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Updated: 11/10/26 7:08 p.m. ET
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NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 9/11, Final: 16 – 22
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
Bills: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC East
Jets: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC East
Line: +2.5
Total: 44.5
Open: +2.5
Open: 46.5
Team totals: Bills 23.5 · Jets 21.5
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Injury Report BUFNo report NYJNo report
Notes
Bills

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Jets
Baller System(s)
Back divisional home dogs when opponent next game is a division game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 65 - 48 - 5 (57.5%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
The model doesn't have enough games played yet this season to generate reliable predictions — it typically won't start producing projections until Week 3.
Filters
Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.
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Schedules
Bills Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/24/23
2023
 Bills - @ Commanders - - - - - - -5.0 44.5 - -
09/17/23
2023
 Bills - vs. Raiders - - - - - - -7.5 47.0 - -
09/11/23
2023
 Bills - @ Jets - - - - - - -2.5 44.5 - -
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/22/23
2022
 Bills 10 vs. Bengals 27 328 64 264 0 0 -5.5 48.5 +17 U 37 -11.5
01/15/23
2022
 Bills 34 vs. Dolphins 31 459 107 352 2 4 -13.5 44.0 -3 O 65 +21.0
01/08/23
2022
 Bills 35 vs. Patriots 23 344 90 254 3 2 -13.5 44.0 -12 O 58 +14.0
12/24/22
2022
 Bills 35 @ Bears 13 426 254 172 1 3 -8.0 40.5 -22 O 48 +7.5
12/17/22
2022
 Bills 32 vs. Dolphins 29 454 150 304 0 2 -7.0 44.5 -3 O 61 +16.5
12/11/22
2022
 Bills 20 vs. Jets 12 249 102 147 0 0 -9.5 44.0 -8 U 32 -12.0
12/01/22
2022
 Bills 24 @ Patriots 10 355 132 223 0 1 -3.5 44.0 -14 U 34 -10.0
11/24/22
2022
 Bills 28 @ Lions 25 417 164 253 0 1 -9.5 54.5 -3 U 53 -1.5
11/20/22
2022
 Bills 31 vs. Browns 23 368 171 197 0 0 -7.5 50.5 -8 O 54 +3.5
11/13/22
2022
 Bills 30 vs. Vikings 33 OT 505 175 330 2 2 -6.5 47.5 +3 O 63 +15.5
Jets Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/24/23
2023
 Jets - vs. Patriots - - - - - - +2.5 35.5 - -
09/17/23
2023
 Jets - @ Cowboys - - - - - - +8.0 38.5 - -
09/11/23
2023
 Jets - vs. Bills - - - - - - +2.5 44.5 - -
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23
2022
 Jets 6 @ Dolphins 11 190 38 152 0 2 +4.0 37.0 +5 U 17 -20.0
01/01/23
2022
 Jets 6 @ Seahawks 23 315 75 240 0 1 -1.5 43.0 +17 U 29 -14.0
12/22/22
2022
 Jets 3 vs. Jaguars 19 248 66 182 0 2 -2.5 36.5 +16 U 22 -14.5
12/18/22
2022
 Jets 17 vs. Lions 20 367 50 317 0 0 -2.0 43.5 +3 U 37 -6.5
12/11/22
2022
 Jets 12 @ Bills 20 345 76 269 0 3 +9.5 44.0 +8 U 32 -12.0
12/04/22
2022
 Jets 22 @ Vikings 27 489 120 369 0 0 -1.0 43.0 +5 O 49 +6.0
11/27/22
2022
 Jets 31 vs. Bears 10 473 158 315 1 2 -7.5 36.5 -21 O 41 +4.5
11/20/22
2022
 Jets 3 @ Patriots 10 136 59 77 0 1 +3.5 38.0 +7 U 13 -25.0
11/06/22
2022
 Jets 20 vs. Bills 17 328 174 154 2 2 +10.5 46.0 -3 U 37 -9.0
10/30/22
2022
 Jets 17 vs. Patriots 22 406 51 355 1 0 +3.0 40.0 +5 U 39 -1.0
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Records
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Notable Trends
First week of the season: these records include last season.
The Jets are 70.6% (12-5) to the under
The Jets are 75% (6-2) to the under at home
The Jets are 72.7% (8-3) to the under as a dog
The Jets are 80% (4-1) to the under as a home dog
The Bills are 87.5% (7-1) to the under away
The Bills are 87.5% (7-1) to the under as an away fav
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Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Team Pts Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/11/22
2022
 Jets 12 @ Bills 20 249 102 147 0 0 +9.5 44.0 +8 U 32 -12.0
11/06/22
2022
 Jets 20 vs. Bills 17 328 174 154 2 2 +10.5 46.0 -3 U 37 -9.0
01/09/22
2021
 Jets 10 @ Bills 27 424 170 254 0 3 +16.0 41.5 +17 U 37 -4.5
11/14/21
2021
 Jets 17 vs. Bills 45 368 70 298 1 1 +13.0 47.5 +28 O 62 +14.5
10/25/20
2020
 Jets 10 vs. Bills 18 220 100 120 0 1 +9.5 46.5 +8 U 28 -18.5
09/13/20
2020
 Jets 17 @ Bills 27 410 98 312 1 2 +6.5 39.5 +10 O 44 +4.5
Jets as Home
(3 games)		 15.7 - - 26.7 305 115 191 1.0 1.3 +11.0 46.7 +11.0 0.0 U 42.3 -4.3
All Games Avg
(6 games)		 14.3 - - 25.7 333 119 214 0.7 1.5 +10.8 44.2 +11.3 -0.5 U 40.0 -4.2

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