	1	0	+3.5	41.5	-14	O 58 +16.5
12/04/22 2022	Jaguars	14	@	Lions	40	280	95	185	0	1	+1.0	51.5	+26	O 54 +2.5

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		9.0	-	-	17.0	289	74	215	1.0	3.0	+3.5	51.0	+8.0 -4.5	U 26.0 -25.0

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		20.0	-	-	19.0	318	90	228	1.0	3.0	0.0	48.3	-1.0 +1.0	U 39.0 -9.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.

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Jaguars (Home)

The Jaguars are 50% (1-1) against the spread

The Jaguars are 0% (0-1) against the spread at home

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a fav

The Jaguars are 50% (1-1) to the over

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) to the under at home

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) to the over as a fav

The Jaguars are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jaguars are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Jaguars are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Texans (Away)

The Texans are 0% (0-2) against the spread

The Texans are 0% (0-1) against the spread away

The Texans are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Texans are 50% (1-1) to the over

The Texans are 100% (1-0) to the under away

The Texans are 100% (1-0) to the under as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) to the under as an away dog

The Texans are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Texans are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Texans are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/01/23 2022	Jaguars	31	@	Texans	3	295	84	211	2	1	-3.5	44.0	-28	U 34 -10.0
10/09/22 2022	Jaguars	6	vs.	Texans	13	422	136	286	0	0	-7.0	43.5	+7	U 19 -24.5
12/19/21 2021	Jaguars	16	vs.	Texans	30	317	107	210	1	0	-6.0	40.0	+14	O 46 +6.0
09/12/21 2021	Jaguars	21	@	Texans	37	451	160	291	3	1	-3.5	45.5	+16	O 58 +12.5
11/08/20 2020	Jaguars	25	vs.	Texans	27	419	115	304	0	1	+7.0	50.0	+2	O 52 +2.0
10/11/20 2020	Jaguars	14	@	Texans	30	488	129	359	0	1	+6.5	54.5	+16	U 44 -10.5

Jaguars as Home (3 games)		15.7	-	-	23.3	386	119	267	0.3	0.3	-2.0	44.5	+7.7 -9.7	U 39.0 -5.5

All Games Avg (6 games)		18.8	-	-	23.3	399	122	277	1.0	0.7	-1.1	46.3	+4.5 -5.6	U 42.2 -4.1