NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 9/18, Final: 20 – 17
New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers

Saints: 1-0 (100.0%) - NFC South

Panthers: 0-1 (0.0%) - NFC South

Line: +3.0

Total: 39.5

Open: +1.5

Open: 42.5

Team totals: Saints 21.5 · Panthers 18.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

The model doesn't have enough games played yet this season to generate reliable predictions — it typically won't start producing projections until Week 3.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Saints Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/01/23 2023	Saints	-	vs.	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	41.0	-	-
09/24/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	41.5	-	-
09/18/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	39.5	-	-
09/10/23 2023	Saints	16	vs.	Titans	15	374	69	305	3	2	-3.0	41.0	-1	U 31 -10.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Saints	7	vs.	Panthers	10	314	143	171	2	1	-3.5	41.5	+3	U 17 -24.5
01/01/23 2022	Saints	20	@	Eagles	10	358	129	229	1	0	+4.5	42.0	-10	U 30 -12.0
12/24/22 2022	Saints	17	@	Browns	10	244	152	92	1	2	+3.0	32.5	-7	U 27 -5.5
12/18/22 2022	Saints	21	vs.	Falcons	18	365	134	231	0	2	-5.0	43.5	-3	U 39 -4.5
12/05/22 2022	Saints	16	@	Buccaneers	17	316	66	250	1	2	+3.5	40.5	+1	U 33 -7.5
11/27/22 2022	Saints	0	@	49ers	13	267	63	204	0	2	+9.0	43.5	+13	U 13 -30.5
11/20/22 2022	Saints	27	vs.	Rams	20	362	88	274	0	0	-2.0	39.0	-7	O 47 +8.0
11/13/22 2022	Saints	10	@	Steelers	20	203	29	174	0	2	+1.0	39.5	+10	U 30 -9.5
11/07/22 2022	Saints	13	vs.	Ravens	27	271	48	223	0	0	+2.0	46.0	+14	U 40 -6.0

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		16.0	-	-	15.0	374	69	305	3.0	2.0	-3.0	41.0	-1.0 -2.0	U 31.0 -10.0

Panthers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/01/23 2023	Panthers	-	vs.	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.0	46.5	-	-
09/24/23 2023	Panthers	-	@	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	43.0	-	-
09/18/23 2023	Panthers	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	39.5	-	-
09/10/23 2023	Panthers	10	@	Falcons	24	300	154	146	0	2	+3.5	40.5	+14	U 34 -6.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Panthers	10	@	Saints	7	214	171	43	0	3	+3.5	41.5	-3	U 17 -24.5
01/01/23 2022	Panthers	24	@	Buccaneers	30	415	74	341	0	6	+3.5	40.5	+6	O 54 +13.5
12/24/22 2022	Panthers	37	vs.	Lions	23	570	320	250	0	1	+2.0	43.5	-14	O 60 +16.5
12/18/22 2022	Panthers	16	vs.	Steelers	24	246	21	225	0	1	-2.5	37.5	+8	O 40 +2.5
12/11/22 2022	Panthers	30	@	Seahawks	24	343	223	120	2	1	+3.5	44.5	-6	O 54 +9.5
11/27/22 2022	Panthers	23	vs.	Broncos	10	349	185	164	0	2	+1.0	37.0	-13	U 33 -4.0
11/20/22 2022	Panthers	3	@	Ravens	13	232	36	196	1	2	+12.5	41.5	+10	U 16 -25.5
11/10/22 2022	Panthers	25	vs.	Falcons	15	340	232	108	1	0	+2.5	41.5	-10	U 40 -1.5
11/06/22 2022	Panthers	21	@	Bengals	42	228	64	164	0	1	+7.5	43.0	+21	O 63 +20.0

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		10.0	-	-	24.0	300	154	146	0.0	2.0	+3.5	40.5	+14.0 -10.5	U 34.0 -6.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.

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Panthers (Home)

The Panthers are 0% (0-1) against the spread

The Panthers are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 100% (1-0) to the under

The Panthers are 100% (1-0) to the under as a dog

The Panthers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Panthers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Panthers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

Saints (Away)

The Saints are 0% (0-1) against the spread

The Saints are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a fav

The Saints are 100% (1-0) to the under

The Saints are 100% (1-0) to the under as a fav

The Saints are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Saints are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Saints are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Saints are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/08/23 2022	Panthers	10	@	Saints	7	314	143	171	2	1	+3.5	41.5	-3	U 17 -24.5
09/25/22 2022	Panthers	22	vs.	Saints	14	315	145	170	2	0	+2.0	41.0	-8	U 36 -5.0
01/02/22 2021	Panthers	10	@	Saints	18	295	73	222	1	0	+6.5	37.0	+8	U 28 -9.0
09/19/21 2021	Panthers	26	vs.	Saints	7	394	89	305	2	1	+3.0	45.0	-19	U 33 -12.0
01/03/21 2020	Panthers	7	vs.	Saints	33	345	74	271	0	2	+6.0	46.5	+26	U 40 -6.5
10/25/20 2020	Panthers	24	@	Saints	27	425	138	287	0	1	+7.0	49.5	+3	O 51 +1.5

Panthers as Home (3 games)		18.3	-	-	18.0	351	103	249	1.3	1.0	+3.7	44.2	-0.3 +4.0	U 36.3 -7.8

All Games Avg (6 games)		16.5	-	-	17.7	348	110	238	1.2	0.8	+4.7	43.4	+1.2 +3.5	U 34.2 -9.3