NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/10, Final: 15 – 16
Tennessee Titans @ New Orleans Saints

Titans: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC South

Saints: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC South

Line: -3.0

Total: 41.0

Open: -3

Open: 41.5

Team totals: Titans 19.5 · Saints 22.5

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Notes

Titans

Baller System(s)

Back early season short, road underdogs who won last matchup

Saints

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next gave versus division rival

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

The model doesn't have enough games played yet this season to generate reliable predictions — it typically won't start producing projections until Week 3.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Titans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/24/23 2023	Titans	-	@	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	38.0	-	-
09/17/23 2023	Titans	-	vs.	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	46.0	-	-
09/10/23 2023	Titans	-	@	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	41.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/07/23 2022	Titans	16	@	Jaguars	20	326	147	179	0	2	+6.0	39.5	+4	U 36 -3.5
12/29/22 2022	Titans	13	vs.	Cowboys	27	329	97	232	2	2	+13.5	40.5	+14	U 40 -0.5
12/24/22 2022	Titans	14	vs.	Texans	19	283	184	99	1	2	-3.5	34.5	+5	U 33 -1.5
12/18/22 2022	Titans	14	@	Chargers	17	312	127	185	2	2	+2.5	46.5	+3	U 31 -15.5
12/11/22 2022	Titans	22	vs.	Jaguars	36	391	137	254	0	4	-3.5	41.5	+14	O 58 +16.5
12/04/22 2022	Titans	10	@	Eagles	35	244	87	157	0	0	+5.0	44.5	+25	O 45 +0.5
11/27/22 2022	Titans	16	vs.	Bengals	20	354	63	291	0	1	+1.0	42.0	+4	U 36 -6.0
11/17/22 2022	Titans	27	@	Packers	17	425	88	337	0	0	+3.0	40.5	-10	O 44 +3.5
11/13/22 2022	Titans	17	vs.	Broncos	10	318	63	255	1	2	-2.5	39.0	-7	U 27 -12.0
11/06/22 2022	Titans	17	@	Chiefs	20 OT	252	172	80	1	0	+14.5	45.5	+3	U 37 -8.5

Saints Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/24/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	41.5	-	-
09/18/23 2023	Saints	-	@	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	39.5	-	-
09/10/23 2023	Saints	-	vs.	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Saints	7	vs.	Panthers	10	314	143	171	2	1	-3.5	41.5	+3	U 17 -24.5
01/01/23 2022	Saints	20	@	Eagles	10	358	129	229	1	0	+4.5	42.0	-10	U 30 -12.0
12/24/22 2022	Saints	17	@	Browns	10	244	152	92	1	2	+3.0	32.5	-7	U 27 -5.5
12/18/22 2022	Saints	21	vs.	Falcons	18	365	134	231	0	2	-5.0	43.5	-3	U 39 -4.5
12/05/22 2022	Saints	16	@	Buccaneers	17	316	66	250	1	2	+3.5	40.5	+1	U 33 -7.5
11/27/22 2022	Saints	0	@	49ers	13	267	63	204	0	2	+9.0	43.5	+13	U 13 -30.5
11/20/22 2022	Saints	27	vs.	Rams	20	362	88	274	0	0	-2.0	39.0	-7	O 47 +8.0
11/13/22 2022	Saints	10	@	Steelers	20	203	29	174	0	2	+1.0	39.5	+10	U 30 -9.5
11/07/22 2022	Saints	13	vs.	Ravens	27	271	48	223	0	0	+2.0	46.0	+14	U 40 -6.0
10/30/22 2022	Saints	24	vs.	Raiders	0	367	136	231	1	0	+1.0	48.5	-24	U 24 -24.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Titans are 70.6% (12-5) to the under

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Saints (Home)

The Saints are 41.2% (7-10) against the spread

The Saints are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread at home

The Saints are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread as a fav

The Saints are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Saints are 64.7% (11-6) to the under

The Saints are 62.5% (5-3) to the under at home

The Saints are 50% (3-3) to the over as a fav

The Saints are 50% (2-2) to the over as a home fav

Titans (Away)

The Titans are 52.9% (9-8) against the spread

The Titans are 66.7% (6-3) against the spread away

The Titans are 50% (5-5) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as an away dog